Mon, Mar 6, 2023·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Calgary Flames 5, Dallas Stars 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 74% of the time.
19%
67%
DAL winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:50 | 0.06 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 21:47 | 0.11 | 54.9% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 20:46 | 0.11 | 55.9% | +65.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:47 | 0.21 | 22.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:33 | 0.02 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:16 | 0.21 | 67.5% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:59 | 0.19 | 22.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:32 | 1.28 | 87.1% | +26.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:14 | 0.04 | 64.9% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:50 | 0.17 | 26.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:47 | 0.05 | 27.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 14:42 | 0.29 | 65.7% | +30.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 14:41 | 0.89 | 62.6% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 14:21 | 0.17 | 63.6% | +65.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 4 | 13:38 | 0.38 | 88.0% | +51.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:37 | 0.37 | 86.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:15 | 0.00 | 26.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:15 | 0.00 | 14.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 29 | 4 | .879 | 3.02 | −1.0 | 59:47 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 24:41 | 0.03 | 35.0% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:55 | 0.04 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:39 | 0.00 | 36.0% | +38.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:02 | 0.06 | 37.6% | +38.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18:00 | 0.92 | 66.6% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:23 | 0.00 | 43.0% | +25.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:38 | 0.01 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 16:33 | 0.27 | 61.1% | +13.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:24 | 0.16 | 63.1% | +13.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16:12 | 0.42 | 42.8% | +25.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16:10 | 0.18 | 42.2% | +52.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:09 | 0.37 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:44 | 0.00 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 14:51 | 0.25 | 43.6% | +25.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:32 | 0.03 | 74.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 13:34 | 0.18 | 21.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:39 | 0.03 | 20.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:01 | 0.06 | 10.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 37 | 33 | 5 | .892 | 4.54 | −0.5 | 59:53 |