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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 25, 2022·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Minnesota Wild 3

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Final

Home

Minnesota Wild

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 56% of the time.

MIN winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:12Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Murray
  3. P1 1:40Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Murray
  4. P1 2:25Shot by Simmonds, saved by Fleury
  5. P1 2:26Shot by Simmonds, saved by Fleury
  6. P1 2:49Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Murray
  7. P1 2:51Shot by Steel, saved by Murray
  8. P1 3:35Shot by Matthews, saved by Fleury
  9. P1 3:42Goal by Marner (Liljegren, Tavares)+13 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Goligoski, Reaves, Foligno, Dumba, Eriksson Ek · TOR Tavares, Jarnkrok, Marner, Liljegren, Sandin

  10. P1 6:35Shot by Dumba, saved by Murray
  11. P1 7:11Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Murray
  12. P1 8:28Greenway: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Merrill, Greenway, Addison, Dewar, Boldy · TOR Tavares, Jarnkrok, Marner, Mete, Sandin

  13. P1 8:49Shot by Matthews, saved by Fleury4v5
  14. P1 9:17Shot by Tavares, saved by Fleury4v5
  15. P1 9:19Shot by Tavares, saved by Fleury4v5
  16. P1 11:13Holl: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: MIN Zuccarello, Merrill, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Addison, Boldy · TOR Simmonds, Holl, Mete, Aston-Reese, Kampf

  17. P1 12:01Goal by Kaprizov (Eriksson Ek, Zuccarello)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Addison, Boldy · TOR Giordano, Marner, Liljegren, Kampf

  18. P1 12:27Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Murray
  19. P1 12:43Goal by Aston-Reese (Engvall)+16 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Goligoski, Zuccarello, Dumba, Kaprizov, Steel · TOR Engvall, Mete, Aston-Reese, Kampf, Hollowell

  20. P1 12:54Shot by Tavares, saved by Fleury
  21. P1 13:47Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Fleury
  22. P1 14:52Shot by Foligno, saved by Murray
  23. P1 15:27Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Murray
  24. P1 15:29Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Murray
  25. P1 19:23Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Murray
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 1:56Shot by Hollowell, saved by Fleury
  29. P2 2:38Goal by Boldy (Goligoski, Greenway)+20 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Goligoski, Dumba, Petan, Gaudreau, Boldy · TOR Giordano, Tavares, Jarnkrok, Marner, Mete

  30. P2 3:41Shot by Giordano, saved by Fleury
  31. P2 4:29Shot by Sandin, saved by Fleury
  32. P2 5:29Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Murray
  33. P2 7:40Shot by Matthews, saved by Fleury
  34. P2 7:55Shot by Nylander, saved by Fleury
  35. P2 9:20Shot by Kampf, saved by Fleury
  36. P2 9:21Shot by Kampf, saved by Fleury
  37. P2 10:04Goal by Jarnkrok (Giordano, Tavares)+23 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Goligoski, Dumba, Gaudreau, Greenway, Boldy · TOR Giordano, Tavares, Jarnkrok, Holl, Marner

  38. P2 11:35Reaves: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: MIN Reaves, Spurgeon, Foligno, Middleton, Eriksson Ek · TOR Nylander, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren, Sandin

  39. P2 12:29Shot by Shaw, saved by Murray4v5
  40. P2 13:15Shot by Merrill, saved by Murray4v5
  41. P2 16:47Shot by Mete, saved by Fleury
  42. P2 17:31Merrill: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Merrill, Dumba, Greenway, Shaw, Dewar · TOR Nylander, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren, Sandin

  43. P2 19:10Shot by Dewar, saved by Murray4v5
  44. P2 19:11Shot by Dewar, saved by Murray4v5
  45. P2 19:40Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Fleury
  46. P2 19:50Shot by Kampf, saved by Fleury
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 4:31Shot by Marner, saved by Fleury
  50. P3 4:51Kerfoot: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Merrill, Petan, Shaw, Addison, Dewar · TOR Simmonds, Kerfoot, Liljegren, Sandin, Holmberg

  51. P3 4:52Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Murray5v4
  52. P3 5:13Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Murray5v4
  53. P3 6:13Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Fleury5v4
  54. P3 6:44Shot by Engvall, saved by Fleury5v4
  55. P3 8:14Shot by Reaves, saved by Murray
  56. P3 10:23Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Fleury
  57. P3 10:34Shot by Nylander, saved by Fleury
  58. P3 11:27Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Murray
  59. P3 13:23Goal by Nylander (Bunting, Mete)+13 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Goligoski, Dumba, Petan, Shaw, Dewar · TOR Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, Mete, Hollowell

  60. P3 15:43Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Murray6v5
  61. P3 16:25Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Murray6v5
  62. P3 16:26Goal by Zuccarello (Kaprizov, Goligoski)6v5+9 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Goligoski, Spurgeon, Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Boldy · TOR Giordano, Tavares, Jarnkrok, Holl, Marner

  63. P3 16:50Shot by Sandin, saved by Fleury
  64. P3 18:04Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Murray6v5
  65. P3 18:31Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Murray6v5
  66. P3 19:47Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Murray6v5
  67. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  68. P3 0:00Final