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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 28, 2023·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Florida Panthers 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 1

Away

Florida Panthers

4

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 65% of the time.

TBL winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:26Shot by Perbix, saved by Bobrovsky
  3. P1 1:32Shot by Cirelli, saved by Bobrovsky
  4. P1 2:33Shot by Lundell, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 3:00Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  6. P1 3:28Shot by Paul, saved by Bobrovsky
  7. P1 4:39Shot by Hedman, saved by Bobrovsky
  8. P1 5:33Shot by Dalpe, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 6:05Shot by Lomberg, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 6:19Goal by Staal (Mahura, Cousins)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Perbix · FLA Staal, Cousins, Montour, Lomberg, Mahura

  11. P1 7:22Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 10:55Shot by Duclair, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 11:55Shot by Ekblad, saved by Vasilevskiy
  14. P1 14:05Shot by Cousins, saved by Vasilevskiy
  15. P1 14:35Shot by Duclair, saved by Vasilevskiy
  16. P1 14:42Shot by Fitzgerald, saved by Vasilevskiy
  17. P1 15:56Goal by Lundell (Tkachuk, Staal)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Cole, Stamkos, Bogosian, Cirelli, Hagel · FLA Gudas, Reinhart, Forsling, Tkachuk, Lundell

  18. P1 16:20Shot by Lomberg, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 16:28Shot by Forsling, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 17:37Goal by Luostarinen, unassisted+9 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, Cole, Hedman, Colton, Jeannot · FLA Duclair, Montour, Tkachuk, Mahura, Luostarinen

  21. P1 18:05Shot by Cousins, saved by Vasilevskiy
  22. P1 18:16Perry: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Bellemare, Cernak, Sergachev · FLA Gudas, Cousins, Verhaeghe, Forsling, Luostarinen

  23. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:12Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  26. P2 1:02Shot by Staal, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P2 1:23Shot by Bogosian, saved by Bobrovsky
  28. P2 1:30Shot by Bogosian, saved by Bobrovsky
  29. P2 2:08Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Vasilevskiy
  30. P2 3:19Shot by Dalpe, saved by Vasilevskiy
  31. P2 3:19Cole: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Cole, Maroon, Bellemare, Cernak · FLA Dalpe, Forsling, White, Fitzgerald, Luostarinen

  32. P2 3:40Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  33. P2 3:49Shot by Ekblad, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  34. P2 4:45Shot by Duclair, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  35. P2 5:14Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  36. P2 5:15Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  37. P2 5:41Shot by Point, saved by Bobrovsky
  38. P2 5:43Shot by Lomberg, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 7:28Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 9:25Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 10:17Staal: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Cole, Paul, Colton, Jeannot, Perbix · FLA Staal, Dalpe, White, Lomberg, Fitzgerald

  42. P2 11:10Shot by Point, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  43. P2 11:39Goal by Point (Stamkos, Kucherov)5v4+8 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev · FLA Gudas, Reinhart, Fitzgerald, Lundell

  44. P2 11:47Shot by Colton, saved by Bobrovsky
  45. P2 12:26Shot by Montour, saved by Vasilevskiy
  46. P2 12:55Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P2 14:19Lundell: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Perbix · FLA Ekblad, Reinhart, Forsling, Tkachuk, Lundell

  48. P2 14:38Shot by Killorn, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  49. P2 15:46Shot by Gudas, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  50. P2 17:55Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  51. P2 18:18Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P2 18:21Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  53. P2 19:18Shot by Staal, saved by Vasilevskiy
  54. P2 19:44Shot by Lomberg, saved by Vasilevskiy
  55. P2 19:50Shot by Lomberg, saved by Vasilevskiy
  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 0:36Shot by Killorn, saved by Bobrovsky
  59. P3 1:00Shot by Hedman, saved by Bobrovsky
  60. P3 1:29Montour: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev · FLA Staal, Staal, Cousins, Montour, Lomberg

  61. P3 2:51Shot by Point, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  62. P3 3:01Shot by Killorn, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  63. P3 3:46Shot by Kucherov, saved by Bobrovsky
  64. P3 3:47Shot by Stamkos, saved by Bobrovsky
  65. P3 3:58Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  66. P3 6:08Shot by Cernak, saved by Bobrovsky
  67. P3 6:12Shot by Kucherov, saved by Bobrovsky
  68. P3 6:13Shot by Kucherov, saved by Bobrovsky
  69. P3 6:41Shot by Duclair, saved by Vasilevskiy
  70. P3 7:23Shot by Cousins, saved by Vasilevskiy
  71. P3 9:05Shot by Maroon, saved by Bobrovsky
  72. P3 9:05White: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Hedman, Bellemare, Cernak · FLA Staal, Dalpe, Reinhart, Montour, White

  73. P3 9:55Shot by Stamkos, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  74. P3 11:44Shot by Cernak, saved by Bobrovsky
  75. P3 13:14Bobrovsky: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Cole, Cirelli, Hagel, Perbix · FLA Staal, Staal, Cousins, Montour, Lomberg

  76. P3 15:52Shot by Cernak, saved by Bobrovsky
  77. P3 16:33Shot by Kucherov, saved by Bobrovsky6v5
  78. P3 16:34Shot by Cirelli, saved by Bobrovsky6v5
  79. P3 17:38Shot by Sergachev, saved by Bobrovsky6v5
  80. P3 18:21Shot by Cirelli, saved by Bobrovsky6v5
  81. P3 18:31Shot by Kucherov, saved by Bobrovsky6v5
  82. P3 19:55Goal by Duclair (Staal, Luostarinen)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli · FLA Staal, Staal, Gudas, Duclair, Luostarinen

  83. P3 0:00Period end
  84. P3 0:00Final