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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 16, 2022·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Buffalo Sabres 1, Ottawa Senators 4

Away

Buffalo Sabres

1

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 82% of the time.

OTT winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:49Shot by Holden, saved by Comrie
  3. P1 2:14Shot by Lyubushkin, saved by Forsberg
  4. P1 2:23Larsson: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Holden, Larsson, Gambrell, Kelly · BUF Girgensons, Bjork, Asplund, Dahlin, Power

  5. P1 3:15Shot by Joseph, saved by Comrie4v5
  6. P1 3:15Olofsson: Holding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Holden, Joseph, Brannstrom, Kelly · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Olofsson, Thompson, Dahlin

  7. P1 4:49Shot by Power, saved by Forsberg4v4
  8. P1 5:11Shot by Bernard-Docker, saved by Comrie4v4
  9. P1 6:40Shot by Joseph, saved by Comrie
  10. P1 7:05Girgensons: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Hamonic, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle · BUF Girgensons, Hinostroza, Asplund, Pilut, Lyubushkin

  11. P1 7:14Shot by Dahlin, saved by Forsberg5v4
  12. P1 8:16Shot by Cozens, saved by Forsberg5v4
  13. P1 8:37Shot by Brassard, saved by Comrie5v4
  14. P1 9:34Shot by Kelly, saved by Comrie
  15. P1 9:45Goal by Watson (Sanderson, Kelly)+19 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Hamonic, Watson, Gambrell, Kelly, Sanderson · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Bryson, Pilut

  16. P1 10:05Shot by Cozens, saved by Forsberg
  17. P1 10:26Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Forsberg
  18. P1 10:41Shot by Batherson, saved by Comrie
  19. P1 11:10Shot by Kelly, saved by Comrie
  20. P1 11:30Shot by Hinostroza, saved by Forsberg
  21. P1 12:55Brassard: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Brassard, Hamonic, Joseph, DeBrincat, Sanderson · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Olofsson, Thompson, Dahlin, Power

  22. P1 14:48Shot by Thompson, saved by Forsberg4v5
  23. P1 15:20Shot by Holden, saved by Comrie
  24. P1 15:50Shot by Pilut, saved by Forsberg
  25. P1 16:19Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Comrie
  26. P1 16:22Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Comrie
  27. P1 17:08Shot by Tuch, saved by Forsberg
  28. P1 17:31Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Comrie
  29. P1 18:10Joseph: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Brassard, Joseph, DeBrincat, Brannstrom, Bernard-Docker · BUF Girgensons, Bjork, Olofsson, Asplund, Dahlin, Power

  30. P1 18:52Shot by Sanderson, saved by Comrie4v5
  31. P1 19:38Stützle: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Holden, Brannstrom, Kelly, Stützle · BUF Mittelstadt, Krebs, Cozens, Peterka, Power

  32. P1 19:58Shot by Thompson, saved by Forsberg3v5
  33. P1 0:00Period end3v5
  34. P2 0:00Period start
  35. P2 0:51Shot by Dahlin, saved by Forsberg4v5
  36. P2 2:40Shot by Giroux, saved by Comrie
  37. P2 3:02Shot by Peterka, saved by Forsberg
  38. P2 4:52Shot by Bjork, saved by Forsberg
  39. P2 5:27Brannstrom: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Motte, Brannstrom, Batherson, Bernard-Docker, Pinto · BUF Hinostroza, Jokiharju, Lyubushkin, Cozens, Peterka

  40. P2 5:49Shot by Watson, saved by Comrie4v5
  41. P2 6:41Goal by Thompson (Dahlin, Tuch)4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Holden, Motte, Larsson, Kelly · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Olofsson, Thompson, Dahlin

  42. P2 7:21Shot by Bernard-Docker, saved by Comrie
  43. P2 7:51Shot by Larsson, saved by Comrie
  44. P2 7:54Motte: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Holden, Motte, Larsson, Batherson, Pinto · BUF Hinostroza, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Bryson, Krebs

