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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 9, 2023·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

New York Islanders 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 56% of the time.

PIT winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:17Shot by Guentzel, saved by Sorokin
  3. P1 0:19Shot by Crosby, saved by Sorokin
  4. P1 0:26Shot by Letang, saved by Sorokin
  5. P1 0:50Shot by Romanov, saved by Jarry
  6. P1 3:49Shot by O'Connor, saved by Sorokin
  7. P1 4:40Shot by Mayfield, saved by Jarry
  8. P1 4:44Malkin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Zucker, Rust, Pettersson · NYI Lee, Mayfield, Pelech, Horvat, Engvall

  9. P1 5:21Shot by Horvat, saved by Jarry4v5
  10. P1 5:23Goal by Lee (Horvat, Palmieri)4v5+11 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Petry, Kulikov, Granlund, Rust · NYI Palmieri, Lee, Nelson, Horvat, Dobson

  11. P1 6:26Shot by Letang, saved by Sorokin
  12. P1 7:40Shot by Petry, saved by Sorokin
  13. P1 11:07Goal by Guentzel (Pettersson, Crosby)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rakell, Guentzel, Pettersson · NYI Lee, Horvat, Pulock, Engvall, Romanov

  14. P1 11:51Shot by Martin, saved by Jarry
  15. P1 12:43Shot by Zucker, saved by Sorokin
  16. P1 13:01Shot by Cizikas, saved by Jarry
  17. P1 13:55Shot by Granlund, saved by Sorokin
  18. P1 14:00Shot by O'Connor, saved by Sorokin
  19. P1 15:05Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Sorokin
  20. P1 15:29Mayfield: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rakell, Guentzel, Pettersson · NYI Lee, Mayfield, Pelech, Horvat, Engvall

  21. P1 15:46Shot by Crosby, saved by Sorokin5v4
  22. P1 16:45Shot by Parise, saved by Jarry5v4
  23. P1 18:24Goal by Zucker (Malkin, Petry)+19 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Petry, Dumoulin, Zucker, Rust · NYI Martin, Cizikas, Mayfield, Pelech, Fasching

  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:29Shot by Guentzel, saved by Sorokin
  27. P2 1:01Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Sorokin
  28. P2 1:55Shot by Rutta, saved by Sorokin
  29. P2 3:42Heinen: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Kulikov, Rakell, Heinen · NYI Bailey, Mayfield, Koivula, Aho, Holmstrom

  30. P2 4:10Shot by Palmieri, saved by Jarry4v5
  31. P2 4:45Shot by Granlund, saved by Sorokin4v5
  32. P2 7:19Shot by Malkin, saved by Sorokin6v5
  33. P2 7:29Mayfield: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Dumoulin, Zucker, Granlund, Heinen · NYI Martin, Mayfield, Pelech, Fasching, Horvat

  34. P2 9:26Shot by Rakell, saved by Sorokin5v4
  35. P2 9:37Shot by Rakell, saved by Sorokin
  36. P2 10:49Goal by Archibald (Dumoulin, Petry)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Petry, Bonino, Dumoulin, Archibald, Heinen · NYI Palmieri, Cizikas, Nelson, Aho, Dobson

  37. P2 11:03Shot by Martin, saved by Jarry
  38. P2 11:39Shot by Carter, saved by Sorokin
  39. P2 11:44Shot by Heinen, saved by Sorokin
  40. P2 11:48Mayfield: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Carter, Letang, Granlund, Pettersson, Heinen · NYI Martin, Cizikas, Mayfield, Fasching, Romanov

  41. P2 13:48Shot by Nelson, saved by Jarry
  42. P2 15:31Shot by Lee, saved by Jarry
  43. P2 15:52Shot by Pelech, saved by Jarry
  44. P2 16:25Shot by Letang, saved by Sorokin
  45. P2 16:55Shot by Aho, saved by Jarry
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 0:29Shot by Horvat, saved by Jarry
  49. P3 0:42Shot by O'Connor, saved by Sorokin
  50. P3 1:02Shot by Rutta, saved by Sorokin
  51. P3 3:39Rutta: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Kulikov, Zucker, Rust, Rutta · NYI Bailey, Martin, Cizikas, Aho, Dobson

  52. P3 3:45Shot by Horvat, saved by Jarry4v5
  53. P3 4:53Shot by Koivula, saved by Jarry4v5
  54. P3 5:06Shot by Parise, saved by Jarry4v5
  55. P3 5:18Shot by Aho, saved by Jarry4v5
  56. P3 5:19Koivula: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PIT Petry, Bonino, Dumoulin, Archibald · NYI Parise, Bailey, Pulock, Koivula, Aho

  57. P3 5:19Archibald: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: PIT Petry, Bonino, Dumoulin, Archibald · NYI Parise, Bailey, Pulock, Koivula, Aho

  58. P3 5:23Shot by Palmieri, saved by Jarry4v5
  59. P3 7:52Shot by Letang, saved by Sorokin
  60. P3 7:53Shot by Rakell, saved by Sorokin
  61. P3 8:01Shot by Crosby, saved by Sorokin
  62. P3 8:29Shot by Petry, saved by Sorokin
  63. P3 8:52Shot by Aho, saved by Jarry
  64. P3 9:44Shot by Dobson, saved by Jarry5v6
  65. P3 9:47O'Connor: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PIT Carter, Kulikov, Granlund, Rutta, O'Connor · NYI Parise, Lee, Nelson, Horvat, Aho, Dobson

  66. P3 10:55Shot by Palmieri, saved by Jarry4v5
  67. P3 12:15Shot by O'Connor, saved by Sorokin
  68. P3 12:42Shot by Pettersson, saved by Sorokin
  69. P3 13:48Shot by Crosby, saved by Sorokin
  70. P3 13:53Shot by Letang, saved by Sorokin
  71. P3 14:31Goal by Fasching (Cizikas, Aho)+11 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Carter, Petry, Dumoulin, Granlund, O'Connor · NYI Bailey, Cizikas, Fasching, Aho, Dobson

  72. P3 14:48Shot by Dobson, saved by Jarry
  73. P3 17:49Shot by Palmieri, saved by Jarry5v6
  74. P3 18:45Goal by Lee (Dobson, Nelson)5v6+40 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel · NYI Palmieri, Lee, Nelson, Horvat, Aho, Dobson

  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. OT 0:00Period start
  77. OT 1:15Shot by Petry, saved by Sorokin3v3
  78. OT 1:23Shot by Palmieri, saved by Jarry3v3
  79. OT 1:57Shot by Pettersson, saved by Sorokin3v3
  80. OT 2:13Goal by Nelson (Sorokin)3v3+52 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Rust, Rakell, Pettersson · NYI Lee, Nelson, Aho

  81. OT 2:13Period end4v4
  82. OT 2:13Final