Sat, Dec 10, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Calgary Flames 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 5 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 72% of the time.
64%
9%
9%
19%
TOR winsCGY wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CGY's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Kadri–Mangiapane–Dube | Toffoli–Huberdeau–Lindholm | Lewis–Coleman–Zohorna | Backlund–Phillips–Ruzicka | Kadri–Toffoli–Dube | Lewis–Backlund–Coleman | Backlund–Mangiapane–Dube | Hanifin–Andersson | Tanev–Weegar | Stone–Zadorov | Zadorov–Andersson | Tanev–Zadorov | Weegar–Zadorov | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nylander–Bunting–Matthews | 0:330.00–0.06 | 4:450.09–0.02 | 2:370.31–0.00 | 0:550.20–0.00 | 5:570.39–0.00 | 3:160.27–0.08 | 0:470.00–0.05 | ||||||
| Tavares–Marner–Malgin | 2:330.22–0.03 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 2:160.01–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.13 | 3:300.16–0.03 | 0:590.07–0.00 | ||||||
| Kerfoot–Anderson–Kampf | 0:310.00–0.00 | 2:050.04–0.00 | 1:510.16–0.00 | 1:230.04–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 1:380.16–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Simmonds–Aston-Reese–Holmberg | 0:300.10–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.09 | 2:070.00–0.01 | 1:420.00–0.10 | 1:080.10–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Anderson–Aston-Reese–Kampf | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Bunting–Marner–Matthews | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Tavares–Kerfoot–Marner | 0:540.00–0.04 | 0:420.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Giordano–Holl | 2:300.09–0.23 | 5:300.13–0.02 | 2:140.02–0.09 | 1:100.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 5:560.08–0.09 | 3:250.22–0.08 | 1:090.00–0.00 | 1:590.02–0.15 | 0:550.00–0.06 | |||
| Liljegren–Sandin | 3:150.30–0.12 | 1:340.01–0.00 | 3:040.43–0.23 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 3:460.54–0.00 | 3:240.18–0.03 | 1:290.12–0.04 | 0:450.00–0.18 | 0:340.00–0.06 | 0:330.00–0.05 | |||
| Brodie–Timmins | 1:180.00–0.00 | 2:200.00–0.03 | 2:430.20–0.00 | 3:150.02–0.02 | 3:260.00–0.13 | 3:270.14–0.05 | 1:410.01–0.00 | 1:130.25–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | ||||
| Brodie–Liljegren | 1:400.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Brodie–Holl | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:370.11–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Giordano–Brodie | 0:430.00–0.01 | ||||||||||||
| Holl–Sandin | 0:400.07–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORCGYFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus AnderssonCGY | 38 | 26:47 | 0:42 | 1:32 | 0 | 5 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 28 | 24:19 | 0:52 | 1:58 | 7 | 4 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 25 | 23:39 | 0:57 | 2:31 | 9 | 1 |
 Chris TanevCGY | 37 | 23:31 | 0:38 | 1:13 | 2 | 8 |
 MacKenzie WeegarCGY | 37 | 22:49 | 0:37 | 1:12 | 1 | 8 |
 William NylanderTOR | 24 | 21:49 | 0:55 | 2:25 | 9 | 2 |
 Rasmus SandinTOR | 27 | 20:43 | 0:46 | 2:03 | 4 | 1 |
 TJ BrodieTOR | 25 | 20:25 | 0:49 | 1:49 | 0 | 3 |
 Mark GiordanoTOR | 25 | 20:08 | 0:48 | 2:02 | 2 | 3 |
 Noah HanifinCGY | 29 | 20:02 | 0:41 | 1:03 | 1 | 5 |
 Justin HollTOR | 25 | 20:00 | 0:48 | 1:47 | 1 | 4 |
 Nikita ZadorovCGY | 32 | 19:42 | 0:37 | 1:14 | 2 | 2 |
 John TavaresTOR | 22 | 19:38 | 0:54 | 1:45 | 5 | 2 |
 Elias LindholmCGY | 25 | 19:08 | 0:46 | 1:19 | 4 | 8 |
 Timothy LiljegrenTOR | 31 | 18:42 | 0:36 | 1:16 | 3 | 1 |
 Tyler ToffoliCGY | 22 | 17:06 | 0:47 | 1:28 | 5 | 2 |
 Nazem KadriCGY | 25 | 16:38 | 0:40 | 1:10 | 4 | 0 |
 Andrew MangiapaneCGY | 25 | 16:11 | 0:39 | 1:12 | 4 | 0 |
 Michael BuntingTOR | 22 | 16:08 | 0:44 | 1:53 | 3 | 1 |
 Dillon DubeCGY | 23 | 15:39 | 0:41 | 0:58 | 3 | 1 |
 Jonathan HuberdeauCGY | 22 | 15:03 | 0:41 | 1:08 | 5 | 4 |
 Blake ColemanCGY | 22 | 14:58 | 0:41 | 1:24 | 1 | 3 |
 Alexander KerfootTOR | 20 | 14:45 | 0:44 | 1:07 | 2 | 3 |
 David KampfTOR | 25 | 14:43 | 0:35 | 1:14 | 1 | 6 |
 Mikael BacklundCGY | 21 | 14:17 | 0:41 | 1:19 | 2 | 6 |
 Conor TimminsTOR | 18 | 13:38 | 0:45 | 1:24 | 2 | 2 |
 Trevor LewisCGY | 20 | 13:38 | 0:41 | 1:51 | 1 | 2 |
 Zachary Aston-ReeseTOR | 18 | 12:10 | 0:41 | 1:08 | 2 | 1 |
 Radim ZohornaCGY | 17 | 11:57 | 0:42 | 1:32 | 1 | 2 |
 Denis MalginTOR | 15 | 10:50 | 0:43 | 1:23 | 1 | 2 |
 Adam RuzickaCGY | 14 | 10:12 | 0:44 | 1:12 | 1 | 1 |
 Joey AndersonTOR | 18 | 10:00 | 0:33 | 1:15 | 1 | 2 |
 Matthew PhillipsCGY | 14 | 9:21 | 0:40 | 1:21 | 2 | 1 |
 Pontus HolmbergTOR | 12 | 8:54 | 0:45 | 1:34 | 2 | 0 |
 Wayne SimmondsTOR | 10 | 6:54 | 0:41 | 1:19 | 2 | 0 |
 Michael StoneCGY | 13 | 5:33 | 0:26 | 0:47 | 2 | 0 |