  45. P2 8:23Shot by Thompson, saved by Forsberg4v5
  46. P2 8:27Hamonic: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Hamonic, Watson, Sanderson · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Olofsson, Thompson, Dahlin

  47. P2 8:27Skinner: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Hamonic, Watson, Sanderson · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Olofsson, Thompson, Dahlin

  48. P2 8:27Skinner: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Hamonic, Watson, Sanderson · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Olofsson, Thompson, Dahlin

  49. P2 9:32Shot by Pinto, saved by Comrie4v4
  50. P2 9:57Goal by Tkachuk (Sanderson, Stützle)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Motte, Batherson, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle · BUF Asplund, Jokiharju, Lyubushkin, Cozens

  51. P2 10:19Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Comrie
  52. P2 11:02Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Comrie
  53. P2 11:36Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Comrie
  54. P2 11:40Shot by Sanderson, saved by Comrie
  55. P2 12:01Shot by Thompson, saved by Forsberg
  56. P2 12:52Shot by Thompson, saved by Forsberg
  57. P2 13:16Shot by Pinto, saved by Anderson
  58. P2 13:17Peterka: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Motte, Brannstrom, Batherson, Bernard-Docker, Pinto · BUF Hinostroza, Dahlin, Cozens, Peterka, Power

  59. P2 15:20Shot by Brassard, saved by Anderson
  60. P2 15:43Shot by Cozens, saved by Forsberg
  61. P2 16:22Shot by Peterka, saved by Forsberg
  62. P2 16:30Shot by Sanderson, saved by Anderson
  63. P2 16:39Shot by Sanderson, saved by Anderson
  64. P2 18:47Hinostroza: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Brannstrom, Tkachuk, Bernard-Docker, Stützle · BUF Hinostroza, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Cozens, Peterka

  65. P2 19:55Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Forsberg5v4
  66. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  67. P3 0:00Period start
  68. P3 0:07Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Forsberg5v4
  69. P3 1:30Shot by Skinner, saved by Forsberg
  70. P3 1:32Shot by Skinner, saved by Forsberg
  71. P3 3:50Shot by Pinto, saved by Anderson
  72. P3 3:53Tuch: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Hamonic, Batherson, Tkachuk, Pinto, Sanderson · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Power

  73. P3 4:01Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Anderson5v4
  74. P3 4:36Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Anderson5v4
  75. P3 5:34Shot by Brassard, saved by Anderson5v4
  76. P3 5:35Shot by Brassard, saved by Anderson5v4
  77. P3 5:42Shot by Giroux, saved by Anderson5v4
  78. P3 7:55Shot by Olofsson, saved by Forsberg
  79. P3 10:23Shot by Olofsson, saved by Forsberg
  80. P3 11:30Shot by Cozens, saved by Forsberg
  81. P3 13:22Shot by Gambrell, saved by Anderson
  82. P3 13:50Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Forsberg
  83. P3 14:18Shot by Hamonic, saved by Anderson
  84. P3 14:21Goal by DeBrincat (Joseph, Hamonic)+12 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Brassard, Hamonic, Joseph, DeBrincat, Brannstrom · BUF Olofsson, Asplund, Dahlin, Krebs, Power

  85. P3 16:30Giroux: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Hamonic, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Power

  86. P3 17:30Shot by Motte, saved by Anderson4v5
  87. P3 18:10Shot by Skinner, saved by Forsberg4v6
  88. P3 19:19Goal by Stützle (Holden)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Holden, Brannstrom, Tkachuk, Stützle · BUF Tuch, Olofsson, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Power

  89. P3 19:31Shot by Bernard-Docker, saved by Anderson
  90. P3 19:55Shot by Lyubushkin, saved by Forsberg
  91. P3 0:00Period end
  92. P3 0:00Final