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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 31, 2022·TD Garden, Boston

Buffalo Sabres 4, Boston Bruins 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 87% of the time.

BOS winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BOS forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Skinner–Tuch–ThompsonOkposo–Girgensons–KrebsCozens–Quinn–PeterkaOlofsson–Jost–MittelstadtTuch–Thompson–MittelstadtOkposo–Skinner–ThompsonSamuelsson–DahlinClague–PowerBryson–PowerSamuelsson–PowerDahlin–PowerBryson–DahlinBryson–LyubushkinLyubushkin–PowerBryson–SamuelssonSamuelsson–LyubushkinClague–Lyubushkin
Bergeron–Marchand–DeBrusk7:330.32–0.091:180.00–0.000:460.08–0.151:190.30–0.003:550.03–0.140:580.00–0.020:570.12–0.000:580.00–0.000:390.08–0.011:430.19–0.061:120.30–0.000:320.01–0.00
Krejci–Pastrnak–Zacha3:080.35–0.123:280.00–0.000:340.05–0.004:000.26–0.021:080.15–0.001:040.00–0.00
Foligno–Greer–Frederic2:070.26–0.061:280.00–0.010:580.00–0.002:090.26–0.070:310.00–0.000:400.00–0.01
Smith–Coyle–Hall1:240.00–0.011:500.10–0.000:480.02–0.000:590.10–0.002:020.00–0.010:480.02–0.00
Krejci–Hall–Pastrnak1:400.00–0.150:520.00–0.000:590.00–0.041:380.00–0.00
Foligno–Zacha–Frederic0:310.05–0.000:390.00–0.000:310.05–0.00
Foligno–Smith–Coyle1:050.00–0.000:530.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Coyle–Zacha–Frederic1:120.34–0.081:120.34–0.08
Lindholm–McAvoy7:180.31–0.170:420.00–0.002:060.12–0.160:400.00–0.010:390.30–0.004:270.20–0.161:190.00–0.021:130.12–0.000:590.00–0.000:410.00–0.081:300.19–0.060:480.30–0.000:400.00–0.01
Grzelcyk–Carlo1:340.13–0.061:380.06–0.113:240.02–0.003:060.06–0.001:280.13–0.070:480.02–0.000:370.00–0.00
Forbort–Clifton3:320.13–0.150:530.00–0.070:380.00–0.001:500.00–0.001:090.13–0.002:260.00–0.040:310.00–0.110:320.00–0.07
Forbort–Carlo0:590.01–0.000:340.00–0.011:350.07–0.000:360.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:390.00–0.000:380.00–0.010:430.05–0.000:490.02–0.000:400.01–0.00
Grzelcyk–Clifton0:450.00–0.200:470.00–0.001:060.00–0.000:570.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:360.08–0.00
Forbort–McAvoy0:430.10–0.000:310.00–0.000:390.10–0.00
Grzelcyk–McAvoy0:420.34–0.000:370.00–0.000:400.00–0.000:430.05–0.000:350.05–0.000:410.00–0.000:320.34–0.000:470.00–0.00
Lindholm–Carlo0:440.00–0.001:010.26–0.010:390.08–0.010:350.00–0.00
Lindholm–Clifton1:390.00–0.000:490.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndBergeron FMarchand FDeBrusk FZacha FPastrnak FCoyle FFrederic FGreer FKrejci FHall FFoligno FSmith FLindholm DMcAvoy DCarlo DForbort DClifton DGrzelcyk DSwayman GSkinner FThompson FTuch FPeterka FCozens FQuinn FMittelstadt FOlofsson FOkposo FGirgensons FKrebs FJost FSamuelsson DDahlin DClague DPower DBryson DLyubushkin DLuukkonen G
BOSBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Owen PowerBUF3528:440:492:0653
Rasmus DahlinBUF3927:520:431:1585
Charlie McAvoyBOS2926:480:551:5734
Mattias SamuelssonBUF3124:440:482:1847
Hampus LindholmBOS3223:440:452:0063
Brad MarchandBOS3222:490:431:4594
Tage ThompsonBUF2822:390:492:0360
Alex TuchBUF2721:300:482:0170
David PastrnakBOS2620:300:471:3953
David KrejciBOS2420:250:511:3574
Patrice BergeronBOS3120:180:391:2594
Pavel ZachaBOS2919:380:411:2363
Derek ForbortBOS2419:120:482:0136
Jeff SkinnerBUF2519:030:461:2670
Brandon CarloBOS2618:380:431:2736
Jake DeBruskBOS3018:200:371:2483
Dylan CozensBUF2517:260:421:5044
Matt GrzelcykBOS2116:030:461:1935
Jacob BrysonBUF2315:240:401:1622
Taylor HallBOS2015:030:451:2431
Charlie CoyleBOS2114:550:431:1225
Kyle OkposoBUF2014:320:441:2443
Peyton KrebsBUF1914:220:451:0553
Connor CliftonBOS1814:160:481:2634
Casey MittelstadtBUF1913:540:441:2822
JJ PeterkaBUF1913:280:431:1332
Jack QuinnBUF1913:100:421:1235
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2012:400:380:5745
Victor OlofssonBUF1712:030:431:0632
Ilya LyubushkinBUF2211:370:321:5724
Nick FolignoBOS1711:130:401:1812
Trent FredericBOS1711:020:391:2203
Tyson JostBUF1710:590:391:1114
Kale ClagueBUF149:410:422:0940
Craig SmithBOS116:410:360:5810
A.J. GreerBOS96:060:411:1302