Sat, Jan 14, 2023·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Calgary Flames 6, Dallas Stars 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 54% of the time.
45%
10%
9%
37%
DAL winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −4 | 2 | 21:50 | 0.03 | 32.0% | +18.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 21:28 | 0.05 | 53.2% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 20:47 | 0.16 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 20:32 | 0.56 | 25.3% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 19:53 | 0.02 | 48.0% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:51 | 0.37 | 26.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 19:47 | 0.23 | 52.9% | +12.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:28 | 0.28 | 40.1% | +12.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:15 | 0.14 | 26.2% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:32 | 0.02 | 41.1% | +12.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16:09 | 0.32 | 48.6% | +11.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:04 | 0.07 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14:21 | 0.12 | 45.0% | +11.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:51 | 0.02 | 43.3% | +8.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:21 | 0.00 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:30 | 0.30 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9:14 | 0.13 | 65.7% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:07 | 0.13 | 70.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 29 | 5 | .879 | 3.18 | −1.8 | 60:00 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 27:14 | 0.21 | 67.1% | +13.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:57 | 0.07 | 68.9% | +10.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 19:54 | 0.12 | 84.8% | +2.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:50 | 0.01 | 40.6% | +15.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 19:18 | 1.06 | 88.7% | +4.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 19:18 | 0.31 | 84.2% | +3.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:29 | 0.05 | 69.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:28 | 0.05 | 64.3% | +1.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:54 | 0.09 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:31 | 0.38 | 40.9% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:06 | 0.38 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:58 | 0.05 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:55 | 0.00 | 16.9% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:34 | 0.00 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:57 | 0.00 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 11:13 | 0.14 | 27.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 10:13 | 0.09 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 9:32 | 0.19 | 26.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 36 | 30 | 6 | .833 | 2.96 | −3.0 | 57:56 |