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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 20, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 4

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

1

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 97% of the time.

TOR winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:41Shot by Point, saved by Murray
  3. P1 3:40Shot by Nylander, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 4:20Shot by Nylander, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 4:30Shot by Point, saved by Murray
  6. P1 5:17Shot by Perbix, saved by Murray
  7. P1 5:45Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 7:36Shot by Timmins, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 9:48Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 10:14Shot by Liljegren, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 11:08Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 12:13Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 15:46Shot by Marner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  14. P1 16:26Shot by Nylander, saved by Vasilevskiy
  15. P1 16:28Shot by Bunting, saved by Vasilevskiy
  16. P1 16:45Goal by Bunting (Nylander)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, Timmins · TBL Bogosian, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli, Sergachev

  17. P1 18:02Shot by Perbix, saved by Murray
  18. P1 19:20Shot by Nylander, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 19:21Shot by Bunting, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 19:24Shot by Nylander, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
  21. P1 19:42Cole: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Nylander, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren, Sandin · TBL Cole, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Hagel

  22. P1 0:00Bellemare: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Nylander, Bunting, Marner, Matthews · TBL Bellemare, Cernak, Cirelli, Sergachev

  23. P1 0:00Bunting: Roughing (2 min)5v3

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Nylander, Bunting, Marner, Matthews · TBL Bellemare, Cernak, Cirelli, Sergachev

  24. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 1:01Goal by Matthews (Sandin, Marner)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, Sandin · TBL Killorn, Paul, Cernak, Sergachev

  27. P2 1:37Shot by Kucherov, saved by Murray
  28. P2 3:01Shot by Tavares, saved by Vasilevskiy
  29. P2 5:49Kucherov: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Holl, Nylander, Bunting, Marner, Matthews · TBL Perry, Bogosian, Point, Sergachev, Hagel

  30. P2 6:09Shot by Tavares, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  31. P2 6:10Shot by Tavares, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  32. P2 6:11Shot by Bunting, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  33. P2 6:12Shot by Bunting, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  34. P2 6:18Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  35. P2 6:34Shot by Marner, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  36. P2 7:51Shot by Engvall, saved by Vasilevskiy
  37. P2 8:37Shot by Bunting, saved by Vasilevskiy
  38. P2 10:28Liljegren: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Tavares, Kerfoot, Engvall, Liljegren · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Paul, Sergachev

  39. P2 12:33Shot by Colton, saved by Murray
  40. P2 13:57Shot by Brodie, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 17:05Shot by Marner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  42. P2 17:30Shot by Giordano, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P2 18:00Shot by Cernak, saved by Murray
  44. P2 18:05Shot by Cole, saved by Murray
  45. P2 19:59Shot by Kampf, saved by Vasilevskiy
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 1:38Shot by Kucherov, saved by Murray
  49. P3 3:01Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P3 3:57Shot by Killorn, saved by Murray
  51. P3 4:08Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Murray
  52. P3 4:09Goal by Namestnikov (Stamkos)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, Timmins · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Namestnikov, Sergachev

  53. P3 5:16Shot by Tavares, saved by Vasilevskiy
  54. P3 5:48Shot by Hedman, saved by Murray
  55. P3 6:10Shot by Kucherov, saved by Murray
  56. P3 6:18Shot by Stamkos, saved by Murray
  57. P3 7:14Shot by Cirelli, saved by Murray
  58. P3 8:16Shot by Bellemare, saved by Murray
  59. P3 9:58Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  60. P3 10:08Shot by Timmins, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P3 10:23Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  62. P3 10:37Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  63. P3 12:34Shot by Cole, saved by Murray
  64. P3 13:05Shot by Cirelli, saved by Murray
  65. P3 15:04Shot by Nylander, saved by Vasilevskiy
  66. P3 15:10Shot by Nylander, saved by Vasilevskiy
  67. P3 17:24Shot by Tavares, saved by Vasilevskiy
  68. P3 18:14Goal by Engvall (Kampf, Giordano)5v6+7 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Kerfoot, Engvall, Liljegren, Kampf · TBL Perry, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli, Sergachev

  69. P3 19:28Goal by Nylander (Jarnkrok)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Tavares, Jarnkrok, Nylander, Liljegren · TBL Perry, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Paul

  70. P3 0:00Liljegren: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Anderson, Aston-Reese, Timmins, Liljegren, Holmberg · TBL Maroon, Bogosian, Namestnikov, Bellemare, Perbix

  71. P3 0:00Period end4v5
  72. P3 0:00Final