Tue, Feb 28, 2023·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Florida Panthers 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 65% of the time.
28%
59%
TBL winsFLA wins
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Gustav ForslingD · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 25:00 | 0.02 | 63.8% | 0.0 |
 Aaron EkbladD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:48 | 0.13 | 51.3% | 0.0 |
 Brandon MontourD · #62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 20:53 | 0.26 | 54.4% | 0.0 |
 Eetu LuostarinenC · #27 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 20:44 | 0.59 | 51.9% | +9.5 |
 Sam ReinhartC · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:41 | 0.29 | 81.4% | 0.0 |
 Eric StaalC · #12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 20:18 | 0.16 | 92.0% | +14.4 |
 Matthew TkachukLW · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 20:18 | 0.81 | 75.1% | +14.9 |
 Marc StaalD · #18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:55 | 0.02 | 58.7% | +14.9 |
 Anton LundellC · #15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:45 | 0.37 | 87.4% | +14.9 |
 Carter VerhaegheC · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:24 | 0.07 | 34.4% | 0.0 |
 Radko GudasD · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 16:54 | 0.00 | 90.1% | 0.0 |
 Anthony DuclairLW · #10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 15:42 | 1.41 | 43.2% | +0.1 |
 Nick CousinsC · #21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:52 | 0.14 | 74.4% | +14.3 |
 Ryan LombergLW · #94 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 13:41 | 0.37 | 73.9% | 0.0 |
 Josh MahuraD · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 9:50 | 0.02 | 64.3% | +14.3 |
 Colin WhiteC · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:41 | 0.00 | 51.1% | 0.0 |
 Casey FitzgeraldD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:32 | 0.02 | 30.0% | 0.0 |
 Zac DalpeC · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:40 | 0.14 | 68.6% | 0.0 |
 Sergei Bobrovsky#72 | W | 29 | 28 | 1 | .966 | 3.70 | +2.7 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Mikhail SergachevD · #98 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 25:11 | 0.03 | 55.5% | 0.0 |
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 24:33 | 0.18 | 43.5% | 0.0 |
 Steven StamkosC · #91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 22:49 | 0.49 | 47.5% | +7.7 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 21:28 | 0.51 | 44.0% | +7.7 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 20:46 | 0.58 | 45.5% | +7.7 |
 Alex KillornLW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:36 | 0.56 | 24.0% | 0.0 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:32 | 0.03 | 4.2% | 0.0 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:51 | 0.00 | 44.8% | 0.0 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:39 | 0.74 | 50.1% | 0.0 |
 Ian ColeD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:23 | 0.00 | 10.8% | 0.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:40 | 0.29 | 47.1% | 0.0 |
 Corey PerryRW · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:36 | 0.00 | 29.7% | 0.0 |
 Ross ColtonC · #79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:04 | 0.05 | 33.4% | 0.0 |
 Nick PerbixD · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:34 | 0.03 | 64.2% | 0.0 |
 Tanner JeannotLW · #84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:57 | 0.07 | 11.2% | 0.0 |
 Zach BogosianD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:32 | 0.02 | 25.3% | 0.0 |
 Patrick MaroonLW · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:11 | 0.06 | 25.9% | 0.0 |
 Pierre-Edouard BellemareLW · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:09 | 0.07 | 20.3% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | L | 40 | 37 | 3 | .925 | 4.03 | +1.0 | 56:29 |