Tue, Feb 21, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 78% of the time.
15%
72%
BUF winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:34 | 0.00 | 34.4% | +5.6 |
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:10 | 0.00 | 44.7% | 0.0 |
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:02 | 0.11 | 64.3% | 0.0 |
 Timothy LiljegrenD · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:32 | 0.00 | 47.0% | 0.0 |
 Mark GiordanoD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:53 | 0.01 | 58.0% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +4 | 0 | 16:48 | 0.00 | 50.3% | +38.8 |
 Ryan O'ReillyC · #90 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 5 | 16:38 | 1.12 | 59.4% | +37.8 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:54 | 0.28 | 51.8% | 0.0 |
 Pierre EngvallLW · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:53 | 0.00 | 47.6% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 15:53 | 0.94 | 51.8% | +6.6 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:36 | 0.46 | 43.8% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 3 | 15:14 | 0.44 | 53.3% | +38.4 |
 Conor TimminsD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:51 | 0.00 | 65.9% | 0.0 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:48 | 0.04 | 38.8% | 0.0 |
 Alexander KerfootC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:20 | 0.47 | 68.4% | 0.0 |
 Michael BuntingLW · #58 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:51 | 0.11 | 51.8% | +5.6 |
 Noel AcciariC · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:19 | 0.00 | 68.8% | 0.0 |
 Zachary Aston-ReeseLW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:44 | 0.13 | 51.8% | 0.0 |
 Ilya Samsonov#35 | W | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 2.36 | −0.6 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus DahlinD · #26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26:04 | 0.11 | 67.9% | +1.2 |
 Owen PowerD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:51 | 0.04 | 37.2% | 0.0 |
 Henri JokiharjuD · #10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 23:22 | 0.20 | 68.3% | +1.2 |
 Alex TuchRW · #89 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 2 | 18:28 | 0.37 | 56.3% | +2.4 |
 Tage ThompsonC · #72 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:01 | 0.19 | 57.8% | +1.2 |
 Mattias SamuelssonD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:41 | 0.09 | 51.9% | 0.0 |
 Jeff SkinnerLW · #53 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 16:27 | 0.14 | 61.6% | +1.2 |
 Casey MittelstadtC · #37 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:03 | 0.03 | 29.0% | +0.5 |
 Kyle OkposoRW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:10 | 0.20 | 49.3% | 0.0 |
 Peyton KrebsC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:08 | 0.00 | 38.9% | 0.0 |
 Tyson JostC · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:40 | 0.00 | 36.0% | 0.0 |
 Dylan CozensC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 14:32 | 0.36 | 53.6% | 0.0 |
 Ilya LyubushkinD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:32 | 0.09 | 33.3% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:55 | 0.20 | 32.2% | 0.0 |
 Victor OlofssonLW · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:45 | 0.04 | 54.3% | 0.0 |
 Jack QuinnRW · #22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13:29 | 0.16 | 23.6% | +0.5 |
 Jacob BrysonD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:05 | 0.00 | 20.5% | 0.0 |
 JJ PeterkaRW · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:44 | 0.13 | 56.5% | 0.0 |
 Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen#1 | L | 10 | 6 | 4 | .600 | 1.32 | −2.7 | 12:09 |
 Craig Anderson#41 | – | 18 | 17 | 1 | .944 | 2.03 | +1.0 | 46:29 |