Wed, Jan 11, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Nashville Predators 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 52% of the time.
39%
9%
9%
43%
TOR winsNSH wins
Nashville Predators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:57 | 0.05 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:31 | 0.00 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:14 | 0.00 | 13.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:37 | 0.32 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:03 | 0.19 | 54.6% | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:03 | 0.01 | 14.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:12 | 0.37 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:33 | 0.38 | 53.0% | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:53 | 0.02 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:14 | 0.06 | 55.7% | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:11 | 0.06 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:08 | 0.53 | 79.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:03 | 0.03 | 25.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:03 | 0.00 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 14:01 | 0.32 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12:30 | 0.32 | 14.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:19 | 0.08 | 22.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:32 | 0.09 | 45.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 35 | 33 | 2 | .943 | 2.32 | +0.3 | 58:49 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 24:20 | 0.19 | 68.5% | +42.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 23:21 | 0.19 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21:14 | 0.33 | 67.1% | +61.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:38 | 0.24 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 20:10 | 0.26 | 62.1% | +61.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:55 | 0.39 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:20 | 0.02 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:54 | 0.08 | 59.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:13 | 0.01 | 71.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:08 | 0.35 | 68.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:08 | 0.22 | 49.0% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:54 | 0.00 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:45 | 0.16 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:05 | 0.05 | 43.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:02 | 0.10 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:54 | 0.00 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:28 | 0.00 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:31 | 0.07 | 29.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 32 | 1 | .970 | 2.83 | +1.8 | 60:00 |