Sat, Jan 7, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Minnesota Wild 5, Buffalo Sabres 6 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 65% of the time.
27%
58%
BUF winsMIN wins
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 26:19 | 0.27 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 25:43 | 0.01 | 52.7% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 21:54 | 0.19 | 64.5% | +20.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 6 | 20:37 | 0.98 | 66.7% | +20.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 20:25 | 0.36 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 20:10 | 0.28 | 64.8% | +56.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 18:53 | 0.12 | 36.9% | +54.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:23 | 0.02 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:31 | 0.00 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 16:06 | 0.18 | 48.0% | +14.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 16:05 | 0.31 | 47.4% | +34.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 15:42 | 0.57 | 63.5% | +23.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:54 | 0.11 | 60.2% | +23.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:47 | 0.01 | 2.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 12:25 | 0.09 | 15.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 12:21 | 0.29 | 52.8% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:28 | 0.00 | 20.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:06 | 0.00 | 22.9% | 0.0 |
| O | 37 | 31 | 6 | .838 | 2.84 | −3.2 | 64:36 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 2 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 4 | 29:25 | 0.17 | 44.8% | +155.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 28:53 | 0.19 | 54.6% | +45.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:51 | 0.09 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 22:43 | 0.16 | 35.1% | +22.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 22:25 | 0.26 | 37.3% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:53 | 0.56 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:28 | 0.10 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:13 | 0.14 | 46.0% | +48.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:48 | 0.06 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:32 | 0.26 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14:30 | 0.11 | 43.6% | +36.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 14:18 | 0.15 | 65.3% | +84.8 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 6 | 13:35 | 0.35 | 71.7% | +66.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:25 | 0.00 | 63.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:05 | 0.05 | 70.5% | +21.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:54 | 0.05 | 37.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:00 | 0.07 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:52 | 0.07 | 40.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 44 | 39 | 5 | .886 | 3.78 | −1.2 | 64:41 |