Tue, Feb 28, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Columbus Blue Jackets 5, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 53% of the time.
40%
45%
BUF winsCBJ wins
Columbus Blue Jackets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 27:09 | 0.02 | 44.5% | +6.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 24:24 | 0.04 | 77.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18:53 | 0.05 | 50.7% | +19.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:53 | 0.40 | 20.1% | +11.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:47 | 0.02 | 63.2% | 0.0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 6 | 17:28 | 1.64 | 67.1% | +36.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:02 | 0.50 | 68.2% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:38 | 0.02 | 61.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16:37 | 0.37 | 66.6% | +12.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:21 | 0.04 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 15:16 | 0.03 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 13:46 | 0.08 | 66.8% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:34 | 0.02 | 19.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:26 | 0.10 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:17 | 0.20 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:04 | 0.27 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:08 | 0.07 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 9:51 | 0.41 | 65.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 41 | 38 | 3 | .927 | 4.09 | +1.1 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 28:43 | 0.03 | 47.0% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:39 | 0.09 | 38.1% | +5.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:59 | 0.03 | 41.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20:38 | 0.76 | 58.8% | +13.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19:15 | 0.59 | 52.4% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:18 | 0.14 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:33 | 0.09 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:01 | 0.16 | 23.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15:29 | 0.56 | 57.0% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 15:04 | 0.14 | 25.4% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:58 | 0.00 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:19 | 0.03 | 35.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:55 | 0.07 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 13:48 | 0.36 | 38.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:26 | 0.25 | 65.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 12:53 | 0.42 | 25.6% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:18 | 0.02 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:34 | 0.35 | 52.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 35 | 31 | 4 | .886 | 3.55 | −0.4 | 59:41 |