Thu, Dec 29, 2022·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Detroit Red Wings 3, Buffalo Sabres 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 71% of the time.
64%
22%
BUF winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:55 | 0.02 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:48 | 0.14 | 29.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 6 | 21:25 | 0.23 | 25.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:33 | 0.18 | 27.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 18:35 | 0.12 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:51 | 0.01 | 68.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 16:28 | 0.28 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:20 | 0.13 | 31.2% | +4.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 15:10 | 0.20 | 8.0% | +1.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:10 | 0.00 | 18.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 15:03 | 0.08 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:38 | 0.09 | 69.0% | +4.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:35 | 0.32 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:27 | 0.22 | 66.0% | +1.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 5 | 13:59 | 0.49 | 32.1% | +2.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:29 | 0.25 | 7.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:31 | 0.03 | 44.1% | +4.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:06 | 0.28 | 75.2% | +0.6 |
| L | 34 | 29 | 5 | .853 | 3.32 | −1.7 | 58:43 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 25:17 | 0.20 | 81.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:13 | 0.40 | 81.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:54 | 0.38 | 79.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:39 | 0.03 | 80.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 21:08 | 0.13 | 60.3% | +26.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 20:26 | 0.56 | 80.1% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:36 | 0.02 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:25 | 0.20 | 78.6% | +1.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14:24 | 0.13 | 78.8% | +26.4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 14:20 | 0.27 | 40.7% | +26.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:01 | 0.00 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:49 | 0.02 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 13:05 | 1.12 | 60.6% | +5.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:01 | 0.52 | 76.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:42 | 0.06 | 37.5% | +1.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:26 | 0.03 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:04 | 0.00 | 58.7% | +3.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 10:02 | 0.35 | 63.2% | +4.6 |
| W | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 3.08 | +0.1 | 59:39 |