Sun, Jan 8, 2023·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Philadelphia Flyers 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 55% of the time.
46%
9%
8%
37%
PHI winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 22:54 | 0.15 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 21:47 | 0.01 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:06 | 0.14 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 18:56 | 0.00 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:15 | 0.00 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 18:05 | 0.02 | 38.7% | +30.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17:46 | 0.33 | 68.6% | +16.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:29 | 0.46 | 59.3% | +0.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:09 | 0.10 | 61.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:44 | 0.16 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:08 | 0.04 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 15:20 | 0.07 | 54.7% | +31.3 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 13:30 | 0.80 | 54.5% | +23.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:29 | 0.20 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 1 | 12:47 | 0.17 | 55.1% | +39.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:11 | 0.20 | 33.3% | +15.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:53 | 0.22 | 41.8% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 8:31 | 0.00 | 36.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 36 | 34 | 2 | .944 | 3.30 | +1.3 | 60:00 |
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 23:25 | 0.17 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 4 | 23:11 | 0.17 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:26 | 0.05 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:31 | 0.12 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:31 | 0.00 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 17:57 | 0.35 | 64.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16:57 | 0.36 | 49.4% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:41 | 0.19 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:29 | 0.00 | 42.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 16:13 | 0.24 | 65.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:42 | 0.17 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:26 | 0.12 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:39 | 0.26 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13:07 | 0.42 | 57.1% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:34 | 0.19 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:16 | 0.07 | 52.3% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:46 | 0.42 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:05 | 0.00 | 35.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 35 | 29 | 6 | .829 | 3.05 | −2.9 | 59:42 |