Wed, Feb 1, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Boston Bruins 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 64% of the time.
55%
9%
9%
27%
TOR winsBOS wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Krejci–Pastrnak–Zacha | Bergeron–Marchand–Smith | Bergeron–Marchand–Pastrnak | Foligno–Coyle–Hall | Greer–Frederic–Lauko | Krejci–Hall–Zacha | Foligno–Smith–Coyle | Coyle–Hall–Frederic | Smith–Coyle–Frederic | Krejci–Hall–Pastrnak | Foligno–Greer–Lauko | Krejci–Foligno–Zacha | Grzelcyk–McAvoy | Lindholm–Carlo | Forbort–Clifton | Lindholm–Clifton | Forbort–McAvoy | Lindholm–McAvoy | Forbort–Carlo | Grzelcyk–Clifton | Grzelcyk–Carlo | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavares–Bunting–Marner | 1:230.01–0.02 | 2:230.13–0.03 | 1:300.00–0.08 | 1:110.00–0.13 | 1:090.01–0.10 | 4:550.21–0.13 | 1:460.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 1:100.01–0.09 | ||||||||||||
| Engvall–Anderson–Kampf | 1:210.11–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.05 | 1:550.01–0.04 | 1:260.57–0.01 | 0:440.00–0.01 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:430.02–0.00 | 2:250.00–0.05 | 3:040.28–0.01 | 1:270.02–0.04 | 1:380.40–0.01 | ||||||||||
| Jarnkrok–Kerfoot–Nylander | 0:540.15–0.00 | 1:140.00–0.10 | 1:050.07–0.08 | 0:410.07–0.25 | 0:460.01–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:230.07–0.00 | 2:020.01–0.08 | 2:540.38–0.35 | ||||||||||||
| Simmonds–Aston-Reese–Holmberg | 1:460.09–0.01 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:320.10–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.09 | 1:040.10–0.09 | 0:350.00–0.09 | 1:510.00–0.01 | ||||||||||||||
| Kerfoot–Nylander–Bunting | 1:170.31–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:310.15–0.00 | 0:570.16–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Tavares–Nylander–Marner | 0:410.04–0.00 | 1:030.04–0.21 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Nylander–Engvall–Kampf | 0:500.10–0.09 | 0:460.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Engvall–Anderson–Holmberg | 0:340.08–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:350.08–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Simmonds–Aston-Reese–Kampf | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.09 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Brodie–Rielly | 1:250.11–0.02 | 2:540.12–0.13 | 4:270.07–0.12 | 3:100.10–0.01 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:320.10–0.00 | 0:400.05–0.00 | 6:580.26–0.18 | 3:250.15–0.09 | 3:290.05–0.11 | 0:480.19–0.00 | 0:420.10–0.00 | 0:300.09–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.09 | |||||||
| Liljegren–Sandin | 2:170.00–0.27 | 1:520.01–0.25 | 0:360.00–0.04 | 1:590.17–0.07 | 1:100.00–0.01 | 2:000.40–0.09 | 0:400.00–0.10 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 3:260.25–0.13 | 7:070.33–0.63 | 0:480.02–0.00 | 1:360.01–0.14 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.06 | |||||||
| Giordano–Holl | 1:500.24–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:380.01–0.00 | 2:070.01–0.00 | 0:570.07–0.25 | 1:180.01–0.14 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:200.01–0.00 | 3:220.01–0.00 | 2:400.12–0.00 | 6:290.61–0.26 | 0:300.01–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.13 | |||||||
| Rielly–Sandin | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 26 | 23:35 | 0:54 | 1:48 | 6 | 0 |
 Hampus LindholmBOS | 27 | 23:00 | 0:51 | 1:38 | 2 | 3 |
 Charlie McAvoyBOS | 28 | 21:43 | 0:47 | 1:21 | 2 | 6 |
 TJ BrodieTOR | 25 | 20:50 | 0:50 | 1:57 | 6 | 0 |
 John TavaresTOR | 23 | 20:06 | 0:52 | 2:07 | 10 | 1 |
 William NylanderTOR | 22 | 19:57 | 0:54 | 2:15 | 4 | 0 |
 David PastrnakBOS | 20 | 19:36 | 0:59 | 1:58 | 1 | 3 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 25 | 19:34 | 0:47 | 1:54 | 11 | 1 |
 Brandon CarloBOS | 26 | 19:18 | 0:45 | 1:14 | 1 | 7 |
 Charlie CoyleBOS | 22 | 19:08 | 0:52 | 1:23 | 0 | 3 |
 Rasmus SandinTOR | 24 | 18:53 | 0:47 | 2:19 | 1 | 1 |
 Matt GrzelcykBOS | 27 | 18:44 | 0:42 | 1:17 | 2 | 5 |
 Brad MarchandBOS | 20 | 18:35 | 0:56 | 1:55 | 1 | 6 |
 Connor CliftonBOS | 23 | 18:12 | 0:47 | 1:23 | 1 | 2 |
 Justin HollTOR | 26 | 18:11 | 0:42 | 1:12 | 3 | 3 |
 Michael BuntingTOR | 21 | 18:03 | 0:52 | 1:25 | 6 | 1 |
 Mark GiordanoTOR | 24 | 18:03 | 0:45 | 1:24 | 2 | 2 |
 Timothy LiljegrenTOR | 23 | 18:00 | 0:47 | 2:34 | 2 | 1 |
 David KrejciBOS | 21 | 17:45 | 0:51 | 1:28 | 4 | 4 |
 Derek ForbortBOS | 23 | 17:15 | 0:45 | 1:57 | 1 | 5 |
 David KampfTOR | 23 | 16:56 | 0:44 | 1:21 | 2 | 4 |
 Pierre EngvallTOR | 21 | 16:41 | 0:48 | 1:08 | 2 | 3 |
 Taylor HallBOS | 20 | 16:28 | 0:49 | 1:47 | 1 | 3 |
 Patrice BergeronBOS | 21 | 16:02 | 0:46 | 1:54 | 0 | 7 |
 Alexander KerfootTOR | 21 | 16:01 | 0:46 | 1:14 | 1 | 0 |
 Pavel ZachaBOS | 21 | 15:28 | 0:44 | 1:19 | 3 | 4 |
 Calle JarnkrokTOR | 22 | 13:46 | 0:38 | 1:25 | 2 | 1 |
 Craig SmithBOS | 16 | 13:26 | 0:50 | 1:19 | 0 | 3 |
 Joey AndersonTOR | 19 | 13:14 | 0:42 | 1:10 | 1 | 3 |
 Trent FredericBOS | 17 | 12:42 | 0:45 | 1:17 | 0 | 0 |
 Nick FolignoBOS | 17 | 12:34 | 0:44 | 1:14 | 0 | 1 |
 Pontus HolmbergTOR | 12 | 8:26 | 0:42 | 1:22 | 1 | 1 |
 Zachary Aston-ReeseTOR | 12 | 8:20 | 0:42 | 1:18 | 0 | 1 |
 A.J. GreerBOS | 11 | 7:40 | 0:42 | 1:12 | 0 | 0 |
 Wayne SimmondsTOR | 11 | 7:29 | 0:41 | 1:21 | 0 | 1 |
 Jakub LaukoBOS | 12 | 7:11 | 0:36 | 1:07 | 0 | 0 |