Sun, Dec 11, 2022·FLA Live Arena, Sunrise
Seattle Kraken 5, Florida Panthers 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 82% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 19 | 19 | 314 | 532 |
| FLA | 07 | 110 | 18 | 225 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:04SEAMatty BeniersAssists: Jared McCann · Slap, 0.15 xG1–0
- P2 7:34FLAEric StaalAssists: Colin White, Nick Cousins · Snap, 0.18 xG1–1
- P2 9:05SEAAndre BurakovskyAssists: Yanni Gourde, Oliver Bjorkstrand · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–1
- P3 7:15SEAJordan EberleGWGAssists: Matty Beniers, Will Borgen · Tip-in, 0.10 xG3–1
- P3 15:09SEADaniel SprongPPAssists: Alexander Wennberg · Slap, 0.17 xG4–1
- P3 17:22SEAYanni GourdeENAssists: Brandon Tanev, Adam Larsson · Backhand, 0.73 xG5–1
- P3 18:43FLAChris TierneyAssists: Matt Kiersted, Zac Dalpe · Slap, 0.09 xG5–2
Penalties (11)
- P1 2:54SEAYanni Gourde: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P1 6:26FLAGustav Forsling: Broken stick2 min
- P2 0:15FLAMarc Staal: Interference2 min
- P3 4:57SEAJared McCann: Broken stick2 min
- P3 8:17SEACarson Soucy: Holding2 min
- P3 10:11FLABrandon Montour: Tripping2 min
- P3 11:42FLARyan Lomberg: Boarding5 min · PPG
- P3 11:42FLARyan Lomberg: Roughing2 min
- P3 11:42SEAJustin Schultz: Roughing2 min
- P3 11:42FLARyan Lomberg: Game misconduct10 min
- P3 19:57FLAEric Staal: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Gourde won the faceoff against Dalpe
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestEberle – McCann – Beniers7:09
xG 0.82–0.15 (84%)attempts 13–6goals 2–0
- Gourde – Bjorkstrand – Donato9:53
xG 0.71–0.34 (68%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Sprong – Tanev – Geekie6:01
xG 0.50–0.28 (65%)attempts 7–3goals 0–2
- Schwartz – Burakovsky – Wennberg8:30
xG 0.00–0.36 (0%)attempts 3–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLarsson – Dunn17:02
xG 0.93–0.49 (65%)attempts 12–13goals 0–1
- Schultz – Soucy11:03
xG 0.85–0.72 (54%)attempts 10–10goals 2–0
- Borgen – Fleury8:31
xG 0.05–0.23 (19%)attempts 6–6goals 0–1
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestBarkov – Reinhart – Luostarinen2:58
xG 0.09–0.02 (85%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Staal – Cousins – White6:42
xG 0.22–0.18 (54%)attempts 5–5goals 1–0
- Verhaeghe – Barkov – Reinhart3:54
xG 0.24–0.25 (49%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Bennett – Tkachuk – Luostarinen3:55
xG 0.23–0.26 (48%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestStaal – Kiersted3:34
xG 0.33–0.10 (77%)attempts 4–2goals 1–0
- Montour – Mahura7:28
xG 0.40–0.33 (55%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Montour – Forsling3:39
xG 0.08–0.10 (46%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 82% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).