Sun, Dec 4, 2022·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
San Jose Sharks 3, Buffalo Sabres 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 88% of the time.
83%
8%
BUF winsSJS wins
San Jose Sharks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 23:03 | 0.19 | 37.1% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:30 | 0.03 | 37.9% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:04 | 0.05 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:20 | 0.14 | 35.0% | +3.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:01 | 0.08 | 46.7% | +3.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:13 | 0.00 | 26.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:08 | 0.05 | 26.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 16:57 | 0.42 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:40 | 0.00 | 29.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:26 | 0.00 | 24.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:13 | 0.07 | 21.1% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:01 | 0.46 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 15:51 | 0.00 | 32.8% | +16.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 15:49 | 0.07 | 31.4% | +16.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 14:28 | 0.12 | 20.1% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:20 | 0.07 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 10:24 | 0.42 | 58.6% | +3.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 7:19 | 0.00 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 37 | 32 | 5 | .865 | 4.32 | −0.7 | 58:57 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 22:45 | 0.26 | 67.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:09 | 0.00 | 61.5% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 20:47 | 0.02 | 71.9% | +29.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 19:52 | 1.11 | 76.7% | +1.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 19:26 | 0.38 | 76.7% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 19:20 | 0.04 | 67.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 18:38 | 0.83 | 78.0% | +18.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 18:21 | 0.81 | 76.7% | +21.1 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 6 | 18:03 | 0.72 | 82.8% | +37.7 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 16:25 | 0.34 | 78.2% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:12 | 0.00 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:51 | 0.17 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:15 | 0.12 | 32.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:43 | 0.02 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:40 | 0.01 | 30.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 11:05 | 0.03 | 15.6% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:42 | 0.15 | 5.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:29 | 0.00 | 13.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 2.16 | −0.8 | 59:48 |