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Ice Lab

Wed, Feb 1, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Boston Bruins 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 64% of the time.

TOR winsBOS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:24Shot by McAvoy, saved by Samsonov
  3. P1 0:38Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Samsonov
  4. P1 1:00Shot by Holl, saved by Ullmark
  5. P1 1:23Shot by Krejci, saved by Samsonov
  6. P1 1:40Shot by Hall, saved by Samsonov
  7. P1 1:42Shot by Giordano, saved by Ullmark
  8. P1 2:51Bunting: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Bunting, Marner · BOS Bergeron, Marchand, Grzelcyk, Pastrnak, McAvoy

  9. P1 4:19Shot by Zacha, saved by Samsonov4v5
  10. P1 7:03Shot by Carlo, saved by Samsonov
  11. P1 7:36Shot by Giordano, saved by Ullmark
  12. P1 7:52Shot by Giordano, saved by Ullmark
  13. P1 8:03Shot by Nylander, saved by Ullmark
  14. P1 8:32Shot by Clifton, saved by Samsonov
  15. P1 9:39Shot by Kampf, saved by Ullmark
  16. P1 10:02Shot by Liljegren, saved by Ullmark
  17. P1 10:07Shot by Kampf, saved by Ullmark
  18. P1 10:10Shot by Sandin, saved by Ullmark
  19. P1 12:06Shot by Bergeron, saved by Samsonov
  20. P1 12:35Shot by McAvoy, saved by Samsonov
  21. P1 14:18Shot by Smith, saved by Samsonov
  22. P1 14:36Shot by Lindholm, saved by Samsonov
  23. P1 14:53Shot by Engvall, saved by Ullmark
  24. P1 14:55Shot by Engvall, saved by Ullmark
  25. P1 15:13Shot by Nylander, saved by Ullmark
  26. P1 15:30Shot by Giordano, saved by Ullmark
  27. P1 16:28Shot by Coyle, saved by Samsonov
  28. P1 16:57Shot by Holmberg, saved by Ullmark
  29. P1 18:39Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Samsonov
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:28Shot by Tavares, saved by Ullmark
  33. P2 1:01Shot by Sandin, saved by Ullmark
  34. P2 2:33Shot by Lauko, saved by Samsonov
  35. P2 3:33Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Ullmark
  36. P2 5:32Clifton: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Nylander, Anderson, Kampf · BOS Krejci, Lindholm, Clifton, Pastrnak, Zacha

  37. P2 6:02Shot by Lindholm, saved by Samsonov5v4
  38. P2 6:57Goal by Forbort (Coyle, Frederic)5v4+23 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Nylander, Bunting, Marner, Holmberg · BOS Coyle, Forbort, Carlo, Frederic

  39. P2 8:12Grzelcyk: Elbowing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Holl, Kerfoot, Nylander, Aston-Reese, Kampf · BOS Krejci, Hall, Grzelcyk, Pastrnak, McAvoy

  40. P2 9:25Goal by Marner (Samsonov, Rielly)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Nylander, Bunting, Marner, Sandin · BOS Coyle, Lindholm, Zacha, Carlo

  41. P2 10:30Shot by Liljegren, saved by Ullmark
  42. P2 12:24Shot by Carlo, saved by Samsonov
  43. P2 12:33Goal by Carlo (Lindholm, Coyle)+24 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Simmonds, Aston-Reese, Liljegren, Sandin, Holmberg · BOS Coyle, Hall, Lindholm, Carlo, Frederic

  44. P2 12:50Shot by Grzelcyk, saved by Samsonov
  45. P2 13:15Shot by Giordano, saved by Ullmark
  46. P2 14:31Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Ullmark
  47. P2 14:44Shot by Lindholm, saved by Samsonov
  48. P2 17:01Shot by Zacha, saved by Samsonov
  49. P2 19:33Shot by Brodie, saved by Ullmark
  50. P2 19:47Shot by Tavares, saved by Ullmark
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:20Shot by Marchand, saved by Samsonov
  54. P3 1:29Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Ullmark
  55. P3 2:13Goal by Greer (Lauko)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Engvall, Marner, Liljegren, Kampf, Sandin · BOS Grzelcyk, Greer, McAvoy, Frederic, Lauko

  56. P3 2:15Simmonds: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Simmonds, Aston-Reese, Liljegren, Sandin, Holmberg · BOS Grzelcyk, Greer, McAvoy, Frederic, Lauko

  57. P3 2:15Greer: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Simmonds, Aston-Reese, Liljegren, Sandin, Holmberg · BOS Grzelcyk, Greer, McAvoy, Frederic, Lauko

  58. P3 2:38Shot by Sandin, saved by Ullmark
  59. P3 3:47Shot by Nylander, saved by Ullmark
  60. P3 3:54Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Ullmark
  61. P3 5:17Shot by Bunting, saved by Ullmark
  62. P3 5:45Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Ullmark
  63. P3 5:50Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Ullmark
  64. P3 8:14Shot by Frederic, saved by Samsonov
  65. P3 8:38Goal by Jarnkrok (Giordano, Holl)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Jarnkrok, Holl, Kerfoot, Bunting · BOS Coyle, Forbort, Clifton, Frederic, Lauko

  66. P3 8:38Bunting: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Jarnkrok, Holl, Kerfoot, Bunting · BOS Coyle, Forbort, Clifton, Frederic, Lauko

  67. P3 8:38Coyle: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Jarnkrok, Holl, Kerfoot, Bunting · BOS Coyle, Forbort, Clifton, Frederic, Lauko

  68. P3 9:08Goal by Zacha (McAvoy, Grzelcyk)4v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Nylander, Marner · BOS Hall, Grzelcyk, Zacha, McAvoy

  69. P3 10:05Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Ullmark4v4
  70. P3 10:21Shot by Marner, saved by Ullmark4v4
  71. P3 12:14Shot by Zacha, saved by Samsonov
  72. P3 12:19Goal by Zacha (Krejci, Pastrnak)+3 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Liljegren, Sandin · BOS Krejci, Lindholm, Pastrnak, Zacha, Carlo

  73. P3 13:01Shot by Clifton, saved by Samsonov
  74. P3 13:37Shot by Holl, saved by Ullmark
  75. P3 14:36Shot by Zacha, saved by Samsonov
  76. P3 18:12Shot by Engvall, saved by Ullmark
  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. P3 0:00Final