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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 7, 2023·Amalie Arena, Tampa

San Jose Sharks 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 69% of the time.

TBL winsSJS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:41Shot by Gregor, saved by Elliott
  3. P1 1:42Shot by Cernak, saved by Kahkonen
  4. P1 2:03Shot by Colton, saved by Kahkonen
  5. P1 2:10Goal by Colton (Bogosian)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Bogosian, Hedman, Paul, Colton · SJS Bonino, Lindblom, MacDonald, Ferraro, Sturm

  6. P1 2:53Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Elliott
  7. P1 3:08Shot by Stamkos, saved by Kahkonen
  8. P1 3:08Barabanov: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Perbix · SJS Couture, Karlsson, Harrington, Eyssimont, Barabanov

  9. P1 4:00Shot by Point, saved by Kahkonen5v4
  10. P1 4:49Shot by Killorn, saved by Kahkonen5v4
  11. P1 5:43Shot by Cirelli, saved by Kahkonen
  12. P1 6:23Cole: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Cole, Kucherov, Namestnikov, Cernak, Cirelli · SJS Couture, Harrington, Eyssimont, Ferraro, Barabanov

  13. P1 6:28Goal by Karlsson (Meier, Hertl)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Cernak, Cirelli, Sergachev, Hagel · SJS Couture, Karlsson, Hertl, Meier, Barabanov

  14. P1 6:43Shot by Lindblom, saved by Elliott
  15. P1 8:00Shot by Hedman, saved by Kahkonen
  16. P1 8:46Eyssimont: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Perry, Killorn, Bogosian, Hedman, Namestnikov, Bellemare · SJS Karlsson, Hertl, Meier, Gregor, MacDonald

  17. P1 9:00Shot by Stamkos, saved by Kahkonen5v4
  18. P1 9:21Goal by Point (Kucherov, Hedman)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Hagel · SJS Bonino, Benning, Ferraro, Sturm

  19. P1 9:32Shot by Gregor, saved by Elliott
  20. P1 10:20Shot by Perbix, saved by Kahkonen
  21. P1 12:01Shot by Maroon, saved by Kahkonen
  22. P1 13:55Shot by Ferraro, saved by Elliott
  23. P1 14:33Shot by Cole, saved by Kahkonen
  24. P1 14:38Shot by Cernak, saved by Kahkonen
  25. P1 16:44Goal by Point (Sergachev, Kucherov)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Perbix · SJS Vlasic, Couture, Benning, Eyssimont, Barabanov

  26. P1 16:59Shot by Cirelli, saved by Kahkonen
  27. P1 19:12Shot by Hedman, saved by Kahkonen
  28. P1 19:24Shot by Ferraro, saved by Elliott
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:37Shot by Couture, saved by Elliott
  32. P2 1:12Shot by Cirelli, saved by Kahkonen
  33. P2 1:44Sturm: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Cole, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · SJS Bonino, Meier, MacDonald, Ferraro, Sturm

  34. P2 4:02Shot by Cole, saved by Kahkonen
  35. P2 5:12Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Kahkonen
  36. P2 5:13Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Kahkonen
  37. P2 6:11Shot by Stamkos, saved by Kahkonen
  38. P2 6:40Sturm: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Perbix · SJS Bonino, Karlsson, Harrington, Eyssimont, Sturm

  39. P2 9:05Shot by Sturm, saved by Elliott
  40. P2 9:40Shot by Gregor, saved by Elliott
  41. P2 10:18Bogosian: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Bogosian, Hedman, Paul, Colton · SJS Vlasic, Couture, Benning, Eyssimont, Barabanov

  42. P2 13:12Shot by Lorentz, saved by Elliott
  43. P2 13:12Svechnikov: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Cole, Maroon, Cirelli, Colton, Perbix · SJS Svechnikov, Lorentz, MacDonald, Gadjovich, Ferraro

  44. P2 16:18Cole: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Cole, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · SJS Karlsson, Hertl, Meier, Gregor, MacDonald

  45. P2 16:23Goal by Meier (Barabanov, Couture)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Namestnikov, Bellemare, Cernak, Sergachev · SJS Couture, Karlsson, Hertl, Meier, Barabanov

  46. P2 18:21Shot by Meier, saved by Elliott
  47. P2 19:06Shot by Benning, saved by Elliott
  48. P2 19:40Point: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cernak · SJS Vlasic, Benning, Eyssimont, Sturm, Barabanov

  49. P2 19:40Eyssimont: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cernak · SJS Vlasic, Benning, Eyssimont, Sturm, Barabanov

  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:12Shot by Meier, saved by Elliott
  53. P3 0:20Shot by Gregor, saved by Elliott
  54. P3 0:45Shot by Cirelli, saved by Kahkonen
  55. P3 1:36Shot by Stamkos, saved by Kahkonen
  56. P3 1:53Shot by Stamkos, saved by Kahkonen
  57. P3 3:08Goal by Gadjovich (Harrington, Karlsson)+24 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Maroon, Bogosian, Hedman, Bellemare · SJS Karlsson, Harrington, Hertl, Gregor, Gadjovich

  58. P3 3:32Shot by Meier, saved by Elliott
  59. P3 3:40Shot by Cernak, saved by Kahkonen
  60. P3 4:42Shot by Bogosian, saved by Kahkonen
  61. P3 5:17Shot by Hedman, saved by Kahkonen
  62. P3 7:02Shot by Sergachev, saved by Kahkonen
  63. P3 7:05Shot by Perbix, saved by Kahkonen
  64. P3 7:23Shot by Hagel, saved by Kahkonen
  65. P3 7:46Shot by Cole, saved by Kahkonen
  66. P3 8:03Shot by Hedman, saved by Kahkonen
  67. P3 8:32Shot by MacDonald, saved by Elliott
  68. P3 9:04Svechnikov: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Perry, Kucherov, Namestnikov, Bellemare, Sergachev, Perbix · SJS Karlsson, Harrington, Svechnikov, Lorentz, Gadjovich

  69. P3 9:53Shot by Lorentz, saved by Elliott5v4
  70. P3 9:57Shot by Vlasic, saved by Elliott5v4
  71. P3 13:22Shot by Bogosian, saved by Kahkonen
  72. P3 14:14Shot by Cirelli, saved by Kahkonen
  73. P3 15:18Shot by Point, saved by Kahkonen
  74. P3 15:19Shot by Point, saved by Kahkonen
  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. OT 0:00Period start
  77. OT 2:19Goal by Meier (Karlsson, Hertl)3v3+52 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Hagel, Perbix · SJS Karlsson, Hertl, Meier

  78. OT 2:19Period end4v4
  79. OT 2:19Final