Mon, Jan 23, 2023·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Buffalo Sabres 3, Dallas Stars 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 72% of the time.
65%
20%
DAL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 24:24 | 0.21 | 55.9% | +18.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 22:51 | 0.47 | 34.1% | +52.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:24 | 0.01 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 21:12 | 0.00 | 41.5% | +80.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:51 | 0.15 | 41.5% | +28.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:46 | 0.18 | 35.3% | +52.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:26 | 0.03 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:05 | 0.03 | 72.0% | +18.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 16:58 | 0.22 | 74.9% | +28.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:15 | 0.20 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:33 | 0.00 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:32 | 0.45 | 75.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:28 | 0.08 | 42.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:14 | 0.12 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:49 | 0.03 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:40 | 0.00 | 12.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:14 | 0.00 | 11.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:41 | 0.11 | 11.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 3.68 | +1.7 | 60:56 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 25:59 | 0.08 | 67.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:08 | 0.04 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:31 | 0.00 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:12 | 0.06 | 75.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:58 | 0.04 | 51.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:55 | 0.19 | 42.9% | +30.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18:48 | 0.17 | 42.6% | +44.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:31 | 0.00 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:04 | 0.03 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:00 | 0.11 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:42 | 0.05 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:38 | 0.14 | 53.4% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 14:37 | 0.36 | 75.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14:28 | 0.76 | 49.2% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:47 | 0.04 | 73.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:34 | 0.44 | 69.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:00 | 0.25 | 65.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 11:56 | 0.92 | 70.1% | 0.0 |
| O | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 2.29 | −0.7 | 60:56 |