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Ice Lab

Mon, Nov 28, 2022·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Detroit Red Wings 2

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 62% of the time.

DET winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 4:41Shot by Kubalik, saved by Murray
  3. P1 4:45Shot by Kubalik, saved by Murray
  4. P1 4:45Goal by Seider (Larkin, Kubalik)+18 pts WP

    On ice: DET Perron, Maatta, Kubalik, Larkin, Seider · TOR Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, Mete, Hollowell

  5. P1 5:50Shot by Walman, saved by Murray
  6. P1 5:51Sandin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Oesterle, Walman, Suter, Veleno, Berggren · TOR Kerfoot, Malgin, Liljegren, Kampf, Sandin

  7. P1 8:24Goal by Matthews (Bunting, Hollowell)+18 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Erne, Rasmussen, Veleno, Seider · TOR Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, Liljegren, Hollowell

  8. P1 8:37Perron: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Perron, Maatta, Kubalik, Larkin, Hronek · TOR Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, Liljegren, Sandin

  9. P1 9:14Shot by Sandin, saved by Husso4v5
  10. P1 9:15Goal by Nylander (Tavares, Sandin)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Sundqvist, Larkin, Seider · TOR Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, Sandin

  11. P1 11:04Shot by Giordano, saved by Husso
  12. P1 12:22Shot by Walman, saved by Murray
  13. P1 14:27Shot by Perron, saved by Murray
  14. P1 14:43Shot by Veleno, saved by Murray
  15. P1 17:43Shot by Walman, saved by Murray
  16. P1 18:01Shot by Berggren, saved by Murray
  17. P1 18:03Shot by Maatta, saved by Murray
  18. P1 19:21Shot by Bunting, saved by Husso
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:52Goal by Marner (Giordano, Jarnkrok)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Perron, Chiarot, Kubalik, Larkin, Seider · TOR Giordano, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Sandin

  22. P2 1:23Shot by Kubalik, saved by Murray
  23. P2 1:24Shot by Kubalik, saved by Murray
  24. P2 1:40Shot by Perron, saved by Murray
  25. P2 2:10Shot by Seider, saved by Murray
  26. P2 2:26Shot by Oesterle, saved by Murray
  27. P2 3:03Shot by Holl, saved by Husso
  28. P2 3:04Shot by Holl, saved by Husso
  29. P2 3:05Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Husso
  30. P2 4:37Shot by Nylander, saved by Husso
  31. P2 5:08Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Husso
  32. P2 5:31Shot by Kubalik, saved by Murray
  33. P2 6:32Shot by Mete, saved by Husso
  34. P2 6:48Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Murray
  35. P2 7:01Shot by Erne, saved by Murray
  36. P2 8:37Goal by Sandin (Matthews, Kerfoot)+8 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Suter, Veleno, Berggren, Seider · TOR Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, Liljegren, Sandin

  37. P2 9:43Shot by Perron, saved by Murray
  38. P2 9:52Shot by Kubalik, saved by Murray
  39. P2 14:11Shot by Tavares, saved by Nedeljkovic
  40. P2 14:45Malgin: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Sundqvist, Erne, Rasmussen, Seider · TOR Giordano, Holl, Malgin, Aston-Reese, Kampf

  41. P2 15:32Shot by Kubalik, saved by Murray5v4
  42. P2 15:37Sundqvist: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Perron, Sundqvist, Kubalik, Larkin, Seider · TOR Giordano, Holl, Marner, Kampf

  43. P2 16:00Shot by Liljegren, saved by Nedeljkovic4v4
  44. P2 17:24Shot by Tavares, saved by Nedeljkovic4v5
  45. P2 17:32Shot by Matthews, saved by Nedeljkovic4v5
  46. P2 18:14Shot by Malgin, saved by Nedeljkovic
  47. P2 18:32Shot by Suter, saved by Murray
  48. P2 18:33Shot by Berggren, saved by Murray
  49. P2 18:38Shot by Hronek, saved by Murray
  50. P2 19:20Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Murray
  51. P2 19:59Shot by Matthews, saved by Nedeljkovic
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 1:29Shot by Larkin, saved by Murray
  55. P3 2:32Shot by Berggren, saved by Murray
  56. P3 4:02Shot by Tavares, saved by Nedeljkovic
  57. P3 4:31Bunting: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Maatta, Kubalik, Larkin, Hronek, Raymond · TOR Giordano, Holl, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews

  58. P3 4:38Shot by Larkin, saved by Murray5v4
  59. P3 4:54Shot by Sundqvist, saved by Murray5v4
  60. P3 6:48Shot by Veleno, saved by Murray
  61. P3 8:24Shot by Walman, saved by Murray
  62. P3 10:35Shot by Matthews, saved by Nedeljkovic
  63. P3 10:52Shot by Seider, saved by Murray
  64. P3 11:32Shot by Marner, saved by Nedeljkovic
  65. P3 11:37Shot by Tavares, saved by Nedeljkovic
  66. P3 12:41Goal by Erne (Seider, Chiarot)+3 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Sundqvist, Erne, Rasmussen, Seider · TOR Giordano, Holl, Malgin, Aston-Reese, Kampf

  67. P3 12:57Shot by Perron, saved by Murray
  68. P3 13:14Shot by Berggren, saved by Murray
  69. P3 13:50Shot by Marner, saved by Nedeljkovic
  70. P3 14:49Shot by Maatta, saved by Murray
  71. P3 14:54Shot by Copp, saved by Murray
  72. P3 14:56Shot by Maatta, saved by Murray
  73. P3 16:41Shot by Matthews, saved by Nedeljkovic
  74. P3 18:26Shot by Larkin, saved by Murray6v5
  75. P3 18:44Shot by Perron, saved by Murray6v5
  76. P3 19:14Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Murray6v5
  77. P3 19:20Shot by Larkin, saved by Murray6v5
  78. P3 19:52Shot by Erne, saved by Murray6v5
  79. P3 19:53Shot by Erne, saved by Murray6v5
  80. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  81. P3 0:00Final