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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 10, 2022·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Buffalo Sabres 1, Pittsburgh Penguins 3

Away

Buffalo Sabres

1

Final

Home

Pittsburgh Penguins

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 67% of the time.

PIT winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:01Thompson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Carter, Malkin, Petry, Zucker, Rust, Pettersson · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Bryson, Power

  3. P1 1:35Shot by Guentzel, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  4. P1 3:21Olofsson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Dumoulin, Archibald, Blueger, Poehling, Rutta · BUF Olofsson, Asplund, Clague, Jost, Dahlin

  5. P1 3:41Shot by Guentzel, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  6. P1 4:19Shot by Crosby, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  7. P1 4:20Shot by Malkin, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  8. P1 4:22Goal by Rakell (Malkin, Crosby)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Petry, Rakell, Guentzel · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Power

  9. P1 6:51Goal by Crosby (Guentzel, Dumoulin)+12 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Dumoulin, Rakell, Guentzel, Rutta · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Power

  10. P1 7:17Shot by Peterka, saved by DeSmith
  11. P1 9:55Shot by Joseph, saved by Luukkonen
  12. P1 10:59Shot by Rutta, saved by Luukkonen
  13. P1 11:35Shot by Malkin, saved by Luukkonen
  14. P1 11:36Shot by Rust, saved by Luukkonen
  15. P1 12:21Shot by Thompson, saved by DeSmith
  16. P1 12:26Guentzel: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rakell, Guentzel, Joseph · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin

  17. P1 13:16Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by DeSmith4v5
  18. P1 14:03Shot by Peterka, saved by DeSmith4v5
  19. P1 15:14Shot by Rakell, saved by Luukkonen
  20. P1 16:04Shot by Cozens, saved by DeSmith
  21. P1 16:15Shot by Samuelsson, saved by DeSmith5v6
  22. P1 16:16Dumoulin: Interference (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Dumoulin, Zucker, Rust, Rutta · BUF Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka

  23. P1 17:04Shot by Cozens, saved by DeSmith4v5
  24. P1 18:14Shot by Olofsson, saved by DeSmith4v5
  25. P1 18:28Shot by Peterka, saved by DeSmith
  26. P1 19:59Shot by Zucker, saved by Luukkonen
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 1:16Shot by Archibald, saved by Luukkonen
  30. P2 2:30Shot by McGinn, saved by Luukkonen
  31. P2 4:05Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by DeSmith
  32. P2 5:22Shot by Blueger, saved by Luukkonen
  33. P2 6:18Shot by Krebs, saved by DeSmith
  34. P2 9:05Shot by Power, saved by DeSmith
  35. P2 9:10Shot by Clague, saved by DeSmith
  36. P2 9:51Shot by Carter, saved by Luukkonen
  37. P2 10:43Shot by Cozens, saved by DeSmith
  38. P2 10:50Shot by Tuch, saved by DeSmith
  39. P2 11:45Shot by Thompson, saved by DeSmith
  40. P2 12:20Shot by Poehling, saved by Luukkonen
  41. P2 12:31Shot by Samuelsson, saved by DeSmith
  42. P2 12:44Shot by Asplund, saved by DeSmith
  43. P2 13:28Shot by Dahlin, saved by DeSmith
  44. P2 15:15Shot by Rust, saved by Luukkonen
  45. P2 16:46Shot by Archibald, saved by Luukkonen
  46. P2 16:49Shot by Poehling, saved by Luukkonen
  47. P2 16:51Shot by Blueger, saved by Luukkonen
  48. P2 16:57Shot by Fitzgerald, saved by DeSmith
  49. P2 18:37Shot by Power, saved by DeSmith
  50. P2 19:47Shot by Archibald, saved by Luukkonen
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:26Shot by Samuelsson, saved by DeSmith
  54. P3 0:29Shot by Dahlin, saved by DeSmith
  55. P3 1:32Shot by Bryson, saved by DeSmith
  56. P3 1:58Shot by Zucker, saved by Luukkonen
  57. P3 1:59Shot by Zucker, saved by Luukkonen
  58. P3 3:40Shot by Rutta, saved by Luukkonen
  59. P3 4:01Shot by Thompson, saved by DeSmith
  60. P3 4:14Shot by McGinn, saved by Luukkonen
  61. P3 5:01Shot by Girgensons, saved by DeSmith
  62. P3 5:15Shot by Zucker, saved by Luukkonen
  63. P3 5:28Letang: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Zucker, Rakell, Joseph · BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Clague, Krebs, Power

  64. P3 5:40Shot by Tuch, saved by DeSmith4v5
  65. P3 6:26Shot by Pettersson, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  66. P3 9:04Shot by Thompson, saved by DeSmith
  67. P3 10:06Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Luukkonen
  68. P3 10:24Shot by Cozens, saved by DeSmith
  69. P3 11:00Goal by Krebs (Fitzgerald, Girgensons)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Carter, Letang, Zucker, Kapanen, Joseph · BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Fitzgerald, Krebs, Power

  70. P3 11:41Shot by Quinn, saved by DeSmith
  71. P3 13:03Shot by Power, saved by DeSmith
  72. P3 13:30Shot by Bryson, saved by DeSmith
  73. P3 14:52Shot by Crosby, saved by Luukkonen
  74. P3 15:10Shot by Thompson, saved by DeSmith
  75. P3 15:15Shot by Thompson, saved by DeSmith
  76. P3 15:41Shot by Tuch, saved by DeSmith
  77. P3 18:22Goal by Crosby (Guentzel, Rust)+7 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel, Pettersson · BUF Dahlin, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power

  78. P3 19:45Shot by Dahlin, saved by DeSmith5v6
  79. P3 19:47Shot by Olofsson, saved by DeSmith5v6
  80. P3 19:59Dahlin: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel, Pettersson · BUF Olofsson, Thompson, Dahlin, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka

  81. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  82. P3 0:00Final