Sat, Dec 17, 2022·Capital One Arena, Washington
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Washington Capitals 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 67% of the time.
25%
60%
WSH winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 21:19 | 0.07 | 42.3% | 0.0 |
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:04 | 0.18 | 67.5% | +13.8 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 19:32 | 0.22 | 43.6% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 19:23 | 0.31 | 66.8% | +32.3 |
 Rasmus SandinD · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:21 | 0.06 | 51.5% | 0.0 |
 Timothy LiljegrenD · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 19:12 | 0.06 | 47.0% | 0.0 |
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:04 | 0.09 | 61.3% | 0.0 |
 Conor TimminsD · #25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:41 | 0.08 | 58.7% | +13.8 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 18:00 | 0.70 | 62.8% | +18.5 |
 Mark GiordanoD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:32 | 0.08 | 64.8% | 0.0 |
 Michael BuntingLW · #58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:42 | 0.27 | 62.2% | 0.0 |
 Denis MalginC · #62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:30 | 0.19 | 34.6% | 0.0 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:26 | 0.16 | 61.9% | 0.0 |
 Pierre EngvallLW · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:21 | 0.40 | 61.5% | 0.0 |
 Alexander KerfootC · #15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 13:20 | 0.50 | 64.3% | +18.5 |
 Zachary Aston-ReeseLW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:10 | 0.11 | 63.9% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:24 | 0.11 | 41.9% | 0.0 |
 Joey AndersonRW · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 8:59 | 0.12 | 65.9% | 0.0 |
 Ilya Samsonov#35 | L | 28 | 23 | 5 | .821 | 2.60 | −2.4 | 60:00 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Dmitry OrlovD · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 23:28 | 0.22 | 56.5% | 0.0 |
 Evgeny KuznetsovC · #92 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 21:24 | 0.29 | 51.0% | +19.2 |
 John CarlsonD · #74 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 21:22 | 0.04 | 38.0% | +18.4 |
 Nick JensenD · #3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:47 | 0.11 | 61.7% | +14.6 |
 Erik GustafssonD · #56 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +3 | 5 | 19:13 | 0.43 | 40.5% | +37.6 |
 Marcus JohanssonLW · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:53 | 0.35 | 42.9% | 0.0 |
 Alex OvechkinLW · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:15 | 0.23 | 46.9% | 0.0 |
 Conor ShearyLW · #73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:53 | 0.15 | 38.5% | 0.0 |
 Lars EllerC · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:35 | 0.07 | 32.4% | 0.0 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykD · #57 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:26 | 0.03 | 18.2% | +18.7 |
 Dylan StromeC · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:24 | 0.13 | 36.8% | 0.0 |
 Matt IrwinD · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:40 | 0.02 | 18.3% | 0.0 |
 Sonny MilanoLW · #15 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 13:25 | 0.09 | 47.8% | +50.8 |
 Nicolas Aube-KubelRW · #96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:24 | 0.14 | 39.5% | 0.0 |
 Anthony ManthaRW · #39 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 13:11 | 0.00 | 54.4% | +18.7 |
 Garnet HathawayRW · #21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:25 | 0.07 | 28.6% | +14.6 |
 Aliaksei ProtasLW · #59 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:11 | 0.00 | 36.8% | +5.5 |
 T.J. OshieRW · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7:04 | 0.24 | 45.8% | 0.0 |
 Charlie Lindgren#79 | W | 36 | 34 | 2 | .944 | 3.71 | +1.7 | 60:00 |