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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 19, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Winnipeg Jets 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 78% of the time.

TOR winsWPG wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WPG's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Wheeler–Connor–DuboisScheifele–Ehlers–BarronLowry–Maenalanen–PerfettiGagner–Stenlund–Jonsson-FjallbyGagner–Lowry–PerfettiGagner–Stenlund–BarronMaenalanen–Stenlund–Jonsson-FjallbyDeMelo–MorrisseyDillon–PionkSchmidt–HeinolaSchmidt–MorrisseySchmidt–PionkDillon–DeMeloMorrissey–PionkDeMelo–HeinolaMorrissey–Heinola
Tavares–Jarnkrok–Marner2:460.09–0.072:040.07–0.393:090.05–0.090:550.00–0.032:160.01–0.393:140.08–0.061:150.05–0.001:580.04–0.041:040.03–0.000:460.00–0.030:400.00–0.00
Nylander–Bunting–Matthews4:020.13–0.541:590.24–0.170:540.10–0.001:150.00–0.080:400.07–0.003:570.05–0.283:540.25–0.180:390.01–0.110:370.00–0.01
Engvall–Kampf–McMann3:300.03–0.092:380.24–0.160:560.07–0.000:370.00–0.003:430.03–0.100:530.05–0.052:030.07–0.001:260.04–0.07
Kerfoot–Hunt–Aston-Reese0:340.00–0.020:310.00–0.001:530.00–0.061:130.19–0.002:040.08–0.051:080.00–0.000:310.11–0.00
Kerfoot–Engvall–Kampf0:390.06–0.06
Hunt–Aston-Reese–McMann0:300.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Giordano–Holl5:280.01–0.182:280.29–0.061:090.00–0.001:310.10–0.044:570.00–0.084:010.21–0.101:530.10–0.120:480.01–0.000:430.00–0.000:370.19–0.00
Benn–Sandin1:410.13–0.131:090.13–0.172:360.07–0.062:010.00–0.032:100.19–0.001:150.00–0.083:160.00–0.290:500.08–0.014:090.12–0.000:550.14–0.000:340.00–0.110:310.00–0.010:380.00–0.00
Rielly–Liljegren2:290.05–0.004:060.15–0.550:580.00–0.033:430.06–0.453:490.16–0.101:160.00–0.130:400.00–0.000:530.07–0.09
Holl–Sandin1:000.00–0.001:120.06–0.00
Benn–Rielly1:450.00–0.380:520.00–0.200:350.00–0.00
Liljegren–Sandin0:420.04–0.040:400.04–0.04
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMatthews FBunting FNylander FMarner FJarnkrok FTavares FEngvall FMcMann FKampf FHunt FAston-Reese FKerfoot FHoll DGiordano DLiljegren DRielly DSandin DBenn DSamsonov GLowry FScheifele FPerfetti FWheeler FDubois FConnor FBarron FEhlers FMaenalanen FGagner FStenlund FJonsson-Fjallby FPionk DDillon DDeMelo DMorrissey DSchmidt DHeinola DHellebuyck G
TORWPGFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Josh MorrisseyWPG2725:510:571:4871
Justin HollTOR2924:440:512:0015
Neal PionkWPG2821:370:461:4233
Pierre-Luc DuboisWPG2321:070:551:4861
Kyle ConnorWPG2321:000:551:4861
Mark GiordanoTOR2620:580:481:5014
Mark ScheifeleWPG2220:120:551:4842
Morgan RiellyTOR2720:110:451:3227
Dylan DeMeloWPG2719:550:441:2844
Mitch MarnerTOR2119:320:561:5745
Rasmus SandinTOR2519:200:461:4330
David KampfTOR2219:040:522:2605
Brenden DillonWPG2518:550:451:5123
Nate SchmidtWPG2318:390:492:0041
Jordie BennTOR2518:280:441:4435
Blake WheelerWPG2517:370:421:1460
Nikolaj EhlersWPG2217:370:481:4840
Auston MatthewsTOR1717:101:012:0222
Calle JarnkrokTOR2016:410:501:3522
William NylanderTOR1716:410:591:5722
John TavaresTOR1716:230:581:5232
Timothy LiljegrenTOR2415:470:391:2523
Pierre EngvallTOR1715:190:541:4302
Adam LowryWPG2014:450:441:3433
Morgan BarronWPG1914:060:451:2422
Cole PerfettiWPG1914:060:451:4530
Michael BuntingTOR1613:330:511:4122
Sam GagnerWPG1512:530:521:2524
Bobby McMannTOR1512:160:491:4002
Alexander KerfootTOR1711:470:421:1113
Kevin StenlundWPG1611:220:431:2805
Saku MaenalanenWPG1510:160:411:1910
Ville HeinolaWPG1410:000:431:1712
Axel Jonsson-FjallbyWPG118:400:471:1113
Zachary Aston-ReeseTOR138:140:381:0012
Dryden HuntTOR116:320:360:5321