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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 17, 2022·Capital One Arena, Washington

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Washington Capitals 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 67% of the time.

WSH winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Tavares–Marner–MalginNylander–Bunting–MatthewsKerfoot–Engvall–KampfAnderson–Aston-Reese–HolmbergTavares–Marner–MatthewsMarner–Malgin–Aston-ReeseBrodie–TimminsLiljegren–SandinGiordano–HollTimmins–SandinBrodie–HollGiordano–Liljegren
Ovechkin–Sheary–Strome2:580.05–0.010:570.02–0.004:340.36–0.510:480.00–0.002:170.21–0.113:130.05–0.124:100.17–0.180:510.00–0.10
Kuznetsov–Mantha–Milano3:470.35–0.001:370.08–0.312:420.16–0.083:180.19–0.072:190.29–0.201:510.03–0.080:520.08–0.25
Eller–Hathaway–Aube-Kubel2:380.00–0.034:510.11–0.730:310.05–0.003:060.05–0.110:500.00–0.062:320.11–0.380:500.00–0.050:490.00–0.121:310.02–0.09
Oshie–Johansson–Protas2:070.02–0.202:200.22–0.020:400.00–0.030:550.00–0.142:050.00–0.072:080.24–0.03
Johansson–Kuznetsov–Protas0:410.16–0.000:500.00–0.061:210.16–0.160:560.00–0.00
Eller–Johansson–Aube-Kubel1:310.33–0.151:300.33–0.00
Kuznetsov–Milano–Protas0:410.00–0.090:320.00–0.110:410.00–0.09
Orlov–Jensen5:300.06–0.026:380.68–0.741:090.37–0.001:250.00–0.050:310.05–0.005:400.24–0.132:060.33–0.005:240.50–0.201:450.00–0.121:490.08–0.34
Carlson–Gustafsson5:180.50–0.292:540.02–0.442:340.00–0.291:220.13–0.090:480.00–0.003:430.13–0.455:250.50–0.263:030.02–0.401:420.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Irwin–van Riemsdyk1:390.00–0.214:290.21–0.483:360.00–0.083:090.21–0.284:110.00–0.343:000.00–0.121:070.02–0.100:500.00–0.08
Orlov–Gustafsson0:320.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndOvechkin FStrome FSheary FMantha FKuznetsov FMilano FProtas FJohansson FOshie FAube-Kubel FHathaway FEller FGustafsson DCarlson DOrlov DJensen DIrwin Dvan Riemsdyk DLindgren GMatthews FBunting FNylander FMalgin FMarner FTavares FKerfoot FEngvall FKampf FHolmberg FAston-Reese FAnderson FHoll DGiordano DBrodie DTimmins DLiljegren DSandin DSamsonov G
WSHTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Dmitry OrlovWSH2623:280:541:3106
Evgeny KuznetsovWSH2221:240:582:1023
John CarlsonWSH2421:220:532:0134
Mitch MarnerTOR2221:190:581:5641
TJ BrodieTOR2320:040:521:2932
Nick JensenWSH2519:470:471:4206
John TavaresTOR1919:321:021:5230
Auston MatthewsTOR2419:230:481:5381
Rasmus SandinTOR2219:210:531:5901
Erik GustafssonWSH2419:130:481:5224
Timothy LiljegrenTOR2319:120:501:3721
Justin HollTOR2419:040:481:3311
Marcus JohanssonWSH1918:531:002:0134
Conor TimminsTOR2118:410:532:0240
Alex OvechkinWSH1818:151:012:3221
William NylanderTOR2218:000:491:4771
Mark GiordanoTOR2717:320:391:0840
Conor ShearyWSH1916:530:531:2313
Michael BuntingTOR2216:420:461:5171
Lars EllerWSH2316:350:431:0717
Trevor van RiemsdykWSH2216:260:451:5512
Dylan StromeWSH1816:240:551:3321
Matt IrwinWSH1915:400:491:5411
Denis MalginTOR1715:300:551:2920
David KampfTOR1813:260:451:3213
Sonny MilanoWSH1613:250:501:3003
Nicolas Aube-KubelWSH1813:240:451:0404
Pierre EngvallTOR1813:210:451:1012
Alexander KerfootTOR1913:200:421:0802
Anthony ManthaWSH1513:110:531:5203
Garnet HathawayWSH1912:250:391:0306
Aliaksei ProtasWSH1412:110:521:5711
Zachary Aston-ReeseTOR1612:100:461:0420
Pontus HolmbergTOR1310:240:481:1920
Joey AndersonTOR148:590:390:5120
T.J. OshieWSH77:041:011:5412