Sat, Dec 10, 2022·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Buffalo Sabres 1, Pittsburgh Penguins 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 67% of the time.
60%
26%
PIT winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 30:19 | 0.41 | 64.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 26:28 | 0.14 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 22:56 | 0.32 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:06 | 0.18 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 20:05 | 0.45 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:47 | 0.25 | 65.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:21 | 0.12 | 66.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:02 | 0.40 | 65.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:51 | 0.19 | 67.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:38 | 0.15 | 31.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:51 | 0.10 | 17.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:41 | 0.15 | 51.7% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:29 | 0.10 | 25.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:09 | 0.03 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:50 | 0.05 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:52 | 0.08 | 25.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:06 | 0.00 | 41.1% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:04 | 0.04 | 48.7% | +13.2 |
| L | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 3.37 | +0.4 | 58:23 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:14 | 0.00 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:17 | 0.00 | 65.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:55 | 0.00 | 74.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 19:09 | 0.34 | 47.3% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:08 | 0.07 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 18:48 | 0.96 | 47.5% | +34.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:29 | 0.03 | 56.8% | +12.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:57 | 0.25 | 45.6% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:35 | 0.01 | 25.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:32 | 0.70 | 68.5% | +7.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:12 | 0.34 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:05 | 0.09 | 42.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:03 | 0.35 | 51.3% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:26 | 0.15 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:08 | 0.24 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 11:59 | 0.70 | 72.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:23 | 0.05 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:56 | 0.00 | 44.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 38 | 37 | 1 | .974 | 3.16 | +2.2 | 59:44 |