Sat, Dec 10, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Calgary Flames 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 5 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 72% of the time.
64%
9%
9%
19%
TOR winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus AnderssonD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 26:47 | 0.04 | 34.8% | 0.0 |
 Chris TanevD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:31 | 0.01 | 36.9% | 0.0 |
 MacKenzie WeegarD · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:49 | 0.02 | 31.0% | 0.0 |
 Noah HanifinD · #55 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 20:02 | 0.37 | 34.2% | +47.4 |
 Nikita ZadorovD · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:42 | 0.06 | 51.4% | 0.0 |
 Elias LindholmC · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:08 | 0.00 | 28.4% | +18.2 |
 Tyler ToffoliC · #73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:06 | 0.09 | 26.0% | 0.0 |
 Nazem KadriC · #91 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:38 | 0.15 | 40.1% | +16.4 |
 Andrew MangiapaneLW · #88 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 16:11 | 0.20 | 40.0% | +45.6 |
 Dillon DubeC · #29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:39 | 0.16 | 41.6% | +16.4 |
 Jonathan HuberdeauLW · #10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:03 | 0.03 | 45.2% | +18.2 |
 Blake ColemanLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:58 | 0.15 | 25.4% | 0.0 |
 Mikael BacklundC · #11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:17 | 0.11 | 47.1% | +23.2 |
 Trevor LewisC · #22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 13:38 | 0.04 | 32.6% | +23.2 |
 Radim ZohornaLW · #67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 11:57 | 0.17 | 30.4% | 0.0 |
 Adam RuzickaC · #63 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:12 | 0.02 | 68.8% | +29.2 |
 Matthew PhillipsRW · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:21 | 0.07 | 82.1% | 0.0 |
 Michael StoneD · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 5:33 | 0.00 | 13.2% | 0.0 |
 Dan Vladar#80 | O | 34 | 29 | 5 | .853 | 2.98 | −2.0 | 60:43 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 3 | 24:19 | 0.27 | 46.2% | +63.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 8 | 23:39 | 0.77 | 64.4% | +73.6 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 2 | 3 | 5 | +1 | 5 | 21:49 | 0.28 | 84.3% | +136.7 |
 Rasmus SandinD · #38 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 20:43 | 0.00 | 71.2% | +31.7 |
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:25 | 0.01 | 73.6% | 0.0 |
 Mark GiordanoD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:08 | 0.07 | 39.4% | 0.0 |
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:00 | 0.00 | 55.2% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 19:38 | 0.44 | 58.4% | +48.0 |
 Timothy LiljegrenD · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:42 | 0.00 | 69.3% | 0.0 |
 Michael BuntingLW · #58 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:08 | 0.42 | 74.9% | +31.1 |
 Alexander KerfootC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:45 | 0.15 | 59.0% | 0.0 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:43 | 0.13 | 68.7% | 0.0 |
 Conor TimminsD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:38 | 0.00 | 65.2% | 0.0 |
 Zachary Aston-ReeseLW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:10 | 0.11 | 59.8% | 0.0 |
 Denis MalginC · #62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 10:50 | 0.29 | 57.4% | 0.0 |
 Joey AndersonRW · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:00 | 0.03 | 93.3% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:54 | 0.00 | 31.9% | 0.0 |
 Wayne SimmondsRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:54 | 0.00 | 54.5% | 0.0 |
 Matt Murray#30 | W | 26 | 22 | 4 | .846 | 1.72 | −2.3 | 60:43 |