Skip to content
Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 15, 2022·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Pittsburgh Penguins 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 59% of the time.

PIT winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:24Shot by Malgin, saved by DeSmith
  3. P1 4:11Shot by Rakell, saved by Murray
  4. P1 4:16Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Murray
  5. P1 5:18Shot by Carter, saved by Murray
  6. P1 5:19Jarnkrok: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Carter, Letang, Petry, Heinen, Poehling · TOR Benn, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Aston-Reese, Kampf

  7. P1 6:03Shot by Letang, saved by Murray5v4
  8. P1 7:11Shot by Kerfoot, saved by DeSmith5v4
  9. P1 9:39Shot by Malgin, saved by DeSmith
  10. P1 10:34Shot by Matthews, saved by DeSmith
  11. P1 11:42Shot by Rielly, saved by DeSmith
  12. P1 12:04Goal by Tavares (Benn, Kerfoot)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Petry, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel · TOR Benn, Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot, Marner

  13. P1 12:27Shot by Kampf, saved by DeSmith
  14. P1 12:44Shot by Rutta, saved by Murray
  15. P1 13:22Shot by Pettersson, saved by Murray
  16. P1 15:04Goal by Marner (Rielly, Tavares)+15 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel, Pettersson · TOR Benn, Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot, Marner

  17. P1 18:03Shot by Malkin, saved by Murray
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:11Goal by Bunting (Matthews, Nylander)+9 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel, Pettersson · TOR Benn, Rielly, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews

  21. P2 0:22Shot by Matthews, saved by DeSmith
  22. P2 0:54Goal by Rakell (Zucker, Malkin)+9 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Petry, Dumoulin, Zucker, Rakell · TOR Benn, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Bunting

  23. P2 1:11Shot by Kerfoot, saved by DeSmith
  24. P2 1:52Shot by Archibald, saved by Murray
  25. P2 2:38Goal by Crosby, unassisted+15 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Dumoulin, Rust, Pettersson, Poehling · TOR Malgin, Aston-Reese, Liljegren, Sandin, Holmberg

  26. P2 4:02Giordano: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Zucker, Rakell, Ruhwedel, Rutta · TOR Giordano, Holl, Kerfoot, Marner, Kampf

  27. P2 4:28Shot by Letang, saved by Murray5v4
  28. P2 4:39Shot by Letang, saved by Murray5v4
  29. P2 4:48Shot by Guentzel, saved by Murray5v4
  30. P2 5:09Shot by Guentzel, saved by Murray5v4
  31. P2 6:40Bunting: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Dumoulin, Archibald, Blueger, Poehling, Rutta · TOR Giordano, Holl, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews

  32. P2 6:40Rutta: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Dumoulin, Archibald, Blueger, Poehling, Rutta · TOR Giordano, Holl, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews

  33. P2 7:40Shot by Nylander, saved by DeSmith4v4
  34. P2 8:10Shot by Zucker, saved by Murray4v4
  35. P2 9:13Shot by Holmberg, saved by DeSmith
  36. P2 11:44Shot by Letang, saved by Murray
  37. P2 11:46Shot by Letang, saved by Murray
  38. P2 12:14Shot by Tavares, saved by DeSmith
  39. P2 12:31Shot by Crosby, saved by Murray
  40. P2 13:01Shot by Rutta, saved by Murray
  41. P2 13:05Shot by McGinn, saved by Murray
  42. P2 13:30Shot by Matthews, saved by DeSmith
  43. P2 14:11Shot by Archibald, saved by Murray
  44. P2 15:08Shot by Benn, saved by DeSmith
  45. P2 15:17Shot by Bunting, saved by DeSmith
  46. P2 17:18Shot by Marner, saved by DeSmith
  47. P2 18:17Shot by Pettersson, saved by Murray
  48. P2 18:58Shot by Matthews, saved by DeSmith
  49. P2 19:10Goal by Bunting (Holmberg, Matthews)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel, Pettersson · TOR Giordano, Holl, Bunting, Matthews, Holmberg

  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:27Shot by Pettersson, saved by Murray
  53. P3 1:14Shot by Rakell, saved by Murray
  54. P3 1:28Shot by Malkin, saved by Murray
  55. P3 2:27Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by DeSmith
  56. P3 4:00Shot by Rielly, saved by DeSmith
  57. P3 5:51Shot by Kampf, saved by DeSmith
  58. P3 5:53Malgin: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Carter, Letang, Zucker, Rakell, Rutta · TOR Giordano, Benn, Malgin, Aston-Reese, Kampf

  59. P3 6:49Shot by Rust, saved by Murray5v4
  60. P3 6:55Shot by Malkin, saved by Murray5v4
  61. P3 7:09Shot by Malkin, saved by Murray5v4
  62. P3 7:44Shot by Benn, saved by DeSmith5v4
  63. P3 7:45Shot by Benn, saved by DeSmith5v4
  64. P3 10:21Shot by Marner, saved by DeSmith
  65. P3 11:14Shot by Malgin, saved by DeSmith
  66. P3 11:30Shot by McGinn, saved by Murray
  67. P3 11:31Shot by Carter, saved by Murray
  68. P3 13:13Shot by Letang, saved by Murray
  69. P3 13:26Shot by Tavares, saved by DeSmith
  70. P3 14:09Shot by Heinen, saved by Murray
  71. P3 14:34Shot by Rakell, saved by Murray
  72. P3 14:36Shot by Zucker, saved by Murray
  73. P3 14:51Shot by Zucker, saved by Murray
  74. P3 15:09Shot by Marner, saved by DeSmith
  75. P3 15:43Shot by Malgin, saved by DeSmith
  76. P3 16:12Shot by Engvall, saved by DeSmith
  77. P3 16:38Shot by Carter, saved by Murray
  78. P3 16:53Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Murray
  79. P3 17:37Goal by Nylander (Bunting, Rielly)6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Rust, Rakell, Guentzel · TOR Holl, Rielly, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews

  80. P3 18:56Carter: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Carter, McGinn, Ruhwedel, Heinen, Rutta · TOR Giordano, Rielly, Kerfoot, Malgin, Aston-Reese

  81. P3 19:12Shot by Kerfoot, saved by DeSmith4v5
  82. P3 0:00Period end4v5
  83. P3 0:00Final