Tue, Dec 20, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 97% of the time.
95%
TOR winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:41 | 0.06 | 45.0% | 0.0 |
 Mikhail SergachevD · #98 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:48 | 0.07 | 45.6% | 0.0 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:41 | 0.02 | 31.7% | 0.0 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:24 | 0.27 | 30.2% | 0.0 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:07 | 0.00 | 30.6% | 0.0 |
 Ian ColeD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:47 | 0.05 | 27.1% | 0.0 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:17 | 0.15 | 16.6% | 0.0 |
 Nick PerbixD · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:54 | 0.07 | 26.1% | 0.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:48 | 0.15 | 47.2% | 0.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:22 | 0.00 | 41.5% | 0.0 |
 Alex KillornLW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:36 | 0.02 | 26.0% | 0.0 |
 Steven StamkosC · #91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 15:04 | 0.02 | 73.5% | +14.4 |
 Corey PerryRW · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:09 | 0.00 | 53.2% | 0.0 |
 Zach BogosianD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:40 | 0.00 | 26.3% | 0.0 |
 Vladislav NamestnikovC · #90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:25 | 0.21 | 65.0% | +14.4 |
 Pierre-Edouard BellemareLW · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:08 | 0.01 | 26.6% | 0.0 |
 Ross ColtonC · #79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:35 | 0.16 | 34.9% | 0.0 |
 Patrick MaroonLW · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:05 | 0.07 | 22.9% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | L | 38 | 36 | 2 | .947 | 3.88 | +1.9 | 59:10 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 24:56 | 0.01 | 54.5% | 0.0 |
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:45 | 0.01 | 48.7% | 0.0 |
 Mark GiordanoD · #55 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:12 | 0.01 | 60.8% | +7.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 21:24 | 0.57 | 65.9% | +13.0 |
 Timothy LiljegrenD · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 21:17 | 0.02 | 70.3% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 8 | 20:43 | 1.18 | 63.2% | +19.2 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:42 | 0.20 | 92.5% | +13.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 17:19 | 1.04 | 78.5% | 0.0 |
 Michael BuntingLW · #58 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17:15 | 1.09 | 71.1% | +18.9 |
 Conor TimminsD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:11 | 0.05 | 61.9% | 0.0 |
 Pierre EngvallLW · #47 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:16 | 0.80 | 59.4% | +7.0 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:20 | 0.02 | 45.9% | +7.0 |
 Alexander KerfootC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:00 | 0.11 | 51.4% | 0.0 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:50 | 0.09 | 75.1% | +0.2 |
 Zachary Aston-ReeseLW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:39 | 0.15 | 32.5% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:22 | 0.05 | 47.0% | 0.0 |
 Joey AndersonRW · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:47 | 0.00 | 53.4% | 0.0 |
 Rasmus SandinD · #38 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8:30 | 0.00 | 72.3% | +13.0 |
 Matt Murray#30 | W | 19 | 18 | 1 | .947 | 1.33 | +0.3 | 59:32 |