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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 24, 2023·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Minnesota Wild 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 54% of the time.

TBL winsMIN wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against MIN's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Zuccarello–Kaprizov–SteelFoligno–Greenway–Eriksson EkHartman–Gaudreau–BoldyReaves–Duhaime–DewarZuccarello–Kaprizov–BoldyFoligno–Hartman–GaudreauFoligno–Hartman–SteelBrodin–DumbaSpurgeon–MiddletonMerrill–AddisonSpurgeon–Merrill
Stamkos–Kucherov–Point1:360.00–0.331:140.00–0.024:410.25–0.371:530.00–0.341:200.14–0.000:330.11–0.155:530.21–0.655:090.18–0.56
Killorn–Cirelli–Hagel5:330.38–0.610:500.00–0.090:570.07–0.004:300.37–0.461:050.00–0.111:510.11–0.14
Maroon–Paul–Colton4:530.24–0.202:130.10–0.052:210.05–0.172:030.08–0.00
Perry–Namestnikov–Bellemare1:450.03–0.002:360.07–0.082:030.07–0.081:100.00–0.011:350.03–0.000:470.00–0.00
Maroon–Bellemare–Colton1:070.01–0.000:490.00–0.00
Cole–Cernak5:490.02–0.610:330.09–0.002:070.07–0.043:530.16–0.604:100.00–0.171:070.00–0.04
Bogosian–Hedman0:370.00–0.003:130.09–0.140:500.03–0.002:360.07–0.084:340.09–0.111:330.00–0.132:130.11–0.001:080.04–0.00
Sergachev–Perbix3:060.01–0.162:300.00–0.091:400.00–0.340:400.00–0.004:230.00–0.242:030.00–0.261:390.01–0.090:470.00–0.00
Hedman–Sergachev2:520.25–0.251:020.07–0.161:590.18–0.09
Bogosian–Sergachev0:310.03–0.000:480.00–0.000:530.00–0.120:330.03–0.000:470.00–0.00
Hedman–Perbix0:360.02–0.020:340.14–0.000:460.14–0.001:120.02–0.02
Cole–Bogosian0:440.00–0.330:490.00–0.330:360.00–0.00
Cernak–Sergachev0:450.30–0.00
Cole–Sergachev
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMaroon FPaul FColton FKillorn FHagel FCirelli FPoint FKucherov FStamkos FBellemare FPerry FNamestnikov FBogosian DHedman DCole DCernak DPerbix DSergachev DVasilevskiy GEriksson Ek FFoligno FGreenway FSteel FZuccarello FKaprizov FGaudreau FBoldy FHartman FReaves FDuhaime FDewar FDumba DBrodin DMiddleton DSpurgeon DAddison DMerrill DFleury G
TBLMINFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2424:461:022:4161
Jonas BrodinMIN2624:250:561:4734
Mathew DumbaMIN2622:590:531:5533
Jared SpurgeonMIN2122:521:052:0615
Mikhail SergachevTBL2422:210:561:4334
Steven StamkosTBL1922:181:103:1453
Nikita KucherovTBL2021:541:063:1671
Brayden PointTBL1921:151:073:1561
Kirill KaprizovMIN1721:081:152:3070
Mats ZuccarelloMIN1721:061:142:1481
Ian ColeTBL1819:591:071:5804
Matt BoldyMIN1619:401:142:2812
Erik CernakTBL2119:120:551:5506
Joel Eriksson EkMIN2119:050:551:5945
Jake MiddletonMIN2117:450:511:5014
Anthony CirelliTBL2017:050:511:5816
Brandon HagelTBL1717:001:001:5636
Alex KillornTBL1616:191:011:5425
Marcus FolignoMIN2015:520:481:2611
Calen AddisonMIN1815:120:512:0721
Sam SteelMIN1614:450:551:5051
Ryan HartmanMIN1714:410:522:3013
Nick PaulTBL1614:210:541:3722
Zach BogosianTBL1614:020:531:4520
Frederick GaudreauMIN1212:261:022:0604
Jon MerrillMIN1412:150:531:5501
Patrick MaroonTBL1212:001:001:2420
Ross ColtonTBL1411:420:501:4120
Nick PerbixTBL1511:410:471:3622
Jordan GreenwayMIN1411:400:501:2101
Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL1410:540:471:1030
Connor DewarMIN1210:160:511:5502
Brandon DuhaimeMIN129:340:481:5701
Corey PerryTBL138:440:401:1010
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL118:020:441:1010
Ryan ReavesMIN97:380:511:2900