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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 28, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Columbus Blue Jackets 5, Buffalo Sabres 3

Away

Columbus Blue Jackets

5

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 53% of the time.

BUF winsCBJ wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:26Shot by Quinn, saved by Merzlikins
  3. P1 1:24Cozens: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Hinostroza, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Cozens, Power · CBJ Roslovic, Laine, Peeke, Johnson, Blankenburg

  4. P1 1:30Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Anderson4v5
  5. P1 1:37Shot by Jenner, saved by Anderson4v5
  6. P1 2:17Shot by Jenner, saved by Anderson4v5
  7. P1 2:24Shot by Krebs, saved by Merzlikins4v5
  8. P1 2:53Goal by Johnson (Blankenburg, Merzlikins)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Girgensons, Jost, Samuelsson, Lyubushkin · CBJ Roslovic, Bemstrom, Johnson, Sillinger, Blankenburg

  9. P1 3:11Goal by Thompson (Skinner, Quinn)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Thompson, Jokiharju, Quinn, Power · CBJ Gudbranson, Kuraly, Olivier, Robinson, Berni

  10. P1 3:35Shot by Peterka, saved by Merzlikins
  11. P1 3:41Shot by Hinostroza, saved by Merzlikins
  12. P1 5:17Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Merzlikins
  13. P1 6:15Shot by Bayreuther, saved by Anderson
  14. P1 6:29Shot by Olofsson, saved by Merzlikins
  15. P1 6:54Shot by Marchenko, saved by Anderson
  16. P1 8:24Shot by Girgensons, saved by Merzlikins
  17. P1 8:44Shot by Roslovic, saved by Anderson
  18. P1 8:53Shot by Johnson, saved by Anderson
  19. P1 9:09Shot by Johnson, saved by Anderson
  20. P1 9:16Shot by Peeke, saved by Anderson
  21. P1 11:30Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Merzlikins
  22. P1 12:16Shot by Okposo, saved by Merzlikins
  23. P1 12:46Shot by Johnson, saved by Anderson
  24. P1 13:13Shot by Quinn, saved by Merzlikins
  25. P1 13:41Goal by Robinson, unassisted+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Thompson, Jokiharju, Quinn, Power · CBJ Kuraly, Peeke, Olivier, Robinson, Blankenburg

  26. P1 15:25Shot by Thompson, saved by Merzlikins
  27. P1 16:22Shot by Hinostroza, saved by Merzlikins
  28. P1 16:29Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Merzlikins
  29. P1 16:50Shot by Olivier, saved by Anderson
  30. P1 17:01Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Anderson
  31. P1 17:02Shot by Robinson, saved by Anderson
  32. P1 19:08Shot by Hinostroza, saved by Merzlikins
  33. P1 19:18Shot by Power, saved by Merzlikins
  34. P1 0:00Period end
  35. P2 0:00Period start
  36. P2 0:09Roslovic: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Clague, Thompson, Samuelsson, Quinn · CBJ Roslovic, Laine, Peeke, Johnson, Blankenburg

  37. P2 0:22Shot by Skinner, saved by Merzlikins5v4
  38. P2 1:42Shot by Olofsson, saved by Merzlikins5v4
  39. P2 2:35Shot by Robinson, saved by Anderson
  40. P2 3:26Shot by Berni, saved by Anderson
  41. P2 3:56Shot by Hinostroza, saved by Merzlikins
  42. P2 4:46Shot by Foudy, saved by Anderson
  43. P2 5:51Shot by Clague, saved by Merzlikins
  44. P2 7:49Shot by Bryson, saved by Merzlikins
  45. P2 7:58Shot by Skinner, saved by Merzlikins
  46. P2 7:59Shot by Thompson, saved by Merzlikins
  47. P2 9:21Shot by Clague, saved by Merzlikins
  48. P2 9:43Shot by Sillinger, saved by Anderson
  49. P2 10:10Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Merzlikins
  50. P2 11:03Shot by Skinner, saved by Merzlikins
  51. P2 11:18Shot by Johnson, saved by Anderson
  52. P2 11:53Goal by Robinson (Kuraly, Laine)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Thompson, Jokiharju, Quinn, Power · CBJ Kuraly, Olivier, Bayreuther, Robinson, Boqvist

  53. P2 13:05Shot by Foudy, saved by Anderson
  54. P2 13:12Shot by Bayreuther, saved by Anderson
  55. P2 13:19Shot by Bayreuther, saved by Anderson
  56. P2 15:18Shot by Blankenburg, saved by Anderson
  57. P2 17:00Shot by Kuraly, saved by Anderson
  58. P2 17:21Shot by Foudy, saved by Anderson
  59. P2 18:15Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Merzlikins
  60. P2 19:42Goal by Jenner (Blankenburg, Peeke)+7 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Olofsson, Samuelsson, Krebs, Peterka, Power · CBJ Gudbranson, Gaudreau, Jenner, Boqvist, Marchenko

  61. P2 0:00Period end
  62. P3 0:00Period start
  63. P3 0:08Shot by Peeke, saved by Anderson
  64. P3 2:01Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Merzlikins
  65. P3 2:42Shot by Bemstrom, saved by Anderson
  66. P3 2:49Shot by Blankenburg, saved by Anderson
  67. P3 5:02Goal by Quinn (Samuelsson)+5 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Thompson, Samuelsson, Quinn, Power · CBJ Gaudreau, Jenner, Peeke, Marchenko, Blankenburg

  68. P3 5:16Shot by Olivier, saved by Anderson
  69. P3 5:23Shot by Robinson, saved by Anderson
  70. P3 5:25Shot by Kuraly, saved by Anderson
  71. P3 6:02Shot by Krebs, saved by Merzlikins
  72. P3 7:59Shot by Skinner, saved by Merzlikins
  73. P3 8:20Marchenko: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Clague, Thompson, Jokiharju, Quinn · CBJ Gaudreau, Jenner, Peeke, Marchenko, Berni

  74. P3 8:59Shot by Thompson, saved by Merzlikins5v4
  75. P3 9:19Shot by Peterka, saved by Merzlikins5v4
  76. P3 9:38Shot by Quinn, saved by Merzlikins5v4
  77. P3 9:46Goal by Peterka (Power, Krebs)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Mittelstadt, Krebs, Quinn, Peterka, Power · CBJ Roslovic, Bayreuther, Robinson, Blankenburg

  78. P3 10:30Shot by Boqvist, saved by Anderson
  79. P3 10:44Shot by Girgensons, saved by Merzlikins
  80. P3 10:46Shot by Jost, saved by Merzlikins
  81. P3 11:50Shot by Thompson, saved by Merzlikins
  82. P3 14:44Shot by Peterka, saved by Merzlikins
  83. P3 15:02Kuraly: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Thompson, Samuelsson, Cozens, Quinn, Power · CBJ Kuraly, Peeke, Olivier, Robinson, Blankenburg

  84. P3 16:02Shot by Skinner, saved by Merzlikins5v4
  85. P3 19:25Goal by Robinson (Jenner)6v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Hinostroza, Clague, Jokiharju, Krebs, Cozens · CBJ Gudbranson, Kuraly, Jenner, Peeke, Robinson

  86. P3 19:37Shot by Bryson, saved by Merzlikins
  87. P3 0:00Period end
  88. P3 0:00Final