Thu, Mar 9, 2023·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
New York Islanders 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 56% of the time.
47%
9%
36%
PIT winsNYI wins
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 24:25 | 0.02 | 21.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23:17 | 0.25 | 38.0% | +11.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 22:59 | 0.28 | 11.9% | +92.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:21 | 0.07 | 47.0% | +40.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 21:09 | 0.20 | 47.0% | +11.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 21:03 | 0.15 | 33.5% | +11.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20:26 | 0.47 | 19.7% | +11.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:14 | 0.01 | 32.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:45 | 0.01 | 14.5% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 18:31 | 0.49 | 31.2% | +51.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:00 | 0.58 | 7.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:54 | 0.01 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:48 | 0.11 | 44.1% | +11.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:58 | 0.01 | 19.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:29 | 0.27 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:23 | 0.00 | 13.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:05 | 0.00 | 23.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:46 | 0.09 | – | 0.0 |
| W | 36 | 33 | 3 | .917 | 3.37 | +0.4 | 60:19 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27:06 | 0.28 | 85.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 21:09 | 0.30 | 73.1% | +33.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:42 | 0.34 | 73.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:31 | 0.08 | 63.0% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20:15 | 0.40 | 72.0% | +15.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:08 | 0.31 | 75.6% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:34 | 0.08 | 78.3% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:26 | 0.03 | 85.0% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:07 | 0.36 | 74.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:37 | 0.26 | 87.8% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:55 | 0.07 | 70.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:26 | 0.02 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:58 | 0.17 | 77.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:38 | 0.04 | 17.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:44 | 0.09 | 30.4% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 11:00 | 0.32 | 66.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:45 | 0.00 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 9:24 | 0.22 | 57.1% | 0.0 |
| O | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 3.02 | −1.0 | 61:48 |