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Ice Lab

Fri, Dec 23, 2022·UBS Arena, Elmont

Florida Panthers 1, New York Islanders 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 86% of the time.

NYI winsFLA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NYI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Verhaeghe–Bennett–TkachukStaal–Cousins–LombergReinhart–Luostarinen–LundellDalpe–Smith–DenisenkoVerhaeghe–Reinhart–LundellBennett–Tkachuk–LuostarinenStaal–Dalpe–LombergStaal–Reinhart–LuostarinenStaal–MontourMontour–ForslingForsling–KierstedStaal–MahuraForsling–MahuraMontour–KierstedStaal–ForslingMontour–MahuraEkblad–ForslingStaal–Kiersted
Bailey–Barzal–Wahlstrom2:460.09–0.201:080.31–0.000:300.02–0.000:390.00–0.151:260.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:340.00–0.020:490.29–0.001:000.02–0.150:330.09–0.000:380.09–0.18
Parise–Pageau–Holmstrom3:520.54–0.210:320.16–0.000:410.18–0.001:160.01–0.022:440.74–0.000:300.10–0.00
Lee–Nelson–Beauvillier2:160.13–0.000:310.00–0.000:510.13–0.000:320.00–0.000:420.00–0.00
Lee–Beauvillier–Räty0:410.00–0.001:380.03–0.141:120.00–0.000:310.05–0.001:140.00–0.14
Martin–Fasching–Räty0:380.00–0.000:330.31–0.000:530.31–0.001:010.04–0.00
Martin–Fasching–Barzal
Lee–Fasching–Räty0:380.00–0.010:510.19–0.000:380.00–0.01
Parise–Pageau–Wahlstrom0:330.03–0.000:340.01–0.00
Bailey–Fasching–Barzal0:410.00–0.090:310.00–0.09
Mayfield–Romanov3:500.35–0.220:310.00–0.000:480.00–0.142:020.18–0.002:340.01–0.022:580.31–0.020:390.08–0.001:370.04–0.000:500.07–0.000:530.00–0.190:450.00–0.141:140.18–0.01
Pulock–Wotherspoon1:530.00–0.001:100.18–0.002:310.41–0.041:100.00–0.120:440.31–0.000:460.07–0.042:180.18–0.091:390.31–0.000:450.03–0.001:400.29–0.001:030.01–0.030:370.09–0.000:440.00–0.000:360.05–0.00
Aho–Dobson1:370.43–0.001:460.00–0.021:340.10–0.001:430.17–0.002:260.25–0.001:340.00–0.020:340.00–0.071:060.02–0.111:020.00–0.00
Mayfield–Aho0:560.09–0.000:320.00–0.00
Dobson–Romanov0:320.09–0.180:440.09–0.18
Pulock–Aho0:380.00–0.000:430.00–0.000:430.00–0.00
Mayfield–Wotherspoon0:420.19–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBeauvillier FLee FNelson FPageau FHolmstrom FParise FBarzal FWahlstrom FBailey FRäty FFasching FMartin FPulock DWotherspoon DMayfield DAho DDobson DRomanov DSorokin GStaal FCousins FLomberg FBennett FTkachuk FVerhaeghe FReinhart FLuostarinen FDenisenko FSmith FDalpe FLundell FEkblad DForsling DMontour DStaal DMahura DKiersted DBobrovsky G
NYIFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Brandon MontourFLA2929:411:012:2126
Gustav ForslingFLA3228:330:542:4036
Marc StaalFLA3123:000:452:0136
Noah DobsonNYI2521:380:521:5450
Mathew BarzalNYI2621:320:502:0860
Sam BennettFLA2421:240:541:4244
Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI3121:100:412:0248
Ryan PulockNYI2620:570:481:1722
Scott MayfieldNYI2519:480:482:0915
Sam ReinhartFLA2319:340:511:2823
Alexander RomanovNYI2319:190:502:0924
Anders LeeNYI2318:500:491:4850
Anthony BeauvillierNYI2618:180:421:5070
Zach PariseNYI2717:550:401:2037
Eetu LuostarinenFLA2617:540:411:1143
Eric StaalFLA2517:270:421:0914
Josh BaileyNYI2517:190:421:1530
Matthew TkachukFLA2216:400:451:2351
Carter VerhaegheFLA2116:340:471:2933
Anton LundellFLA2216:110:441:1744
Sebastian AhoNYI2416:050:401:3142
Josh MahuraFLA2015:280:461:2923
Parker WotherspoonNYI2014:470:441:1001
Oliver WahlstromNYI2113:490:391:0140
Matt KierstedFLA2013:430:411:3103
Ryan LombergFLA2112:450:361:0705
Aatu RätyNYI1611:250:431:1220
Brock NelsonNYI1410:330:451:1840
Hudson FaschingNYI1410:190:441:1410
Nick CousinsFLA1810:130:341:1121
Grigori DenisenkoFLA139:270:441:1930
Matt MartinNYI159:180:371:0503
Simon HolmstromNYI158:580:361:2223
Zac DalpeFLA138:290:391:1821
Givani SmithFLA107:010:421:1830
Aaron EkbladFLA54:040:491:1401