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Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 26, 2023·Mullett Arena, Tempe

Nashville Predators 6, Arizona Coyotes 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 51% of the time.

ARI winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:31Shot by Duchene, saved by Ingram
  3. P1 1:26Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Saros
  4. P1 2:15Shot by Tomasino, saved by Ingram
  5. P1 2:51Shot by Josi, saved by Ingram
  6. P1 4:09Shot by Hayton, saved by Saros
  7. P1 4:20Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Saros
  8. P1 4:21Shot by Hayton, saved by Saros
  9. P1 4:38Shot by Välimäki, saved by Saros
  10. P1 5:04Shot by Nemeth, saved by Saros
  11. P1 5:19Nemeth: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Nemeth, Boyd, Ritchie, Fischer, Moser · NSH McDonagh, Josi, Duchene, Granlund, Novak

  12. P1 5:32Shot by Duchene, saved by Ingram4v5
  13. P1 5:33Shot by Duchene, saved by Ingram4v5
  14. P1 5:55Goal by Gostisbehere (Schmaltz)4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Gostisbehere, Schmaltz, Välimäki, Hayton · NSH Josi, Duchene, Granlund, Novak, Glass

  15. P1 7:08Shot by Josi, saved by Ingram4v5
  16. P1 7:28Shot by Nemeth, saved by Saros
  17. P1 7:46Shot by Glass, saved by Ingram
  18. P1 8:52Shot by Ekholm, saved by Ingram
  19. P1 9:01Shot by Tomasino, saved by Ingram
  20. P1 9:02Goal by Trenin (Tomasino, Sissons)+18 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Kassian, O'Brien, Stecher, McBain, Soderstrom · NSH McDonagh, Sissons, Lauzon, Trenin, Tomasino

  21. P1 10:22Shot by Keller, saved by Saros
  22. P1 12:27Shot by O'Brien, saved by Saros
  23. P1 13:48Goal by Duchene (Glass, Carrier)+17 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Nemeth, Schmaltz, Keller, Hayton, Moser · NSH Duchene, Ekholm, Granlund, Carrier, Glass

  24. P1 17:25Shot by Tomasino, saved by Ingram
  25. P1 18:03Sissons: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Kassian, O'Brien, McBain, Soderstrom, Moser · NSH Sissons, Lauzon, Trenin, Fabbro, Smith

  26. P1 19:15Smith: Holding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: ARI Boyd, Gostisbehere, Crouse, Välimäki, Maccelli · NSH Ekholm, Granlund, Carrier, Smith

  27. P1 0:00Period end5v3
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 1:19Shot by Hayton, saved by Saros
  30. P2 1:23Shot by Keller, saved by Saros
  31. P2 2:39Goal by Josi (Novak, Trenin)+15 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Kassian, Gostisbehere, O'Brien, Stecher, McBain · NSH Josi, Duchene, Novak, Trenin, Fabbro

  32. P2 3:26Shot by Sherwood, saved by Ingram
  33. P2 4:34Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Saros
  34. P2 5:30Shot by Ekholm, saved by Ingram
  35. P2 5:37Shot by Sissons, saved by Ingram
  36. P2 7:10Shot by Keller, saved by Saros
  37. P2 7:27Goal by Schmaltz (Keller, Hayton)+15 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Gostisbehere, Schmaltz, Keller, Välimäki, Hayton · NSH Duchene, Granlund, Gravel, Novak, Lauzon

  38. P2 8:02Shot by Tomasino, saved by Ingram
  39. P2 8:34Shot by Glass, saved by Ingram
  40. P2 9:08Shot by Smith, saved by Ingram
  41. P2 11:12Shot by Novak, saved by Ingram
  42. P2 12:08Shot by Keller, saved by Saros
  43. P2 13:09Carrier: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Nemeth, Boyd, Ritchie, Keller, Moser · NSH Gravel, Carrier, Glass, Sherwood, Tomasino

  44. P2 13:21Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Saros5v4
  45. P2 16:45Shot by Fischer, saved by Saros
  46. P2 19:02Shot by Maccelli, saved by Saros
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:48Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Saros
  50. P3 1:41Shot by Ritchie, saved by Saros
  51. P3 3:16Shot by Keller, saved by Saros
  52. P3 3:25Shot by Novak, saved by Ingram
  53. P3 3:26Shot by Granlund, saved by Ingram
  54. P3 3:28Goal by Novak (Granlund, Duchene)+15 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Gostisbehere, Schmaltz, Keller, Välimäki, McBain · NSH Duchene, Ekholm, Granlund, Novak, Carrier

  55. P3 3:49Shot by Sherwood, saved by Ingram
  56. P3 3:57Shot by Ekholm, saved by Ingram
  57. P3 5:17Ritchie: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Nemeth, Boyd, Ritchie, Fischer, Moser · NSH McDonagh, Josi, Sissons, Trenin, Sherwood

  58. P3 5:46Shot by Josi, saved by Ingram4v5
  59. P3 6:02Goal by Josi (Novak, Duchene)4v5+5 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Bjugstad, Gostisbehere, Crouse, Moser · NSH Josi, Duchene, Granlund, Novak, Glass

  60. P3 6:43Shot by Stecher, saved by Saros
  61. P3 7:02Shot by Hayton, saved by Saros
  62. P3 8:00Shot by Sanford, saved by Ingram
  63. P3 8:57Ekholm: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Gostisbehere, Schmaltz, Keller, Välimäki, Hayton · NSH Duchene, Ekholm, Granlund, Novak, Carrier

  64. P3 10:13Shot by Keller, saved by Saros5v4
  65. P3 10:19Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Saros5v4
  66. P3 11:13Shot by Gravel, saved by Ingram
  67. P3 12:25Shot by Granlund, saved by Ingram
  68. P3 13:50Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Saros
  69. P3 15:32Tomasino: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Nemeth, Boyd, Ritchie, Fischer, Moser · NSH Gravel, Sanford, Novak, Fabbro, Tomasino

  70. P3 16:23Välimäki: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: ARI Bjugstad, Schmaltz, Keller, Välimäki, Hayton · NSH Ekholm, Granlund, Trenin, Carrier

  71. P3 17:10Shot by Duchene, saved by Ingram4v4
  72. P3 17:18Shot by Novak, saved by Ingram4v4
  73. P3 18:17Goal by Glass (Granlund, Josi)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Nemeth, O'Brien, Fischer, Stecher · NSH Josi, Duchene, Granlund, Novak, Glass

  74. P3 18:17O'Brien: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: ARI Nemeth, O'Brien, Fischer, Stecher · NSH Josi, Duchene, Granlund, Novak, Glass

  75. P3 19:01Shot by Fabbro, saved by Ingram
  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. P3 0:00Final