Skip to content
Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 21, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Buffalo Sabres 3

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

6

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 78% of the time.

BUF winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:51Goal by O'Reilly (Marner, Tavares)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Jost, Samuelsson, Power · TOR Brodie, O'Reilly, Tavares, Marner, Timmins

  3. P1 4:28Goal by O'Reilly (Marner, Tavares)+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Dahlin · TOR Giordano, O'Reilly, Tavares, Marner, Liljegren

  4. P1 4:55Shot by Kampf, saved by Luukkonen
  5. P1 5:00Shot by Kampf, saved by Luukkonen
  6. P1 5:22Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Luukkonen
  7. P1 6:01Shot by Brodie, saved by Luukkonen
  8. P1 6:12Shot by Nylander, saved by Luukkonen
  9. P1 7:14Goal by Tavares (O'Reilly, Marner)+10 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Bryson, Lyubushkin · TOR O'Reilly, Tavares, Holl, Rielly, Marner

  10. P1 9:59Shot by Skinner, saved by Samsonov
  11. P1 10:50Shot by Kampf, saved by Luukkonen
  12. P1 11:48Shot by Quinn, saved by Samsonov
  13. P1 12:09Goal by Bunting (Rielly, Nylander)+6 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Samuelsson, Krebs, Quinn · TOR Holl, Rielly, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews

  14. P1 12:23Shot by Nylander, saved by Anderson
  15. P1 13:27Shot by Thompson, saved by Samsonov
  16. P1 13:31Shot by Skinner, saved by Samsonov
  17. P1 13:40Shot by Tavares, saved by Anderson
  18. P1 14:20Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Anderson
  19. P1 17:00Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Anderson
  20. P1 17:12Shot by Brodie, saved by Anderson
  21. P1 17:53Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Samsonov
  22. P1 18:15Shot by Quinn, saved by Samsonov
  23. P1 18:42Shot by Tuch, saved by Samsonov
  24. P1 19:58Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Samsonov
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:39Shot by Okposo, saved by Samsonov
  28. P2 1:07Shot by Dahlin, saved by Samsonov
  29. P2 1:30Shot by Thompson, saved by Samsonov
  30. P2 3:15Shot by Power, saved by Samsonov
  31. P2 4:46Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Samsonov
  32. P2 5:01Shot by Cozens, saved by Samsonov
  33. P2 5:41Shot by Giordano, saved by Anderson
  34. P2 8:26Shot by Dahlin, saved by Samsonov
  35. P2 9:49Shot by Nylander, saved by Anderson
  36. P2 11:40Shot by Cozens, saved by Samsonov
  37. P2 12:49Shot by Matthews, saved by Anderson
  38. P2 14:11Bryson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Thompson, Bryson, Lyubushkin · TOR Brodie, Kerfoot, Nylander, Acciari, Timmins

  39. P2 14:26Shot by Nylander, saved by Anderson4v5
  40. P2 14:28Shot by Tavares, saved by Anderson4v5
  41. P2 14:36Goal by Nylander (Tavares, Marner)4v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Samuelsson, Lyubushkin, Krebs · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  42. P2 15:25Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Samsonov
  43. P2 17:21Shot by Nylander, saved by Anderson
  44. P2 17:40Shot by Lyubushkin, saved by Samsonov
  45. P2 18:08Shot by Girgensons, saved by Samsonov
  46. P2 0:00Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Anderson
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:21Shot by Dahlin, saved by Samsonov
  50. P3 0:56Shot by Power, saved by Samsonov
  51. P3 1:02Shot by Cozens, saved by Samsonov
  52. P3 1:59Timmins: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Jost, Bryson, Lyubushkin · TOR Brodie, Kerfoot, Acciari, Aston-Reese, Timmins

  53. P3 5:12Goal by Quinn (Mittelstadt)0 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Mittelstadt, Bryson, Lyubushkin, Cozens, Quinn · TOR Brodie, Engvall, Aston-Reese, Timmins, Kampf

  54. P3 6:49Shot by Peterka, saved by Samsonov
  55. P3 7:01Shot by Olofsson, saved by Samsonov
  56. P3 8:01Goal by Tuch (Thompson, Jokiharju)+1 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Dahlin · TOR Holl, Rielly, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews

  57. P3 9:03Shot by Brodie, saved by Anderson
  58. P3 9:31Shot by Girgensons, saved by Samsonov
  59. P3 9:53Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Samsonov
  60. P3 9:59Shot by Girgensons, saved by Samsonov
  61. P3 13:51Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Anderson
  62. P3 13:51Jokiharju: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Girgensons, Tuch, Jokiharju, Bryson, Krebs · TOR Giordano, Kerfoot, Engvall, Acciari, Liljegren

  63. P3 14:02Shot by Nylander, saved by Anderson4v5
  64. P3 15:25Bunting: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Girgensons, Jost, Samuelsson, Dahlin · TOR O'Reilly, Jarnkrok, Bunting, Timmins, Liljegren

  65. P3 15:25Jost: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v4

    On ice: BUF Girgensons, Jost, Samuelsson, Dahlin · TOR O'Reilly, Jarnkrok, Bunting, Timmins, Liljegren

  66. P3 16:20Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Anderson
  67. P3 16:29Goal by Skinner (Dahlin, Tuch)+1 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Cozens, Power · TOR Brodie, O'Reilly, Holl, Engvall, Acciari

  68. P3 16:36Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Anderson
  69. P3 17:54Shot by Thompson, saved by Samsonov6v5
  70. P3 18:50Goal by O'Reilly (Marner)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Skinner, Jost, Dahlin, Krebs, Power · TOR Brodie, O'Reilly, Tavares, Holl, Marner

  71. P3 19:01Shot by Quinn, saved by Samsonov
  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final