Sun, Feb 26, 2023·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Seattle Kraken 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 61% of the time.
29%
9%
54%
SEA winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 21:25 | 0.12 | 74.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 21:13 | 0.12 | 49.7% | +32.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 20:27 | 0.01 | 51.4% | +17.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:17 | 0.02 | 76.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 18:23 | 0.00 | 50.5% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 17:17 | 0.01 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:32 | 0.24 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:14 | 0.05 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:01 | 0.27 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 16:00 | 0.07 | 69.2% | +24.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 14:58 | 0.07 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:53 | 0.00 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:25 | 0.06 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 14:14 | 0.41 | 67.3% | +32.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 14:09 | 1.00 | 60.1% | +14.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 14:08 | 0.67 | 72.9% | +9.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:01 | 0.08 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 12:23 | 0.34 | 73.1% | +15.2 |
| W | 27 | 26 | 1 | .963 | 2.86 | +1.9 | 60:00 |
Seattle Kraken
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 23:58 | 0.05 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 22:41 | 0.23 | 52.2% | +17.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:48 | 0.12 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:30 | 0.01 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:19 | 0.46 | 38.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:04 | 0.00 | 56.4% | +17.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:37 | 0.00 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:27 | 0.42 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:11 | 0.04 | 31.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:35 | 0.29 | 46.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 15:59 | 0.33 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:18 | 0.35 | 73.6% | +17.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:08 | 0.06 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:25 | 0.15 | 31.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:32 | 0.06 | 23.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 11:01 | 0.22 | 25.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:59 | 0.00 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 8:43 | 0.10 | 23.2% | 0.0 |
| – | 12 | 11 | 1 | .917 | 0.84 | −0.2 | 35:32 | |
| L | 21 | 17 | 4 | .810 | 2.70 | −1.3 | 24:13 |