Thu, Dec 1, 2022·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Colorado Avalanche 6, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 65% of the time.
28%
58%
BUF winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Cale MakarD · #8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 30:38 | 0.47 | 53.5% | +36.4 |
 Devon ToewsD · #7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 26:03 | 0.03 | 44.4% | +29.7 |
 Artturi LehkonenLW · #62 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25:18 | 0.70 | 58.2% | +23.3 |
 Nathan MacKinnonC · #29 | 2 | 3 | 5 | +1 | 8 | 25:09 | 1.04 | 57.4% | +78.5 |
 Mikko RantanenRW · #96 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 25:04 | 0.82 | 59.5% | +25.5 |
 J.T. CompherLW · #37 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 3 | 22:09 | 0.79 | 64.9% | +57.7 |
 Erik JohnsonD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:02 | 0.06 | 43.7% | 0.0 |
 Andrew CoglianoC · #11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:23 | 0.12 | 54.6% | +15.7 |
 Logan O'ConnorRW · #25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 16:17 | 0.36 | 70.1% | +15.7 |
 Samuel GirardD · #49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:13 | 0.06 | 56.9% | 0.0 |
 Alex NewhookC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:49 | 0.00 | 3.0% | 0.0 |
 Jacob MacDonaldD · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:18 | 0.03 | 58.0% | 0.0 |
 Josh MansonD · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:17 | 0.01 | 69.2% | 0.0 |
 Jean-Luc FoudyC · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:24 | 0.00 | 2.5% | 0.0 |
 Dryden HuntLW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:11 | 0.00 | 21.3% | 0.0 |
 Anton BlidhLW · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:37 | 0.00 | 49.5% | 0.0 |
 Alex GalchenyukC · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:31 | 0.00 | 2.8% | 0.0 |
 Jayson MegnaC · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:05 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
 Alexandar Georgiev#40 | W | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 3.52 | −0.5 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus DahlinD · #26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 28:11 | 0.40 | 52.0% | +15.4 |
 Mattias SamuelssonD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:31 | 0.04 | 46.3% | 0.0 |
 Alex TuchRW · #89 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:38 | 0.55 | 67.3% | +15.4 |
 Owen PowerD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:35 | 0.00 | 53.0% | 0.0 |
 Tage ThompsonC · #72 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 21:29 | 0.57 | 59.9% | +47.2 |
 Henri JokiharjuD · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:21 | 0.00 | 51.1% | 0.0 |
 Jeff SkinnerLW · #53 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 19:35 | 0.51 | 67.1% | +31.8 |
 Dylan CozensC · #24 | 1 | 2 | 3 | −2 | 1 | 17:11 | 0.24 | 26.8% | +47.3 |
 JJ PeterkaRW · #77 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:32 | 0.40 | 34.0% | +15.5 |
 Jack QuinnRW · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 13:37 | 0.26 | 32.8% | +15.5 |
 Casey MittelstadtC · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:36 | 0.13 | 45.3% | 0.0 |
 Tyson JostC · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:55 | 0.06 | 42.7% | 0.0 |
 Kyle OkposoRW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:42 | 0.00 | 50.9% | 0.0 |
 Victor OlofssonLW · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:37 | 0.32 | 57.5% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:44 | 0.02 | 39.7% | 0.0 |
 Casey FitzgeraldD · #45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:12 | 0.00 | 23.0% | 0.0 |
 Peyton KrebsC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:35 | 0.03 | 93.0% | 0.0 |
 Lawrence PilutD · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:50 | 0.00 | 25.2% | 0.0 |
 Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen#1 | L | 33 | 28 | 5 | .848 | 3.78 | −1.2 | 59:34 |