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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 25, 2023·Centre Bell, Montreal

Ottawa Senators 5, Montréal Canadiens 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 55% of the time.

MTL winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:36Shot by Dvorak, saved by Sogaard
  3. P1 3:06Shot by Anderson, saved by Sogaard
  4. P1 3:36Shot by Pezzetta, saved by Sogaard
  5. P1 3:58Shot by Hoffman, saved by Sogaard
  6. P1 4:15Shot by Ylonen, saved by Sogaard
  7. P1 6:00Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Montembeault
  8. P1 7:32Shot by Chabot, saved by Montembeault
  9. P1 7:33Shot by Giroux, saved by Montembeault
  10. P1 10:57Watson: Roughing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: MTL Dadonov, Matheson, Drouin, Dvorak, Pitlick, Suzuki · OTT Giroux, Hamonic, DeBrincat, Pinto, Sanderson

  11. P1 12:10Shot by Matheson, saved by Sogaard5v4
  12. P1 12:27Shot by Matheson, saved by Sogaard5v4
  13. P1 13:16Shot by Hamonic, saved by Montembeault
  14. P1 14:32Shot by Suzuki, saved by Sogaard
  15. P1 15:12Goal by Brassard (Holden, Kastelic)+17 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Hoffman, Savard, Drouin, Harris, Ylonen · OTT Brassard, Holden, Watson, Brannstrom, Kastelic

  16. P1 15:59Shot by Dvorak, saved by Sogaard
  17. P1 17:16Stützle: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Matheson, Anderson, Suzuki, Harris, Harvey-Pinard · OTT Giroux, Chabot, Tkachuk, Stützle, Zub

  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:20Shot by Drouin, saved by Sogaard
  21. P2 1:07Shot by Harris, saved by Sogaard
  22. P2 2:35Shot by Schueneman, saved by Sogaard
  23. P2 3:31Watson: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: MTL Belzile, Tierney, Pezzetta, Kovacevic, Schueneman · OTT Brassard, Holden, Watson, Brannstrom, Kastelic

  24. P2 3:31Pezzetta: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: MTL Belzile, Tierney, Pezzetta, Kovacevic, Schueneman · OTT Brassard, Holden, Watson, Brannstrom, Kastelic

  25. P2 4:15Shot by Barron, saved by Sogaard
  26. P2 4:27Shot by Matheson, saved by Sogaard
  27. P2 4:29Goal by Matheson (Barron)+20 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Matheson, Anderson, Suzuki, Harvey-Pinard, Barron · OTT Chabot, Batherson, Tkachuk, Stützle, Zub

  28. P2 6:26Harvey-Pinard: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Belzile, Matheson, Tierney, Harvey-Pinard, Barron · OTT Giroux, Brassard, Chabot, Kastelic, Zub

  29. P2 8:00Shot by Belzile, saved by Sogaard4v5
  30. P2 8:46Goal by Suzuki (Kovacevic)+21 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Anderson, Suzuki, Kovacevic, Harris, Harvey-Pinard · OTT Giroux, Hamonic, Joseph, Pinto, Sanderson

  31. P2 9:49Shot by Joseph, saved by Montembeault
  32. P2 10:31Shot by Anderson, saved by Sogaard
  33. P2 10:46Shot by Giroux, saved by Montembeault
  34. P2 13:25Shot by Chabot, saved by Montembeault
  35. P2 13:51Goal by Pinto (DeBrincat, Giroux)+22 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Hoffman, Matheson, Drouin, Ylonen, Barron · OTT Giroux, Hamonic, DeBrincat, Pinto, Sanderson

  36. P2 14:55Kastelic: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Dadonov, Matheson, Dvorak, Pitlick, Barron · OTT Brassard, Holden, Watson, Brannstrom, Kastelic

  37. P2 15:25Shot by Matheson, saved by Sogaard5v4
  38. P2 16:04Shot by Hoffman, saved by Sogaard5v4
  39. P2 16:05Shot by Joseph, saved by Montembeault5v4
  40. P2 16:56Shot by Pinto, saved by Montembeault
  41. P2 17:40Shot by Pezzetta, saved by Sogaard
  42. P2 18:00Shot by Stützle, saved by Montembeault
  43. P2 19:05Shot by Pezzetta, saved by Sogaard
  44. P2 19:59Shot by Hoffman, saved by Sogaard
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:59Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Montembeault
  48. P3 1:51Shot by Gauthier, saved by Montembeault
  49. P3 1:52Shot by Gauthier, saved by Montembeault
  50. P3 3:35Shot by Harris, saved by Sogaard
  51. P3 4:08Shot by Hamonic, saved by Montembeault
  52. P3 4:31Goal by Watson (Hamonic, Brassard)+30 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Belzile, Matheson, Tierney, Pezzetta, Barron · OTT Brassard, Hamonic, Watson, Kastelic, Sanderson

  53. P3 5:18Goal by Batherson (Tkachuk, Sogaard)+15 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Savard, Anderson, Suzuki, Harris, Harvey-Pinard · OTT Chabot, Joseph, Batherson, Stützle, Zub

  54. P3 6:34Shot by Hamonic, saved by Montembeault
  55. P3 8:13Shot by Harris, saved by Sogaard
  56. P3 8:24Shot by Batherson, saved by Montembeault
  57. P3 11:57Goal by Gauthier (Holden)+3 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Hoffman, Matheson, Drouin, Ylonen, Barron · OTT Hamonic, Joseph, Gauthier, Gambrell, Brannstrom

  58. P3 12:36Shot by Dvorak, saved by Sogaard
  59. P3 14:03Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Montembeault
  60. P3 15:23Shot by Ylonen, saved by Sogaard
  61. P3 16:02Shot by Dadonov, saved by Sogaard
  62. P3 17:09Shot by Schueneman, saved by Sogaard
  63. P3 17:31Shot by Schueneman, saved by Sogaard
  64. P3 17:37Shot by Pitlick, saved by Sogaard
  65. P3 18:38Shot by Matheson, saved by Sogaard
  66. P3 0:00Period end
  67. P3 0:00Final