Tue, Feb 21, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 78% of the time.
15%
72%
BUF winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| O'Reilly–Tavares–Marner | Nylander–Bunting–Matthews | Jarnkrok–Engvall–Kampf | Kerfoot–Acciari–Aston-Reese | Holl–Rielly | Giordano–Liljegren | Brodie–Timmins | Giordano–Brodie | Rielly–Liljegren | Giordano–Holl | Brodie–Rielly | Timmins–Liljegren | Brodie–Holl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skinner–Tuch–Thompson | 5:280.27–0.36 | 2:230.37–0.00 | 1:460.12–0.00 | 4:500.46–0.13 | 2:270.07–0.09 | 1:560.00–0.13 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:390.30–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | ||||
| Okposo–Girgensons–Jost | 3:100.04–0.09 | 3:020.17–0.50 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:490.00–0.00 | 3:470.04–0.46 | 2:310.17–0.15 | |||||||
| Olofsson–Cozens–Peterka | 1:350.15–0.00 | 3:300.27–0.32 | 1:270.16–0.00 | 2:310.24–0.01 | 1:240.02–0.00 | 1:520.11–0.32 | 0:470.16–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||
| Mittelstadt–Krebs–Quinn | 1:030.00–0.37 | 3:200.03–0.01 | 2:570.02–0.13 | 2:550.00–0.44 | 2:500.03–0.08 | 1:350.02–0.00 | |||||||
| Mittelstadt–Cozens–Quinn | 1:130.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Jost–Mittelstadt–Quinn | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Girgensons–Krebs–Quinn | 1:150.07–0.00 | 1:100.07–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Okposo–Mittelstadt–Krebs | 0:310.05–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Girgensons–Tuch–Jost | |||||||||||||
| Jokiharju–Dahlin | 5:510.16–0.11 | 2:190.08–0.01 | 3:090.54–0.00 | 4:360.16–0.13 | 5:080.19–0.14 | 7:040.13–0.09 | 2:330.28–0.02 | 1:260.12–0.00 | 1:130.04–0.00 | ||||
| Samuelsson–Power | 3:180.18–0.24 | 4:370.27–0.48 | 1:520.17–0.00 | 1:190.05–0.00 | 3:330.38–0.00 | 2:130.02–0.07 | 3:520.09–0.64 | 0:470.04–0.00 | |||||
| Bryson–Lyubushkin | 0:360.00–0.13 | 3:510.06–0.50 | 1:560.07–0.00 | 2:040.05–0.13 | 2:150.06–0.46 | 2:180.04–0.04 | 1:100.07–0.00 | ||||||
| Dahlin–Power | 0:300.19–0.00 | 1:460.00–0.01 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 1:030.19–0.01 | 0:480.03–0.00 | ||||||||
| Bryson–Power | 1:120.00–0.21 | 0:510.00–0.21 | 0:350.00–0.05 | ||||||||||
| Samuelsson–Lyubushkin | 1:350.09–0.00 | 1:220.09–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Jokiharju–Power | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Jokiharju–Samuelsson | 1:020.09–0.08 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 34 | 26:04 | 0:46 | 1:25 | 8 | 2 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 31 | 23:51 | 0:46 | 1:24 | 7 | 1 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 32 | 23:22 | 0:44 | 1:19 | 3 | 3 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 27 | 21:34 | 0:48 | 1:17 | 4 | 2 |
 Justin HollTOR | 27 | 21:10 | 0:47 | 1:20 | 1 | 5 |
 TJ BrodieTOR | 25 | 21:02 | 0:50 | 1:34 | 0 | 3 |
 Timothy LiljegrenTOR | 27 | 20:32 | 0:46 | 1:17 | 0 | 2 |
 Mark GiordanoTOR | 27 | 19:53 | 0:44 | 1:27 | 0 | 4 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 22 | 18:28 | 0:50 | 1:37 | 4 | 1 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 22 | 18:01 | 0:49 | 1:24 | 4 | 0 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 25 | 17:41 | 0:42 | 1:18 | 1 | 5 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 21 | 16:48 | 0:48 | 1:22 | 5 | 5 |
 Ryan O'ReillyTOR | 21 | 16:38 | 0:48 | 1:32 | 2 | 4 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 22 | 16:27 | 0:45 | 1:19 | 5 | 0 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 18 | 16:03 | 0:54 | 1:35 | 5 | 2 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 21 | 15:54 | 0:45 | 1:24 | 3 | 1 |
 Pierre EngvallTOR | 20 | 15:53 | 0:48 | 1:22 | 0 | 4 |
 William NylanderTOR | 20 | 15:53 | 0:48 | 2:00 | 3 | 1 |
 David KampfTOR | 21 | 15:36 | 0:45 | 1:25 | 0 | 6 |
 John TavaresTOR | 20 | 15:14 | 0:46 | 1:20 | 5 | 4 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 19 | 15:10 | 0:48 | 1:22 | 2 | 3 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 18 | 15:08 | 0:50 | 1:21 | 4 | 4 |
 Conor TimminsTOR | 22 | 14:51 | 0:41 | 1:10 | 0 | 1 |
 Calle JarnkrokTOR | 19 | 14:48 | 0:47 | 1:14 | 0 | 4 |
 Tyson JostBUF | 19 | 14:40 | 0:46 | 1:16 | 2 | 3 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 22 | 14:32 | 0:40 | 1:00 | 6 | 1 |
 Ilya LyubushkinBUF | 20 | 14:32 | 0:44 | 1:16 | 1 | 4 |
 Alexander KerfootTOR | 20 | 14:20 | 0:43 | 1:15 | 1 | 1 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 19 | 13:55 | 0:44 | 1:20 | 1 | 3 |
 Michael BuntingTOR | 19 | 13:51 | 0:44 | 1:25 | 2 | 1 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 19 | 13:45 | 0:43 | 1:20 | 3 | 2 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 16 | 13:29 | 0:51 | 1:36 | 4 | 2 |
 Noel AcciariTOR | 20 | 13:19 | 0:40 | 1:25 | 1 | 1 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 21 | 12:05 | 0:35 | 1:10 | 1 | 2 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 16 | 11:44 | 0:44 | 1:06 | 2 | 1 |
 Zachary Aston-ReeseTOR | 15 | 10:44 | 0:43 | 1:10 | 1 | 0 |