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Ice Lab

Sun, Jan 8, 2023·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Philadelphia Flyers 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 55% of the time.

PHI winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:14Shot by Kampf, saved by Hart
  3. P1 0:42Shot by Liljegren, saved by Hart
  4. P1 0:59Shot by Nylander, saved by Hart
  5. P1 1:05Shot by Bunting, saved by Hart
  6. P1 2:50Shot by Brown, saved by Murray
  7. P1 3:47Shot by Engvall, saved by Hart
  8. P1 5:54Shot by Tippett, saved by Murray
  9. P1 7:42Shot by Hayes, saved by Murray
  10. P1 8:20Shot by Rielly, saved by Hart
  11. P1 9:51Goal by Jarnkrok (Marner, Timmins)+15 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Sanheim, Konecny, Cates, Farabee · TOR Giordano, Tavares, Jarnkrok, Marner, Timmins

  12. P1 11:14Shot by Seeler, saved by Murray
  13. P1 11:44Shot by Tippett, saved by Murray
  14. P1 12:45Shot by Nylander, saved by Hart
  15. P1 13:01Shot by Hayes, saved by Murray
  16. P1 13:16Shot by Matthews, saved by Hart
  17. P1 15:12Shot by Konecny, saved by Murray
  18. P1 15:16Shot by Konecny, saved by Murray
  19. P1 16:06Shot by Allison, saved by Murray
  20. P1 16:36Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Murray
  21. P1 17:42Shot by Holmberg, saved by Hart
  22. P1 17:44Goal by Aston-Reese (Holmberg)+15 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Deslauriers, Brown, Sanheim, DeAngelo, MacEwen · TOR Giordano, Simmonds, Aston-Reese, Liljegren, Holmberg

  23. P1 18:00Goal by Konecny, unassisted+15 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Konecny, Provorov, Cates, Farabee, York · TOR Tavares, Jarnkrok, Marner, Liljegren, Sandin

  24. P1 19:12Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Hart
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:31Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Hart
  28. P2 1:32Matthews: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Hayes, Seeler, Laughton, Ristolainen, Allison · TOR Giordano, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, Timmins

  29. P2 2:38Shot by Rielly, saved by Hart5v4
  30. P2 4:10Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Murray
  31. P2 4:30Shot by Liljegren, saved by Hart
  32. P2 4:48Shot by Sanheim, saved by Murray
  33. P2 5:31Shot by Farabee, saved by Murray
  34. P2 6:16Shot by Allison, saved by Murray
  35. P2 7:01Goal by Timmins (Marner, Tavares)+15 pts WP

    On ice: PHI van Riemsdyk, Seeler, Tippett, Frost, York · TOR Giordano, Tavares, Jarnkrok, Marner, Timmins

  36. P2 8:19Shot by Brown, saved by Murray
  37. P2 8:50Goal by Deslauriers (Brown)+15 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Deslauriers, Brown, Provorov, MacEwen, York · TOR Kerfoot, Engvall, Liljegren, Sandin, Holmberg

  38. P2 9:04Shot by Tavares, saved by Hart
  39. P2 9:14Shot by Hayes, saved by Murray
  40. P2 9:15Giordano: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Hayes, Laughton, Provorov, Allison, York · TOR Giordano, Tavares, Jarnkrok, Marner, Timmins

  41. P2 10:03Shot by Liljegren, saved by Hart5v4
  42. P2 10:07Goal by Liljegren (Jarnkrok)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Laughton, Sanheim, Tippett, Cates, Farabee · TOR Jarnkrok, Holl, Kerfoot, Liljegren

  43. P2 12:22Goal by Tavares (Jarnkrok)+8 pts WP

    On ice: PHI van Riemsdyk, Provorov, Tippett, Frost, York · TOR Tavares, Jarnkrok, Holl, Rielly, Marner

  44. P2 13:31Shot by Allison, saved by Murray
  45. P2 14:22Holmberg: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Deslauriers, Seeler, Ristolainen, Brown, MacEwen · TOR Bunting, Matthews, Liljegren, Sandin, Holmberg

  46. P2 15:15Shot by Sanheim, saved by Murray5v4
  47. P2 15:45Shot by Tippett, saved by Murray5v4
  48. P2 15:58Shot by Marner, saved by Hart5v4
  49. P2 16:27Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Murray
  50. P2 17:49Shot by Tavares, saved by Hart
  51. P2 18:34Shot by Provorov, saved by Murray
  52. P2 18:38Allison: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Hayes, Laughton, Provorov, Allison, York · TOR Giordano, Simmonds, Holl, Aston-Reese, Holmberg

  53. P2 18:44Shot by Tavares, saved by Hart4v5
  54. P2 18:49Shot by Provorov, saved by Murray4v5
  55. P2 19:05Shot by Tavares, saved by Hart4v5
  56. P2 19:55Shot by Sanheim, saved by Murray4v5
  57. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  58. P3 0:00Period start
  59. P3 1:02Shot by Frost, saved by Murray
  60. P3 2:31Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Murray
  61. P3 3:31Shot by Seeler, saved by Murray6v5
  62. P3 3:32Shot by Seeler, saved by Murray6v5
  63. P3 3:32Bunting: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PHI van Riemsdyk, Seeler, Konecny, Cates, Farabee, York · TOR Giordano, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, Timmins

  64. P3 3:55Shot by Rielly, saved by Hart5v4
  65. P3 4:53Shot by Farabee, saved by Murray5v4
  66. P3 5:28Shot by Marner, saved by Hart5v4
  67. P3 5:34Shot by Sanheim, saved by Murray
  68. P3 6:19Shot by Brown, saved by Murray
  69. P3 6:33Shot by Seeler, saved by Murray
  70. P3 6:33Simmonds: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Deslauriers, Seeler, Ristolainen, Brown, MacEwen · TOR Simmonds, Tavares, Engvall, Timmins, Sandin

  71. P3 6:33Deslauriers: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PHI Deslauriers, Seeler, Ristolainen, Brown, MacEwen · TOR Simmonds, Tavares, Engvall, Timmins, Sandin

  72. P3 7:29Shot by Konecny, saved by Murray4v4
  73. P3 8:03Shot by Matthews, saved by Hart4v4
  74. P3 8:44Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Hart
  75. P3 10:29Shot by Matthews, saved by Hart
  76. P3 10:45Shot by Nylander, saved by Hart
  77. P3 11:49Shot by Rielly, saved by Hart
  78. P3 11:51Ristolainen: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Ristolainen, Konecny, Provorov, Cates, Farabee · TOR Simmonds, Holl, Rielly, Bunting, Holmberg

  79. P3 12:07Shot by Rielly, saved by Hart4v5
  80. P3 13:13Goal by Matthews (Tavares, Marner)4v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Sanheim, Cates, Farabee · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  81. P3 14:35Shot by Liljegren, saved by Hart
  82. P3 15:21Shot by Holl, saved by Hart
  83. P3 17:21Shot by York, saved by Murray
  84. P3 19:37Shot by MacEwen, saved by Murray
  85. P3 0:00Period end
  86. P3 0:00Final