Mon, Nov 28, 2022·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Detroit Red Wings 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 62% of the time.
52%
10%
9%
29%
DET winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:57 | 0.28 | 71.1% | 0.0 |
 Mark GiordanoD · #55 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:43 | 0.01 | 50.0% | +15.2 |
 Timothy LiljegrenD · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 21:19 | 0.07 | 22.6% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:33 | 0.15 | 59.7% | +15.2 |
 Victor MeteD · #98 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:32 | 0.03 | 23.6% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 18:05 | 0.29 | 32.0% | +26.5 |
 Rasmus SandinD · #38 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 17:48 | 0.06 | 49.2% | +20.9 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:36 | 0.22 | 31.1% | +12.5 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:57 | 0.00 | 17.1% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16:10 | 0.39 | 61.1% | +12.5 |
 Michael BuntingLW · #58 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 15:43 | 0.09 | 33.2% | +18.1 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:37 | 0.12 | 57.9% | +15.2 |
 Mac HollowellD · #81 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:37 | 0.00 | 33.7% | +18.1 |
 Zachary Aston-ReeseLW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:48 | 0.00 | 18.0% | 0.0 |
 Denis MalginC · #62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:40 | 0.14 | 17.5% | 0.0 |
 Alexander KerfootC · #15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:53 | 0.28 | 68.5% | +8.4 |
 Pierre EngvallLW · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:33 | 0.00 | 71.2% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:29 | 0.00 | 73.4% | 0.0 |
 Matt Murray#30 | W | 44 | 42 | 2 | .955 | 2.72 | +0.7 | 60:00 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Moritz SeiderD · #53 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 22:38 | 0.26 | 57.8% | +20.7 |
 Dylan LarkinC · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:28 | 0.13 | 67.7% | +17.9 |
 Ben ChiarotD · #8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 19:22 | 0.02 | 29.5% | +2.8 |
 Filip HronekD · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:59 | 0.01 | 93.2% | 0.0 |
 Jordan OesterleD · #82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:46 | 0.01 | 47.8% | 0.0 |
 Lucas RaymondLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:36 | 0.00 | 19.9% | 0.0 |
 Andrew CoppC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:06 | 0.03 | 40.0% | 0.0 |
 David PerronLW · #57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17:58 | 0.21 | 73.3% | 0.0 |
 Dominik KubalikLW · #81 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 17:40 | 0.54 | 67.7% | +17.9 |
 Tyler BertuzziLW · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:22 | 0.18 | 32.3% | 0.0 |
 Olli MaattaD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 17:14 | 0.07 | 96.2% | 0.0 |
 Jake WalmanD · #96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:50 | 0.11 | 41.0% | 0.0 |
 Oskar SundqvistC · #70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:33 | 0.10 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
 Joseph VelenoC · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 13:52 | 0.26 | 46.8% | 0.0 |
 Jonatan BerggrenRW · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 13:45 | 0.27 | 47.7% | 0.0 |
 Adam ErneLW · #73 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13:10 | 0.32 | 85.3% | +2.8 |
 Pius SuterC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:59 | 0.06 | 48.8% | 0.0 |
 Michael RasmussenC · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:53 | 0.12 | 84.2% | 0.0 |
 Ville Husso#35 | L | 13 | 9 | 4 | .692 | 1.33 | −2.7 | 28:37 |
 Alex Nedeljkovic#39 | – | 12 | 12 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.78 | +0.8 | 28:34 |