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Ice Lab

Sun, Dec 4, 2022·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

San Jose Sharks 3, Buffalo Sabres 6

Away

San Jose Sharks

3

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 88% of the time.

BUF winsSJS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:20Shot by Power, saved by Dell
  3. P1 0:21Shot by Cozens, saved by Dell
  4. P1 0:47Shot by Barabanov, saved by Luukkonen
  5. P1 1:11Shot by Vlasic, saved by Luukkonen
  6. P1 1:51Shot by Tuch, saved by Dell
  7. P1 1:53Shot by Thompson, saved by Dell
  8. P1 5:33Svechnikov: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Fitzgerald, Dahlin, Krebs, Power · SJS Karlsson, Megna, Lindblom, Lorentz, Gadjovich

  9. P1 5:42Shot by Power, saved by Dell5v4
  10. P1 7:53Shot by Meier, saved by Luukkonen
  11. P1 8:10Shot by Megna, saved by Luukkonen
  12. P1 8:34Shot by Peterka, saved by Dell
  13. P1 8:36Shot by Peterka, saved by Dell
  14. P1 8:36Shot by Peterka, saved by Dell
  15. P1 8:39Labanc: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Samuelsson, Dahlin, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka · SJS Karlsson, Hertl, Megna, Labanc, Meier

  16. P1 9:19Goal by Thompson (Dahlin, Cozens)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Cozens · SJS Vlasic, Bonino, Benning, Kunin

  17. P1 9:43Shot by Lorentz, saved by Luukkonen
  18. P1 10:52Shot by Cozens, saved by Dell
  19. P1 12:08Shot by Skinner, saved by Dell
  20. P1 12:56Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Dell
  21. P1 13:40Goal by Bonino (Kunin, Karlsson)+19 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Krebs · SJS Bonino, Karlsson, Megna, Svechnikov, Kunin

  22. P1 14:01Shot by Hertl, saved by Luukkonen
  23. P1 14:40Shot by Couture, saved by Luukkonen
  24. P1 14:50Cozens: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Jokiharju, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power · SJS Bonino, Karlsson, Megna, Svechnikov, Kunin

  25. P1 15:54Shot by Hertl, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  26. P1 16:02Shot by Karlsson, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  27. P1 16:19Goal by Labanc (Benning, Nieto)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Samuelsson, Dahlin · SJS Bonino, Nieto, Benning, Labanc, Kunin

  28. P1 16:44Shot by Bryson, saved by Dell
  29. P1 16:49Shot by Skinner, saved by Dell
  30. P1 17:13Shot by Lorentz, saved by Luukkonen
  31. P1 18:49Shot by Cozens, saved by Dell
  32. P1 19:06Shot by Kunin, saved by Luukkonen
  33. P1 0:00Period end
  34. P2 0:00Period start
  35. P2 0:16Goal by Peterka (Cozens)+19 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Jokiharju, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power · SJS Couture, Karlsson, Nieto, Megna, Barabanov

  36. P2 0:33Meier: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin · SJS Vlasic, Benning, Labanc, Meier, Kunin

  37. P2 1:33Shot by Peterka, saved by Dell5v4
  38. P2 3:23Shot by Lindblom, saved by Luukkonen
  39. P2 4:21Goal by Skinner (Jokiharju)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Power · SJS Bonino, Svechnikov, Kunin, Simek, Cicek

  40. P2 4:59Shot by Cozens, saved by Dell
  41. P2 5:34Shot by Karlsson, saved by Luukkonen
  42. P2 5:56Shot by Thompson, saved by Dell
  43. P2 6:08Shot by Skinner, saved by Dell
  44. P2 8:17Shot by Bryson, saved by Dell
  45. P2 9:52Shot by Karlsson, saved by Luukkonen
  46. P2 11:18Shot by Cozens, saved by Dell
  47. P2 11:52Shot by Power, saved by Dell
  48. P2 12:09Barabanov: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Olofsson, Jost, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin · SJS Couture, Karlsson, Nieto, Megna, Barabanov

  49. P2 12:25Shot by Skinner, saved by Dell5v4
  50. P2 13:18Shot by Cozens, saved by Dell5v4
  51. P2 13:45Goal by Quinn (Olofsson, Dahlin)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Olofsson, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Quinn · SJS Bonino, Benning, Kunin, Simek

  52. P2 13:53Shot by Hertl, saved by Luukkonen
  53. P2 15:27Shot by Vlasic, saved by Luukkonen
  54. P2 19:23Shot by Vlasic, saved by Luukkonen
  55. P2 19:31Shot by Tuch, saved by Dell
  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 0:30Shot by Barabanov, saved by Luukkonen
  59. P3 1:20Shot by Hertl, saved by Luukkonen
  60. P3 2:15Shot by Girgensons, saved by Dell
  61. P3 2:54Shot by Okposo, saved by Dell
  62. P3 3:28Shot by Karlsson, saved by Luukkonen
  63. P3 3:56Shot by Barabanov, saved by Luukkonen
  64. P3 5:35Shot by Krebs, saved by Dell
  65. P3 7:24Shot by Tuch, saved by Dell
  66. P3 9:39Shot by Thompson, saved by Dell
  67. P3 10:03Shot by Couture, saved by Luukkonen
  68. P3 11:23Goal by Quinn (Cozens)+4 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Samuelsson, Dahlin, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka · SJS Bonino, Karlsson, Megna, Meier, Kunin

  69. P3 11:50Shot by Lindblom, saved by Luukkonen
  70. P3 11:52Goal by Lindblom (Vlasic, Couture)+3 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Olofsson, Jost, Fitzgerald, Mittelstadt, Bryson · SJS Vlasic, Couture, Benning, Lindblom, Gadjovich

  71. P3 12:11Shot by Skinner, saved by Dell
  72. P3 12:16Shot by Girgensons, saved by Dell
  73. P3 14:08Shot by Dahlin, saved by Dell
  74. P3 14:31Shot by Benning, saved by Luukkonen
  75. P3 15:23Shot by Barabanov, saved by Luukkonen
  76. P3 16:37Goal by Tuch (Skinner, Thompson)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin · SJS Couture, Karlsson, Hertl, Labanc, Meier, Barabanov

  77. P3 17:43Shot by Benning, saved by Luukkonen
  78. P3 0:00Cozens: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Bryson, Samuelsson, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka · SJS Bonino, Megna, Svechnikov, Kunin, Cicek

  79. P3 0:00Period end4v5
  80. P3 0:00Final