Skip to content
Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 29, 2022·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Detroit Red Wings 3, Buffalo Sabres 6

Away

Detroit Red Wings

3

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 71% of the time.

BUF winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:17Shot by Power, saved by Hellberg
  3. P1 5:02Shot by Hronek, saved by Luukkonen
  4. P1 5:40Shot by Soderblom, saved by Luukkonen
  5. P1 6:35Shot by Skinner, saved by Hellberg
  6. P1 6:43Shot by Skinner, saved by Hellberg
  7. P1 7:00Shot by Oesterle, saved by Luukkonen
  8. P1 7:27Shot by Okposo, saved by Hellberg
  9. P1 8:25Shot by Peterka, saved by Hellberg
  10. P1 8:59Shot by Olofsson, saved by Hellberg
  11. P1 9:39Shot by Veleno, saved by Luukkonen
  12. P1 10:32Shot by Power, saved by Hellberg
  13. P1 11:01Shot by Thompson, saved by Hellberg
  14. P1 11:09Shot by Dahlin, saved by Hellberg
  15. P1 11:20Shot by Girgensons, saved by Hellberg
  16. P1 12:19Shot by Walman, saved by Luukkonen
  17. P1 13:29Berggren: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Olofsson, Jost, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin · DET Perron, Maatta, Oesterle, Larkin, Rasmussen

  18. P1 14:25Shot by Dahlin, saved by Hellberg5v4
  19. P1 15:32Goal by Mittelstadt (Peterka, Power)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Quinn, Peterka, Power · DET Erne, Walman, Hronek, Suter, Berggren

  20. P1 17:42Shot by Lyubushkin, saved by Hellberg
  21. P1 17:50Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Hellberg
  22. P1 18:31Erne: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin · DET Chiarot, Sundqvist, Copp, Erne, Seider

  23. P1 18:51Power: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Quinn, Peterka, Power · DET Larkin, Walman, Hronek, Rasmussen

  24. P1 19:22Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Luukkonen4v4
  25. P1 19:50Shot by Hronek, saved by Luukkonen4v4
  26. P1 0:00Period end4v4
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 1:20Goal by Skinner, unassisted+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Lyubushkin, Cozens, Quinn, Power · DET Perron, Larkin, Walman, Hronek, Rasmussen

  29. P2 4:59Shot by Kubalik, saved by Luukkonen
  30. P2 5:13Shot by Seider, saved by Luukkonen
  31. P2 6:54Shot by Larkin, saved by Luukkonen
  32. P2 8:21Shot by Peterka, saved by Hellberg
  33. P2 9:14Soderblom: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Bryson, Lyubushkin, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka · DET Maatta, Oesterle, Veleno, Berggren, Soderblom

  34. P2 9:18Shot by Dahlin, saved by Hellberg5v4
  35. P2 9:57Shot by Skinner, saved by Hellberg5v4
  36. P2 10:28Goal by Mittelstadt (Power, Peterka)5v4+6 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Quinn, Peterka, Power · DET Erne, Walman, Hronek, Rasmussen

  37. P2 10:56Shot by Okposo, saved by Hellberg
  38. P2 11:21Goal by Okposo (Girgensons, Krebs)+3 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Clague, Krebs, Power · DET Perron, Chiarot, Larkin, Rasmussen, Seider

  39. P2 12:01Shot by Hronek, saved by Luukkonen
  40. P2 14:02Goal by Okposo (Jost)+1 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Jost, Mittelstadt, Bryson, Lyubushkin · DET Sundqvist, Kubalik, Hronek, Suter, Seider

  41. P2 15:29Shot by Tuch, saved by Hellberg
  42. P2 16:47Shot by Quinn, saved by Hellberg
  43. P2 16:48Peterka: Embellishment (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Bryson, Lyubushkin, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka · DET Sundqvist, Kubalik, Walman, Hronek, Suter

  44. P2 18:30Shot by Hronek, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  45. P2 18:31Shot by Sundqvist, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  46. P2 18:40Shot by Veleno, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  47. P2 18:59Shot by Peterka, saved by Hellberg
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 2:35Goal by Kubalik (Soderblom)+1 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Bryson, Lyubushkin, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka · DET Chiarot, Kubalik, Veleno, Seider, Soderblom

  51. P3 3:15Shot by Walman, saved by Luukkonen
  52. P3 3:34Dahlin: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Olofsson, Jost, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin · DET Perron, Larkin, Walman, Hronek, Rasmussen

  53. P3 4:22Shot by Berggren, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  54. P3 4:23Goal by Kubalik (Veleno, Sundqvist)4v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Lyubushkin · DET Sundqvist, Kubalik, Veleno, Berggren, Seider

  55. P3 4:44Shot by Girgensons, saved by Hellberg
  56. P3 5:02Shot by Copp, saved by Luukkonen
  57. P3 6:09Shot by Tuch, saved by Hellberg
  58. P3 6:41Shot by Soderblom, saved by Luukkonen
  59. P3 7:11Goal by Oesterle (Copp, Berggren)+5 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Clague, Krebs, Power · DET Maatta, Copp, Oesterle, Berggren, Raymond

  60. P3 8:43Shot by Tuch, saved by Hellberg
  61. P3 8:55Shot by Jost, saved by Hellberg
  62. P3 9:12Seider: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Jost, Thompson, Lyubushkin, Power · DET Perron, Chiarot, Larkin, Rasmussen, Seider

  63. P3 11:19Shot by Raymond, saved by Luukkonen
  64. P3 11:33Shot by Girgensons, saved by Hellberg
  65. P3 12:24Shot by Thompson, saved by Hellberg
  66. P3 12:43Shot by Kubalik, saved by Luukkonen
  67. P3 12:50Shot by Maatta, saved by Luukkonen
  68. P3 14:05Shot by Perron, saved by Luukkonen
  69. P3 15:04Shot by Kubalik, saved by Luukkonen
  70. P3 15:37Shot by Perron, saved by Luukkonen5v6
  71. P3 15:48Shot by Hronek, saved by Luukkonen5v6
  72. P3 15:49Shot by Raymond, saved by Luukkonen5v6
  73. P3 15:57Shot by Hronek, saved by Luukkonen5v6
  74. P3 16:11Shot by Perron, saved by Luukkonen5v6
  75. P3 16:22Goal by Okposo (Girgensons, Cozens)5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Cozens · DET Perron, Kubalik, Larkin, Hronek, Rasmussen, Raymond

  76. P3 17:07Shot by Dahlin, saved by Hellberg
  77. P3 17:28Veleno: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Power · DET Chiarot, Oesterle, Veleno, Berggren, Soderblom

  78. P3 19:18Shot by Skinner, saved by Hellberg5v4
  79. P3 19:31Shot by Skinner, saved by Hellberg
  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final