Fri, Nov 25, 2022·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Minnesota Wild 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 56% of the time.
46%
10%
9%
36%
MIN winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:46 | 0.00 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 23:06 | 0.02 | 57.1% | +22.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:23 | 0.01 | 79.2% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:50 | 0.06 | 65.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:06 | 0.00 | 80.6% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 19:29 | 0.36 | 77.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18:10 | 0.39 | 74.6% | +36.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 15:30 | 0.40 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:29 | 0.00 | 54.4% | +12.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:21 | 0.41 | 77.1% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:03 | 0.04 | 41.1% | +16.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:58 | 0.22 | 75.2% | +22.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 13:45 | 0.06 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:27 | 0.31 | 50.3% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:26 | 0.12 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:47 | 0.02 | 40.3% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:22 | 0.02 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:22 | 0.09 | 28.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 2.82 | −0.2 | 59:52 |
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 23:34 | 0.08 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 22:37 | 1.02 | 58.0% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 0 | 22:08 | 0.04 | 45.2% | +28.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 21:56 | 0.47 | 57.7% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:38 | 0.15 | 54.9% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:18 | 0.05 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:03 | 0.16 | 25.3% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:59 | 0.04 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:54 | 0.09 | 31.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:12 | 0.00 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:17 | 0.14 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:15 | 0.02 | 22.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:43 | 0.08 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 12:51 | 0.00 | 3.3% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:03 | 0.11 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:12 | 0.34 | 18.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:01 | 0.03 | 12.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:24 | 0.02 | 29.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 2.53 | −1.5 | 56:45 |