Tue, Jan 24, 2023·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Minnesota Wild 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 54% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:16Shot by Bogosian, saved by Fleury
- P1 0:27Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 3:26Shot by Reaves, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 3:32Shot by Reaves, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 6:04Shot by Sergachev, saved by Fleury
- P1 6:49Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 8:33Shot by Cernak, saved by Fleury
- P1 8:59Shot by Killorn, saved by Fleury
- P1 9:02Shot by Killorn, saved by Fleury
- P1 10:24Shot by Sergachev, saved by Fleury
- P1 10:27Paul: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: TBL Maroon, Bogosian, Hedman, Paul, Colton · MIN Spurgeon, Foligno, Middleton, Greenway, Eriksson Ek
- P1 10:27Middleton: Fighting (5 min)4v5
On ice: TBL Maroon, Bogosian, Hedman, Paul, Colton · MIN Spurgeon, Foligno, Middleton, Greenway, Eriksson Ek
- P1 11:37Shot by Hartman, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 11:58Stamkos: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Perbix · MIN Brodin, Dumba, Hartman, Gaudreau, Boldy
- P1 12:17Eriksson Ek: Holding (2 min)4v5
On ice: TBL Cole, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · MIN Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Addison, Boldy
- P1 13:08Shot by Cole, saved by Fleury4v4
- P1 15:52Shot by Kucherov, saved by Fleury
- P1 17:21Shot by Cernak, saved by Fleury
- P1 18:25Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 18:37Shot by Colton, saved by Fleury
- P1 19:05Shot by Stamkos, saved by Fleury
- P1 19:20Shot by Hartman, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 19:25Shot by Boldy, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 19:48Cirelli: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: TBL Killorn, Cole, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · MIN Zuccarello, Brodin, Dumba, Kaprizov, Steel
- P1 0:00Period end4v5
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 0:55Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P2 1:00Shot by Boldy, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P2 1:52Shot by Addison, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 2:20Shot by Hartman, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 3:00Brodin: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Bellemare, Sergachev, Perbix · MIN Foligno, Brodin, Dumba, Hartman, Steel
- P2 3:43Goal by Eriksson Ek (Middleton)5v4+21 pts WP
On ice: TBL Perry, Killorn, Paul, Sergachev, Colton · MIN Spurgeon, Gaudreau, Middleton, Eriksson Ek
- P2 4:19Shot by Point, saved by Fleury5v4
- P2 4:42Shot by Stamkos, saved by Fleury5v4
- P2 6:41Shot by Dumba, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 6:56Shot by Steel, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 7:39Hartman: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)
On ice: TBL Maroon, Bogosian, Hedman, Paul, Colton · MIN Merrill, Hartman, Kaprizov, Addison, Boldy
- P2 7:57Shot by Hagel, saved by Fleury5v4
- P2 8:02Shot by Kucherov, saved by Fleury5v4
- P2 9:44Goal by Perry (Colton, Sergachev)+23 pts WP
On ice: TBL Perry, Killorn, Paul, Sergachev, Colton · MIN Foligno, Brodin, Dumba, Hartman, Steel
- P2 9:58Shot by Hagel, saved by Fleury
- P2 10:20Shot by Cirelli, saved by Fleury
- P2 10:57Sergachev: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: TBL Perry, Cole, Cirelli, Sergachev, Hagel · MIN Foligno, Merrill, Greenway, Addison, Boldy
- P2 10:57Hagel: Abusive language (10 min)4v5
On ice: TBL Perry, Cole, Cirelli, Sergachev, Hagel · MIN Foligno, Merrill, Greenway, Addison, Boldy
- P2 11:29Shot by Boldy, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P2 11:40Shot by Boldy, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P2 11:42Goal by Kaprizov (Eriksson Ek, Boldy)4v5+21 pts WP
On ice: TBL Cole, Paul, Cernak, Cirelli · MIN Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Addison, Boldy
- P2 12:21Shot by Greenway, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 12:52Hedman: Interference (2 min)
On ice: TBL Perry, Bogosian, Hedman, Namestnikov, Bellemare · MIN Foligno, Brodin, Dumba, Hartman, Greenway
- P2 13:39Shot by Addison, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P2 16:11Shot by Stamkos, saved by Fleury
- P2 16:12Gaudreau: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Perbix · MIN Foligno, Brodin, Dumba, Hartman, Gaudreau
- P2 17:13Shot by Point, saved by Fleury5v4
- P2 18:05Goal by Perry (Colton, Killorn)5v4+27 pts WP
On ice: TBL Perry, Killorn, Paul, Sergachev, Colton · MIN Foligno, Merrill, Dumba, Steel
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 1:27Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 1:34Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 3:19Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 3:57Shot by Perry, saved by Fleury
- P3 4:15Shot by Brodin, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 4:20Shot by Brodin, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 4:39Shot by Dewar, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 5:07Shot by Greenway, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 6:34Shot by Hagel, saved by Fleury
- P3 6:39Shot by Kucherov, saved by Fleury
- P3 6:56Shot by Hartman, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 7:11Shot by Brodin, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 7:27Shot by Sergachev, saved by Fleury
- P3 7:33Shot by Perbix, saved by Fleury
- P3 7:50Shot by Middleton, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 7:53Shot by Middleton, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 10:26Shot by Steel, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 12:27Shot by Bogosian, saved by Fleury
- P3 13:57Shot by Cirelli, saved by Fleury
- P3 14:22Goal by Stamkos (Sergachev, Kucherov)+32 pts WP
On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev · MIN Spurgeon, Hartman, Gaudreau, Middleton, Boldy
- P3 15:05Shot by Stamkos, saved by Fleury6v5
- P3 15:07Hartman: Hooking (2 min)6v5
On ice: TBL Perry, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev · MIN Spurgeon, Hartman, Gaudreau, Middleton, Boldy
- P3 15:14Shot by Stamkos, saved by Fleury5v4
- P3 15:53Shot by Hedman, saved by Fleury5v4
- P3 16:03Shot by Point, saved by Fleury5v4
- P3 16:04Shot by Point, saved by Fleury5v4
- P3 16:09Shot by Kucherov, saved by Fleury5v4
- P3 16:48Shot by Stamkos, saved by Fleury5v4
- P3 17:04Shot by Sergachev, saved by Fleury5v4
- P3 17:08Shot by Point, saved by Fleury
- P3 17:29Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 18:45Shot by Boldy, saved by Vasilevskiy5v6
- P3 19:33Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Vasilevskiy5v6
- P3 19:43Goal by Kucherov (Hagel)5v6+3 pts WP
On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Hagel · MIN Foligno, Zuccarello, Dumba, Kaprizov, Addison, Boldy
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final