Sat, Feb 25, 2023·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Dallas Stars 3, Vegas Golden Knights 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 53% of the time.
45%
40%
VGK winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27:57 | 0.15 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 23:50 | 0.75 | 41.4% | +41.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22:56 | 0.41 | 38.0% | +41.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 8 | 21:51 | 0.91 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 21:45 | 0.88 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 19:59 | 0.53 | 58.9% | +63.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:30 | 0.47 | 50.1% | +21.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:23 | 0.02 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:49 | 0.01 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:36 | 0.03 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:34 | 0.26 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:00 | 0.01 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:47 | 0.01 | 32.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:47 | 0.03 | 70.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:02 | 0.06 | 46.8% | +21.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:35 | 0.08 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:11 | 0.00 | 74.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:05 | 0.00 | 34.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 43 | 41 | 2 | .953 | 4.71 | +2.7 | 63:23 |
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 25:27 | 0.13 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 24:51 | 0.10 | 46.0% | +33.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 7 | 23:18 | 0.57 | 31.1% | +33.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:54 | 0.00 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22:42 | 0.42 | 54.8% | +21.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:50 | 0.04 | 49.6% | +21.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 19:03 | 1.15 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:47 | 0.23 | 46.0% | +33.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:37 | 0.10 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:47 | 0.00 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:37 | 0.03 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:09 | 0.27 | 56.5% | +21.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:00 | 0.24 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:49 | 0.18 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:51 | 0.43 | 90.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 11:25 | 0.21 | 27.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:29 | 0.40 | 97.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:24 | 0.22 | 97.1% | 0.0 |
| O | 43 | 41 | 2 | .953 | 4.60 | +2.6 | 65:00 |