Sat, Feb 25, 2023·Centre Bell, Montreal
Ottawa Senators 5, Montréal Canadiens 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 55% of the time.
36%
10%
9%
46%
MTL winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26:23 | 0.19 | 57.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:36 | 0.00 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:50 | 0.19 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 19:47 | 0.12 | 46.1% | +30.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:35 | 0.17 | 49.7% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:18 | 0.06 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:17 | 0.38 | 45.1% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:10 | 0.14 | 70.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 15:54 | 0.00 | 78.1% | +20.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:02 | 0.16 | 69.8% | +21.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 14:17 | 0.01 | 85.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:53 | 0.34 | 69.9% | +21.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:34 | 0.16 | 81.2% | +21.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:12 | 0.14 | 27.5% | +30.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:08 | 0.03 | 78.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 11:46 | 0.00 | 30.9% | +17.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 10:14 | 0.46 | 78.8% | +3.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 10:04 | 0.06 | 23.3% | +47.2 |
| W | 32 | 30 | 2 | .938 | 2.33 | +0.3 | 60:00 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 6 | 24:47 | 0.36 | 38.4% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:09 | 0.14 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:03 | 0.62 | 46.8% | +20.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:44 | 0.04 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:19 | 0.00 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:34 | 0.21 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:31 | 0.03 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:19 | 0.00 | 43.6% | +20.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 16:07 | 0.02 | 27.9% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:02 | 0.08 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:41 | 0.09 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 15:29 | 0.24 | 28.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:47 | 0.29 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 13:29 | 0.03 | 27.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 12:16 | 0.06 | 19.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:36 | 0.00 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:53 | 0.04 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 9:26 | 0.09 | 38.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 22 | 17 | 5 | .773 | 2.61 | −2.4 | 59:48 |