Thu, Dec 1, 2022·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Colorado Avalanche 6, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 65% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:16Shot by Thompson, saved by Georgiev
- P1 0:54Manson: Cross checking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Jost, Jokiharju, Power · COL Cogliano, Manson, Compher, Girard, O'Connor
- P1 4:41Shot by Thompson, saved by Georgiev
- P1 5:50Shot by Cogliano, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 6:20Shot by Girgensons, saved by Georgiev
- P1 6:49Shot by Makar, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 7:27Thompson: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin · COL MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar, Newhook
- P1 7:43Shot by Makar, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P1 8:21Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P1 8:48Goal by Compher (MacKinnon, Toews)4v5+14 pts WP
On ice: BUF Okposo, Jokiharju, Samuelsson, Cozens · COL Compher, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Newhook
- P1 10:19Goal by Peterka (Quinn, Cozens)+15 pts WP
On ice: BUF Dahlin, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power · COL Johnson, Megna, Blidh, Hunt, MacDonald
- P1 11:10MacKinnon: Holding (2 min)
On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Power · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar
- P1 11:20Shot by Olofsson, saved by Georgiev5v4
- P1 13:30Shot by Jost, saved by Georgiev
- P1 16:32Shot by Johnson, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 16:35Shot by MacDonald, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 17:00Shot by Dahlin, saved by Georgiev
- P1 17:19Shot by Toews, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 18:14Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 19:04O'Connor: Holding (2 min)
On ice: BUF Olofsson, Jokiharju, Cozens, Peterka, Power · COL Cogliano, Manson, Blidh, Girard, O'Connor
- P1 19:49Goal by Thompson (Skinner, Cozens)5v4+17 pts WP
On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Cozens · COL Cogliano, Johnson, Lehkonen, Toews
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 0:50Shot by Thompson, saved by Georgiev
- P2 2:07Peterka: Holding (2 min)
On ice: BUF Fitzgerald, Pilut, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka · COL Cogliano, Manson, Compher, MacDonald, O'Connor
- P2 3:05Shot by Compher, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P2 3:39Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P2 3:52Okposo: Roughing (2 min)4v5
On ice: BUF Okposo, Thompson, Fitzgerald, Dahlin · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Makar, Foudy
- P2 3:52Lehkonen: Roughing (2 min)3v5
On ice: BUF Okposo, Thompson, Fitzgerald, Dahlin · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Makar, Foudy
- P2 5:11Shot by Olofsson, saved by Georgiev
- P2 6:40Shot by O'Connor, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 6:57Shot by O'Connor, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 7:45Jokiharju: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Samuelsson · COL Cogliano, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Makar, Newhook
- P2 7:50Power: High sticking (2 min)4v5
On ice: BUF Girgensons, Jost, Samuelsson, Power · COL Compher, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Makar
- P2 8:36Shot by Makar, saved by Luukkonen3v5
- P2 9:00Goal by MacKinnon (Makar, Rantanen)3v5+21 pts WP
On ice: BUF Girgensons, Fitzgerald, Samuelsson · COL Compher, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Makar
- P2 9:19Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P2 9:41Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P2 9:49Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P2 9:49Goal by Lehkonen (Compher, MacKinnon)4v5+23 pts WP
On ice: BUF Okposo, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Cozens · COL Compher, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Makar
- P2 10:10Shot by Skinner, saved by Georgiev
- P2 11:53Goal by MacKinnon (Makar, Toews)+16 pts WP
On ice: BUF Samuelsson, Dahlin, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar
- P2 12:20Rantanen: Hooking (2 min)6v5
On ice: BUF Thompson, Jokiharju, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar
- P2 12:20Toews: Cross checking (2 min)6v4
On ice: BUF Thompson, Jokiharju, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar
- P2 12:43Shot by Dahlin, saved by Georgiev5v3
- P2 13:57Shot by Dahlin, saved by Georgiev5v3
- P2 14:05Goal by Cozens (Thompson, Skinner)5v3+15 pts WP
On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Cozens · COL Cogliano, Johnson, Manson
- P2 16:17Shot by Tuch, saved by Georgiev
- P2 16:52Shot by Dahlin, saved by Georgiev
- P2 17:06Shot by Quinn, saved by Georgiev
- P2 17:15Shot by O'Connor, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 17:16Goal by Compher (O'Connor, Cogliano)+16 pts WP
On ice: BUF Samuelsson, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power · COL Cogliano, Manson, Compher, Girard, O'Connor
- P2 18:24Shot by Krebs, saved by Georgiev
- P2 18:51Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Georgiev
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:07Goal by Tuch (Dahlin, Thompson)+15 pts WP
On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar
- P3 0:59Shot by Johnson, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 1:09Shot by Johnson, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 1:13Power: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)
On ice: BUF Jokiharju, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power · COL Cogliano, Johnson, Compher, Girard, O'Connor
- P3 1:36Shot by Rantanen, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P3 1:45Shot by Makar, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P3 4:21Shot by Girard, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 4:31Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 5:22Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Georgiev
- P3 6:02Megna: Holding (2 min)
On ice: BUF Fitzgerald, Pilut, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka · COL Johnson, Galchenyuk, Megna, Toews, Hunt
- P3 8:08Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Georgiev
- P3 10:47Shot by O'Connor, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 11:58Shot by Skinner, saved by Georgiev
- P3 13:30Blidh: Tripping (2 min)6v5
On ice: BUF Olofsson, Fitzgerald, Mittelstadt, Pilut, Krebs, Cozens · COL Blidh, Toews, Hunt, MacDonald, Newhook
- P3 14:32Shot by Skinner, saved by Georgiev5v4
- P3 14:34Shot by Tuch, saved by Georgiev5v4
- P3 14:34Shot by Peterka, saved by Georgiev5v4
- P3 14:35Shot by Skinner, saved by Georgiev5v4
- P3 15:47Shot by Skinner, saved by Georgiev
- P3 16:56Krebs: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Krebs · COL MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar, Newhook
- P3 17:34Shot by Makar, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P3 17:38Shot by Makar, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P3 18:19Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P3 18:23Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P3 19:25Goal by Rantanen (Compher, MacKinnon)6v5+5 pts WP
On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Cozens, Power · COL Johnson, Compher, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final